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Analysing a hypothetical Pierce's disease outbreak in South Australia using a dynamic CGE approach

Author

Listed:
  • Glyn Wittwer
  • Simon McKirdy
  • Ryan Wilson

Abstract

A dynamic computable general equilibrium model provides a tool for analysing the regional economic consequences of a hypothetical plant pest incursion. The model is very detailed at the industry and regional level. It includes a theory of regional labour market adjustment. In our example, a hypothetical Pierce's disease incursion, direct regional economic losses are magnified by consequent depressed investment in downstream wine processing sectors. Following elimination of the disease, it takes a number of years for the region to recover fully.

Suggested Citation

  • Glyn Wittwer & Simon McKirdy & Ryan Wilson, 2006. "Analysing a hypothetical Pierce's disease outbreak in South Australia using a dynamic CGE approach," Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre Working Papers g-162, Victoria University, Centre of Policy Studies/IMPACT Centre.
    • Handle: RePEc:cop:wpaper:g-162
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. J. D. Mumford, 2002. "Economic issues related to quarantine in international trade," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 29(3), pages 329-348, July.
    2. Wittwer, Glyn & McKirdy, Simon & Wilson, Ryan, 2005. "Regional economic impacts of a plant disease incursion using a general equilibrium approach," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 49(1), pages 1-15.
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    Cited by:

    1. Julian M. Alston & Kate B. Fuller & Jonathan D. Kaplan & Kabir P. Tumber, 2015. "Assessing the returns to R&D on perennial crops: the costs and benefits of Pierce's disease research in the California winegrape industry," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 59(1), pages 95-115, January.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    plant disease; CGE modeling;

    JEL classification:

    • C68 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Mathematical Methods; Programming Models; Mathematical and Simulation Modeling - - - Computable General Equilibrium Models
    • Q11 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Aggregate Supply and Demand Analysis; Prices

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