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Southeast Asian monetary integration: New evidences from fractional cointegration of real exchange rates

Author

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  • Gilles De Truchis

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

  • Benjamin Keddad

    (GREQAM - Groupement de Recherche en Économie Quantitative d'Aix-Marseille - EHESS - École des hautes études en sciences sociales - AMU - Aix Marseille Université - ECM - École Centrale de Marseille - CNRS - Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique)

Abstract

This paper examines generalized purchasing power parity theory (G-PPP) among the ASEAN-5 countries. Implementing both the rank analysis and the regression-based analysis of the cointegrating system's, we identify several weak fractional cointegration relationships. Accordingly, cointegrating errors of real exchange rates (RERs) are highly persistent but mean-reverting. Our findings contrast with all previous studies that restrict their investigations to the traditional I(1)/I(0) cointegration. Since RERs are tied through a long memory process, empirical models of G-PPP theory that ignore such a feature should be misspecified. Finally, our results support further monetary integration among different sub-groups of the ASEAN-5 countries as they share long-run comovements.

Suggested Citation

  • Gilles De Truchis & Benjamin Keddad, 2013. "Southeast Asian monetary integration: New evidences from fractional cointegration of real exchange rates," Post-Print hal-01498261, HAL.
  • Handle: RePEc:hal:journl:hal-01498261
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2013.07.005
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    8. Giorgio Canarella & Stephen M. Miller, 2016. "Inflation Targeting: New Evidence from Fractional Integration and Cointegration," Working papers 2016-08, University of Connecticut, Department of Economics.
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    ASEAN; fractional cointegration; Generalized purchasing power parity; Monetary union;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • F31 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - Foreign Exchange
    • F33 - International Economics - - International Finance - - - International Monetary Arrangements and Institutions

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