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Why Firms Lay Off Workers Instead of Cutting Wages: Evidence from Linked Survey-Administrative Data

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Abstract

We use a novel large-scale survey of firms, implemented in Denmark in 2021 and linked to administrative data, to study why firms lay off workers instead of cutting wages. Our questions on layoffs, wage cuts, and the link between them provide new insights into firms’ strategies for adjusting labor in response to adverse shocks. We find that layoffs are more prevalent than wage cuts, but wage cuts are not rare in firms experiencing revenue reduction and were used by 15% of such firms. Employers are hesitant to cut wages in many instances because they see wage cuts as a poor substitute for layoffs. First, firms report that lowering wages triggers costs through the impact on morale and quits. Comparing these costs with potential savings from wage cuts, most employers in the survey agree that a wage reduction would not have saved jobs. Second, firms report that a crisis is an opportune time for layoffs because of lower opportunity costs of restructuring and because layoffs during a crisis are perceived by workers as more fair. We find that firms that report such opportunistic layoffs are less likely to implement wage cuts.

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  • Morten Bennedsen & Antoine Bertheau & Marianna Kudlyak & Birthe Larsen, 2025. "Why Firms Lay Off Workers Instead of Cutting Wages: Evidence from Linked Survey-Administrative Data," Working Paper Series 2025-05, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco.
  • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedfwp:99558
    DOI: 10.24148/wp2025-05
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    wage rigidity; layoffs;

    JEL classification:

    • D22 - Microeconomics - - Production and Organizations - - - Firm Behavior: Empirical Analysis
    • J30 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Wages, Compensation, and Labor Costs - - - General
    • J63 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Mobility, Unemployment, Vacancies, and Immigrant Workers - - - Turnover; Vacancies; Layoffs
    • J23 - Labor and Demographic Economics - - Demand and Supply of Labor - - - Labor Demand

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