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International Evidence on Long-Run Money Demand

Author

Listed:
  • Luca Benati
  • Robert E. Lucas
  • Juan Pablo Nicolini
  • Warren E. Weber

Abstract

We explore the long-run demand for M1 based on a data set that has comprised 32 countries since 1851. In many cases, cointegration tests identify a long-run equilibrium relationship between either velocity and the short rate or M1, GDP, and the short rate. Evidence is especially strong for the United States and the United Kingdom over the entire period since World War I and for moderate and high-inflation countries. With the exception of high-inflation countries?for which a ?log-log? specification is preferred?the data often prefer the specification in the levels of velocity and the short rate originally estimated by Selden (1956) and Latan (1960). This is especially clear for the United States and other low-inflation countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Luca Benati & Robert E. Lucas & Juan Pablo Nicolini & Warren E. Weber, 2017. "International Evidence on Long-Run Money Demand," Working Papers 737, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedmwp:737
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Long-run money demand; Cointegration;

    JEL classification:

    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models
    • E41 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Money and Interest Rates - - - Demand for Money

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