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Joint calibration to SPX and VIX options with signature-based models

Author

Listed:
  • Christa Cuchiero
  • Guido Gazzani
  • Janka Moller
  • Sara Svaluto-Ferro

Abstract

We consider a stochastic volatility model where the dynamics of the volatility are described by a linear function of the (time extended) signature of a primary process which is supposed to be a polynomial diffusion. We obtain closed form expressions for the VIX squared, exploiting the fact that the truncated signature of a polynomial diffusion is again a polynomial diffusion. Adding to such a primary process the Brownian motion driving the stock price, allows then to express both the log-price and the VIX squared as linear functions of the signature of the corresponding augmented process. This feature can then be efficiently used for pricing and calibration purposes. Indeed, as the signature samples can be easily precomputed, the calibration task can be split into an offline sampling and a standard optimization. We also propose a Fourier pricing approach for both VIX and SPX options exploiting that the signature of the augmented primary process is an infinite dimensional affine process. For both the SPX and VIX options we obtain highly accurate calibration results, showing that this model class allows to solve the joint calibration problem without adding jumps or rough volatility.

Suggested Citation

  • Christa Cuchiero & Guido Gazzani & Janka Moller & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2023. "Joint calibration to SPX and VIX options with signature-based models," Papers 2301.13235, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2301.13235
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Guido Gazzani & Julien Guyon, 2024. "Pricing and calibration in the 4-factor path-dependent volatility model," Papers 2406.02319, arXiv.org.
    2. Julien Guyon & Jordan Lekeufack, 2023. "Volatility is (mostly) path-dependent," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 23(9), pages 1221-1258, September.
    3. Christa Cuchiero & Eva Flonner & Kevin Kurt, 2024. "Robust financial calibration: a Bayesian approach for neural SDEs," Papers 2409.06551, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2024.
    4. Alexandre Pannier, 2023. "Path-dependent PDEs for volatility derivatives," Papers 2311.08289, arXiv.org, revised Jan 2024.
    5. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Shaun & Li & Xuyang Lin, 2024. "Fourier-Laplace transforms in polynomial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility models," Papers 2405.02170, arXiv.org.

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