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Real exchange rate behavior and optimum currency area in East Asia: Evidence from Generalized Purchasing Power Parity

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  • Mishra, Ritesh Kumar
  • Sharma, Chandan

Abstract

In the aftermath of the Asian financial crisis, the need for monetary and exchange rate cooperation among the Asian countries has increased considerably. In this context, we attempt to evaluate the potential of an optimum currency area (OCA) for a group of eight East Asian countries. For this purpose, this study tests Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) and Generalized PPP (GPPP) hypothesis, which provides stylized facts of real exchange rate. Specifically, we attempt to investigate the symmetry in macroeconomic disturbances and the co-movements of bilateral real exchange rates of the East Asian countries as one of the standard minimum precondition for forming an OCA. Contrary to many previous studies, we find some supportive evidence for GPPP which, in turn, provides support for the feasibility of an optimum currency area in East Asia. However, the presence of asymmetries in the process, through which countries adjust to shocks in the system, indicates that still higher level of economic integration is required to strengthen the case of a currency union. More importantly, our overall results appear to be invariant to the choice of a base currency and therefore it provides support to the argument that both US dollar and Japanese Yen are important for East Asia while considering the case of a currency union.

Suggested Citation

  • Mishra, Ritesh Kumar & Sharma, Chandan, 2010. "Real exchange rate behavior and optimum currency area in East Asia: Evidence from Generalized Purchasing Power Parity," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 19(3), pages 205-213, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finana:v:19:y:2010:i:3:p:205-213
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    2. Kawasaki, Kentaro & Sato, Kiyotaka, 2021. "A new assessment of economic integration in East Asia: Application of an industry-specific G-PPP model," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 60(C).
    3. Mervan Selçuk & Şakir Görmüş, 2022. "Is a Monetary Union Feasible for D-8 Countries? An Examination in The Framework of The Optimum Currency Area," Journal of Economic Policy Researches, Istanbul University, Faculty of Economics, vol. 9(1), pages 75-101, January.
    4. Oladunjoye Opeyemi Nathaniel, 2019. "Validity of Purchasing Power Parity (PPP) Hypothesis in the Ecowas (1980–2017)," Emerging Economy Studies, International Management Institute, vol. 5(2), pages 141-156, November.
    5. de Truchis, Gilles & Keddad, Benjamin, 2013. "Southeast Asian monetary integration: New evidences from fractional cointegration of real exchange rates," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 26(C), pages 394-412.
    6. Azzam, Islam & El-Masry, Ahmed A. & Yamani, Ehab, 2023. "Foreign exchange market efficiency during COVID-19 pandemic," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 717-730.
    7. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & You, Kefei, 2018. "Exchange rate linkages between the ASEAN currencies, the US dollar and the Chinese RMB," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 227-238.
    8. Fegheh Majidi , Ali, 2014. "Currency Union and Bilateral Trade: Evidence from OIC Countries," Journal of Money and Economy, Monetary and Banking Research Institute, Central Bank of the Islamic Republic of Iran, vol. 9(2), pages 140-166, October.
    9. Shafighi, Najla & Gharleghi, Behrooz, 2016. "Feasibility of a currency union in East Asia using the five-variable structural vector autoregressive model," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 45-54.
    10. Caporale, Guglielmo Maria & Gil-Alana, Luis A. & You, Kefei, 2018. "Exchange rate linkages between the ASEAN currencies, the US dollar and the Chinese RMB," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 227-238.
    11. Makoto Muto & Yoshitaka Saiki, 2020. "Synchronization analysis between exchange rates on the basis of purchasing power parity using the Hilbert transform," Papers 2010.08825, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2022.
    12. Richard Gardiner & Petr Hajek, 2020. "Interactions among energy consumption, CO2, and economic development in European Union countries," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(4), pages 723-740, July.
    13. Ma, Wei & Li, Haiqi & Park, Sung Y., 2017. "Empirical conditional quantile test for purchasing power parity: Evidence from East Asian countries," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 211-222.
    14. Chen, Xiaofen, 2012. "The dampening effect of bank foreign liabilities on monetary policy: Revisiting monetary cooperation in East Asia," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 31(2), pages 412-427.
    15. Al-Khazali, Osamah M. & Leduc, Guillaume & Pyun, Chong Soo, 2011. "Market efficiency of floating exchange rate systems: Some evidence from Pacific-Asian countries," Global Finance Journal, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 154-168.
    16. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2016_020 is not listed on IDEAS
    17. Ephrem Habtemichael Redda & Paul-Francois Muzindutsi, 2021. "Monetary Union Feasibility in the East African Community: Evidence from GPPP," International Journal of Economics and Financial Issues, Econjournals, vol. 11(6), pages 9-16.

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