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Adaptation and the Cost of Rising Temperature for the U.S. economy

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Abstract

How costly will rising temperature due to climate change be for the U.S. economy? Recent research has used the well-identified response of output to weather to estimate this cost. But agents may adapt to the new climate. We propose a methodology to infer adaptation technology from the heterogeneous responses of output to weather observed currently across the U.S. Our model estimates how much each region has adapted already, and can predict how much each will adapt further after climate change. The size and distribution of losses from climate change vary substantially once adaptation is taken into account.

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  • Charles Fries & François Gourio, 2020. "Adaptation and the Cost of Rising Temperature for the U.S. economy," Working Paper Series WP-2020-08, Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago.
    • Handle: RePEc:fip:fedhwp:92772
    DOI: 10.21033/wp-2020-08
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    Cited by:

    1. Cantelmo, Alessandro & Melina, Giovanni & Papageorgiou, Chris, 2023. "Macroeconomic outcomes in disaster-prone countries," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    2. Bo Liu & Barry T. Hirsch, 2021. "Winter weather and work hours: Heterogeneous effects and regional adaptation," Contemporary Economic Policy, Western Economic Association International, vol. 39(4), pages 867-881, October.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Climate Change; Adaptation; Temperature; Income;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • R12 - Urban, Rural, Regional, Real Estate, and Transportation Economics - - General Regional Economics - - - Size and Spatial Distributions of Regional Economic Activity; Interregional Trade (economic geography)
    • Q54 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Environmental Economics - - - Climate; Natural Disasters and their Management; Global Warming
    • E23 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Production

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