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Why crude oil prices are high when global activity is weak?

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Abstract

There have been substantial increases in liquidity in recent years and real oil prices have almost returned to the high levels achieved before the Global financial crisis. Unanticipated increases in global real M2 lead to statistically significant increases in real oil prices. The cumulative impact of global real M2 on the real price of crude oil is important in the recovery of oil price during 2009 and 2010.

Suggested Citation

  • Ratti, Ronald A & Vespignani, Joaquin L., 2013. "Why crude oil prices are high when global activity is weak?," Working Papers 2013-01, University of Tasmania, Tasmanian School of Business and Economics, revised 20 Mar 2013.
    • Handle: RePEc:tas:wpaper:16298
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Oil Price; Global Liquidity;

    JEL classification:

    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • E32 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Business Fluctuations; Cycles
    • Q41 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Demand and Supply; Prices
    • Q43 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Energy - - - Energy and the Macroeconomy

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