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Trucking Industry Adoption of Information Technology: A structural Multivariate Discrete Choice Model

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  • Golob, Thomas F.
  • Reagan, Amelia C.

Abstract

Modern panel surveys frequently suffer from high and likely non-ignorable attrition, and transportation surveys suffer from poor travel time estimates. This paper examines new methods for adjusting forecasts and model estimates to account for these problems. The methods we describe are illustrated using a new panel survey of 1500 commuters in San Diego, California. These data are being collected to evaluate a federally-funded “Congestion Pricing” experiment investigating the impacts of allowing solo drivers to pay to use freeway carpool lanes. The panel survey, begun in Fall 1997, collects data on travel behavior and attitudes at six-month intervals through telephone interviews. The panel sample is refreshed with new respondents at each wave to counteract the attrition between waves. Both the original and refreshment samples are stratified on commuters’ mode choice (solo drive in free lanes, pay to solo drive in the carpool lanes, or carpool for free in carpool lanes) to insure sufficient sample size for estimating our models.

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  • Golob, Thomas F. & Reagan, Amelia C., 2002. "Trucking Industry Adoption of Information Technology: A structural Multivariate Discrete Choice Model," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt7kv5f17n, University of California Transportation Center.
    • Handle: RePEc:cdl:uctcwp:qt7kv5f17n
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    8. Golob, Thomas F. & Regan, Amelia C., 2003. "Surveying and Modeling Trucking Industry Perceptions, Preferences and Behavior," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt1gw166zk, University of California Transportation Center.
    9. Jason D. Lemp & Kara M. Kockelman & Paul Damien, 2012. "A Bivariate Multinomial Probit Model for Trip Scheduling: Bayesian Analysis of the Work Tour," Transportation Science, INFORMS, vol. 46(3), pages 405-424, August.
    10. Zhou, Fan & Zheng, Zuduo & Whitehead, Jake & Perrons, Robert K. & Washington, Simon & Page, Lionel, 2020. "Examining the impact of car-sharing on private vehicle ownership," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 138(C), pages 322-341.
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    13. Zhang, Xiao & Boscardin, W. John & Belin, Thomas R., 2008. "Bayesian analysis of multivariate nominal measures using multivariate multinomial probit models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 52(7), pages 3697-3708, March.
    14. Honjo, Yuji & Kwak, Charee & Uchida, Hirofumi, 2022. "Initial funding and founders’ human capital: An empirical analysis using multiple surveys for start-up firms," Japan and the World Economy, Elsevier, vol. 63(C).
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    16. Golob, Thomas F. & Recker, Wilfred W. & Alvarez, Veronica M., 2003. "Safety Aspects of Freeway Weaving Sections," Institute of Transportation Studies, Research Reports, Working Papers, Proceedings qt1zr6p58h, Institute of Transportation Studies, UC Berkeley.
    17. Milioti, Christina P. & Karlaftis, Matthew G. & Akkogiounoglou, Eleni, 2015. "Traveler perceptions and airline choice: A multivariate probit approach," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 46-52.
    18. Behera, Bhagirath & Rahut, Dil Bahadur & Jeetendra, Aryal & Ali, Akhter, 2015. "Household collection and use of biomass energy sources in South Asia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 85(C), pages 468-480.
    19. Afghari, Amir Pooyan & Faghih Imani, Ahmadreza & Papadimitriou, Eleonora & van Gelder, Pieter & Hezaveh, Amin Mohamadi, 2021. "Disentangling the effects of unobserved factors on seatbelt use choices in multi-occupant vehicles," Journal of choice modelling, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    20. Landry, Réjean & Saïhi, Malek & Amara, Nabil & Ouimet, Mathieu, 2010. "Evidence on how academics manage their portfolio of knowledge transfer activities," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(10), pages 1387-1403, December.
    21. Madhusmita Dash & Bhagirath Behera & Dil Bahadur Rahut, 2018. "Understanding the factors that influence household use of clean energy in the Similipal Tiger Reserve, India," Natural Resources Forum, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 42(1), pages 3-18, February.
    22. Mathieu Ouimet & Nabil Amara & Réjean Landry & John Lavis, 2007. "Direct interactions medical school faculty members have with professionals and managers working in public and private sector organizations: A cross-sectional study," Scientometrics, Springer;Akadémiai Kiadó, vol. 72(2), pages 307-323, August.
    23. Dilshad Ahmad & Mohammad Afzal & Abdur Rauf, 2021. "Farmers’ adaptation decisions to landslides and flash floods in the mountainous region of Khyber Pakhtunkhwa of Pakistan," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 23(6), pages 8573-8600, June.
    24. Song, Jiongjiong & Regan, A C, 2003. "An Auction Based Collaborative Carrier Network," University of California Transportation Center, Working Papers qt2g88d8vc, University of California Transportation Center.
    25. Ngo, Quang Thanh, 2016. "Farmers’ adaptive measures to climate change induced natural shocks through past climate experiences in the Mekong River Delta, Vietnam," MPRA Paper 78055, University Library of Munich, Germany.

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