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Les déterminants cognitifs et non-cognitifs du choix de filière et leur impact sur la phase initiale du cycle professionnel

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  • Christian Belzil
  • Jörgen Hansen
  • Julie Pernaudet

Abstract

Using unique data allowing us to link individual cognitive and non-cognitive skill measurements (at age 18) to subsequent education trajectories, we estimate the relative importance of individual skills on the field of study and pay particular attention to the impact of choosing a scientific subject (STEM) on early career outcomes. Our results indicate that individual performance in the International Adult Literacy survey (similar to the PISA test) has no predictive power on the likelihood of enrolling in STEM but is however an important determinant of wages around age 30. STEM enrollment depends primarily on individual academic performance in mathematics and on school motivation measured at age 18. Finally, we find that after controlling for individual skill differences, Ontario students have a higher probability of becoming STEM graduates than Québec students. Grâce à la collecte de données nous permettant de relier les trajectoires éducatives des individus à différentes mesures de compétences, nous étudions les déterminants des choix de filières au Québec et dans le reste du Canada et en particulier, le rôle des compétences cognitives et non-cognitives. Nous évaluons l’impact des études en Sciences, Technologie, Ingénierie, et Mathématiques (STIM) ainsi que l’effet des facteurs cognitifs et non-cognitifs sur un grand nombre de mesures de performance sur le marché du travail. Nos résultats indiquent que les performances individuelles dans le test EIACA (semblable au test PISA) n’ont pratiquement aucun pouvoir prédictif sur la probabilité de compléter un programme scientifique, mais jouent un rôle déterminant sur les salaires à 30 ans. La fréquentation d’un programme STIM est principalement expliquée par la compétence académique en mathématiques mesurée par les notes obtenues à l'âge de 18 ans. Le second déterminant le plus important est de loin le facteur non-cognitif mesurant le degré de motivation pendant les études. Toutes choses égales par ailleurs (à compétences égales), les Ontariens ont une probabilité d’obtenir un diplôme STIM plus élevée que les Québécois.

Suggested Citation

  • Christian Belzil & Jörgen Hansen & Julie Pernaudet, 2024. "Les déterminants cognitifs et non-cognitifs du choix de filière et leur impact sur la phase initiale du cycle professionnel," CIRANO Project Reports 2024rp-06, CIRANO.
    • Handle: RePEc:cir:cirpro:2024rp-06
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    File URL: https://cirano.qc.ca/files/publications/2024RP-06.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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