IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/p/ces/ceswps/_8533.html
   My bibliography  Save this paper

Sea Surface Temperature and Tuna Catch in the Eastern Pacific Ocean under Climate Change

Author

Listed:
  • Hanny John Mediodia
  • Viktoria Kahui
  • Ilan Noy

Abstract

The increase in sea surface temperature (SST) is one of the primary consequences of climate change and has the potential to impact tuna fisheries. This paper theoretically models and then applies the production function approach to establish a positive but non-linear relationship between catch and SST using gridded data for yellowfin and skipjack tuna catch in the Eastern Pacific Ocean. We test different forms of relationship between SST and the carrying capacity of tuna fisheries. By considering area, species and fishing methods, we provide spatially and biologically relevant information for the management of tuna in response to warming oceans. The increase in yellowfin tuna catch is higher in the Northern Hemisphere compared to the Southern Hemisphere, while the reverse is true for skipjack tuna. We also find that there is a nonlinear (i.e. logarithmic and quadratic) relationship between the SST and the carrying capacity of tuna fisheries.

Suggested Citation

  • Hanny John Mediodia & Viktoria Kahui & Ilan Noy, 2020. "Sea Surface Temperature and Tuna Catch in the Eastern Pacific Ocean under Climate Change," CESifo Working Paper Series 8533, CESifo.
    • Handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8533
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.cesifo.org/DocDL/cesifo1_wp8533.pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    Other versions of this item:

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Johann D. Bell & Alexandre Ganachaud & Peter C. Gehrke & Shane P. Griffiths & Alistair J. Hobday & Ove Hoegh-Guldberg & Johanna E. Johnson & Robert Le Borgne & Patrick Lehodey & Janice M. Lough & Rich, 2013. "Mixed responses of tropical Pacific fisheries and aquaculture to climate change," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 3(6), pages 591-599, June.
    2. Hassan, R.M. & Crafford, J.G., 2015. "Measuring the contribution of ecological composition and functional services of ecosystems to the dynamics of KwaZulu-Natal coast fisheries," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 306-313.
    3. Melissa Dell & Benjamin F. Jones & Benjamin A. Olken, 2014. "What Do We Learn from the Weather? The New Climate-Economy Literature," Journal of Economic Literature, American Economic Association, vol. 52(3), pages 740-798, September.
    4. Joshua Graff Zivin & Matthew Neidell, 2014. "Temperature and the Allocation of Time: Implications for Climate Change," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 32(1), pages 1-26.
    5. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, December.
    6. Asche, Frank & Guillen, Jordi, 2012. "The importance of fishing method, gear and origin: The Spanish hake market," Marine Policy, Elsevier, vol. 36(2), pages 365-369.
    7. Claire W. Armstrong & Naomi S. Foley & Viktoria Kahui, 2016. "A Production Function Analysis of Fisheries and Habitat: Open Access versus Optimal Management," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 92(4), pages 760-771.
    8. Edward Barbier & Ivar Strand & Suthawan Sathirathai, 2002. "Do Open Access Conditions Affect the Valuation of an Externality? Estimating the Welfare Effects of Mangrove-Fishery Linkages in Thailand," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 21(4), pages 343-365, April.
    9. Godwin K. Vondolia & Wenting Chen & Claire W. Armstrong & Magnus D. Norling, 2020. "Bioeconomic Modelling of Coastal Cod and Kelp Forest Interactions: Co-benefits of Habitat Services, Fisheries and Carbon Sinks," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 75(1), pages 25-48, January.
    10. Patrick Lehodey & Inna Senina & Beatriz Calmettes & John Hampton & Simon Nicol, 2013. "Modelling the impact of climate change on Pacific skipjack tuna population and fisheries," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 119(1), pages 95-109, July.
    11. Olivier Deschênes & Michael Greenstone, 2007. "The Economic Impacts of Climate Change: Evidence from Agricultural Output and Random Fluctuations in Weather," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(1), pages 354-385, March.
    12. Viktoria Kahui & Claire W. Armstrong & Godwin K. Vondolia, 2016. "Bioeconomic Analysis of Habitat-Fishery Connections: Fishing on Cold Water Coral Reefs," Land Economics, University of Wisconsin Press, vol. 92(2), pages 328-343.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Hanny John Mediodia & Ilan Noy & Viktoria Kahui, 2024. "The impact of ocean warming on selected commercial fisheries in New Zealand," Australian Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, Australian Agricultural and Resource Economics Society, vol. 68(3), pages 587-607, July.
    2. Zachary Porreca, 2021. "Assessing ocean temperature’s role in fishery production," Journal of Bioeconomics, Springer, vol. 23(3), pages 237-256, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Till Baldenius & Nicolas Koch & Hannah Klauber & Nadja Klein, 2023. "Heat increases experienced racial segregation in the United States," Papers 2306.13772, arXiv.org.
    2. de Souza, Joao Paulo A., 2014. "Growth Complementarity Between Agriculture and Industry: Evidence from a Panel of Developing Countries," UMASS Amherst Economics Working Papers 2014-11, University of Massachusetts Amherst, Department of Economics.
    3. Jonathan Colmer, 2013. "Climate Variability, Child Labour and Schooling: Evidence on the Intensive and Extensive Margin," GRI Working Papers 132, Grantham Research Institute on Climate Change and the Environment.
    4. Cristina Cattaneo & Emanuele Massetti, 2019. "Does Harmful Climate Increase Or Decrease Migration? Evidence From Rural Households In Nigeria," Climate Change Economics (CCE), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 10(04), pages 1-36, November.
    5. Joshua Graff Zivin & Solomon M. Hsiang & Matthew Neidell, 2018. "Temperature and Human Capital in the Short and Long Run," Journal of the Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, University of Chicago Press, vol. 5(1), pages 77-105.
    6. Sedova, Barbora & Kalkuhl, Matthias, 2020. "Who are the climate migrants and where do they go? Evidence from rural India," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 129(C).
    7. de Souza, Joao Paulo A., 2015. "Evidence of growth complementarity between agriculture and industry in developing countries," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 34(C), pages 1-18.
    8. Graff Zivin, Joshua & Song, Yingquan & Tang, Qu & Zhang, Peng, 2020. "Temperature and high-stakes cognitive performance: Evidence from the national college entrance examination in China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    9. Lehr, Jakob & Rehdanz, Katrin, 2024. "The effect of temperature on energy related CO2 emissions and economic performance in German industry," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 138(C).
    10. Li, Xue & Smyth, Russell & Xin, Guangyi & Yao, Yao, 2023. "Warmer temperatures and energy poverty: Evidence from Chinese households," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 120(C).
    11. Shrader, Jeffrey, 2014. "Forecasts and Adaptation," 2014 Annual Meeting, July 27-29, 2014, Minneapolis, Minnesota 170626, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    12. Sam Cosaert & Adrián Nieto & Konstantinos Tatsiramos, 2023. "Temperature and Joint Time Use," CESifo Working Paper Series 10464, CESifo.
    13. Jaqueline Oliveira & Bruno Palialol & Paula Pereda, 2021. "Do temperature shocks affect non-agriculture wages in Brazil? Evidence from individual-level panel data," Working Papers, Department of Economics 2021_13, University of São Paulo (FEA-USP).
    14. José-Luis Cruz & Esteban Rossi-Hansberg, 2024. "The Economic Geography of Global Warming," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 91(2), pages 899-939.
    15. Filippo Natoli, 2023. "The macroeconomic effects of temperature surprise shocks," Temi di discussione (Economic working papers) 1407, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
    16. Huang, Kaixing & Zhao, Hong & Huang, Jikun & Wang, Jinxia & Findlay, Christopher, 2020. "The impact of climate change on the labor allocation: Empirical evidence from China," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    17. Njuki, Eric, 2021. "Nonlinear weather and climate-induced effects on hired farm labor wages: Evidence from the U.S. Cornbelt," 2021 Annual Meeting, August 1-3, Austin, Texas 313959, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
    18. Hyland, Marie & Russ, Jason, 2019. "Water as destiny – The long-term impacts of drought in sub-Saharan Africa," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 30-45.
    19. García-León, David, 2015. "Weather and Income: Lessons from the Main European Regions," Climate Change and Sustainable Development 202979, Fondazione Eni Enrico Mattei (FEEM).
    20. Chen, Shuai & Gong, Binlei, 2021. "Response and adaptation of agriculture to climate change: Evidence from China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 148(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    production function; sea surface temperature; tuna;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • Q22 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Renewable Resources and Conservation - - - Fishery
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming

    NEP fields

    This paper has been announced in the following NEP Reports:

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:ces:ceswps:_8533. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Klaus Wohlrabe (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/cesifde.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.