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Smiling twice: The Heston++ model

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  • Pacati, Claudio
  • Pompa, Gabriele
  • Renò, Roberto

Abstract

We recommend the addition of a deterministic displacement to multi-factor affine models to calibrate and hedge SPX and VIX derivatives jointly. The proposed model, labeled Heston++, calibrates both markets with an average relative error (on quoted implied volatilities over two years of data) of 2%, and a maximum relative error of 4%, without additional computational costs with respect to traditional affine benchmarks. Hedging performance on both markets is also drastically improved. The displacement can be interpreted as a volatility push-up reflecting expectations about a (risk-neutral) lower bound on forward VIX dynamics. Our empirical results document substantial correlation between the dynamics of the displacement and the variance risk premium, and still provide strong support for the presence of both price/volatility negatively correlated co-jumps and idiosyncratic jumps in the volatility dynamics, even when the displacement is added.

Suggested Citation

  • Pacati, Claudio & Pompa, Gabriele & Renò, Roberto, 2018. "Smiling twice: The Heston++ model," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 185-206.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jbfina:v:96:y:2018:i:c:p:185-206
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jbankfin.2018.08.010
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    Cited by:

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    3. Recchioni, Maria Cristina & Iori, Giulia & Tedeschi, Gabriele & Ouellette, Michelle S., 2021. "The complete Gaussian kernel in the multi-factor Heston model: Option pricing and implied volatility applications," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 293(1), pages 336-360.
    4. Julien Guyon, 2020. "Inversion of convex ordering in the VIX market," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 20(10), pages 1597-1623, October.
    5. Sha Lin & Xin-Jiang He, 2022. "Analytically Pricing European Options under a New Two-Factor Heston Model with Regime Switching," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 59(3), pages 1069-1085, March.
    6. Gaetano La Bua & Daniele Marazzina, 2022. "A new class of multidimensional Wishart-based hybrid models," Decisions in Economics and Finance, Springer;Associazione per la Matematica, vol. 45(1), pages 209-239, June.
    7. repec:hal:wpaper:hal-03909334 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Zhiqiang Zhou & Wei Xu & Alexey Rubtsov, 2024. "Joint calibration of S&P 500 and VIX options under local stochastic volatility models," International Journal of Finance & Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 273-310, January.
    9. Alessandro Bondi & Sergio Pulido & Simone Scotti, 2022. "The rough Hawkes Heston stochastic volatility model," Papers 2210.12393, arXiv.org.
    10. Jing, Bo & Li, Shenghong & Ma, Yong, 2021. "Consistent pricing of VIX options with the Hawkes jump-diffusion model," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 56(C).
    11. Qiang Liu & Yuhan Jiao & Shuxin Guo, 2022. "GARCH pricing and hedging of VIX options," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(6), pages 1039-1066, June.
    12. Ivan Guo & Gregoire Loeper & Jan Obloj & Shiyi Wang, 2020. "Joint Modelling and Calibration of SPX and VIX by Optimal Transport," Papers 2004.02198, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2021.
    13. Youssef El-Khatib & Zororo S. Makumbe & Josep Vives, 2024. "Approximate option pricing under a two-factor Heston–Kou stochastic volatility model," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 1-28, June.
    14. Oh, Dong Hwan & Park, Yang-Ho, 2023. "GARCH option pricing with volatility derivatives," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    15. Liexin Cheng & Xue Cheng & Xianhua Peng, 2024. "Joint Calibration to SPX and VIX Derivative Markets with Composite Change of Time Models," Papers 2404.16295, arXiv.org, revised Aug 2024.
    16. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun Xiaoyuan Li, 2022. "Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints," Working Papers hal-03902513, HAL.
    17. Guido Gazzani & Julien Guyon, 2024. "Pricing and calibration in the 4-factor path-dependent volatility model," Papers 2406.02319, arXiv.org.
    18. Antoine Jacquier & Aitor Muguruza & Alexandre Pannier, 2021. "Rough multifactor volatility for SPX and VIX options," Papers 2112.14310, arXiv.org, revised Nov 2023.
    19. Andrew Papanicolaou, 2022. "Consistent time‐homogeneous modeling of SPX and VIX derivatives," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 32(3), pages 907-940, July.
    20. Jim Gatheral & Paul Jusselin & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2020. "The quadratic rough Heston model and the joint S&P 500/VIX smile calibration problem," Papers 2001.01789, arXiv.org.
    21. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun Xiaoyuan Li, 2023. "The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles," Post-Print hal-03909334, HAL.
    22. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun & Li, 2022. "Joint SPX-VIX calibration with Gaussian polynomial volatility models: deep pricing with quantization hints," Papers 2212.08297, arXiv.org.
    23. Eduardo Abi Jaber & Camille Illand & Shaun & Li, 2022. "The quintic Ornstein-Uhlenbeck volatility model that jointly calibrates SPX & VIX smiles," Papers 2212.10917, arXiv.org, revised May 2023.
    24. Christa Cuchiero & Guido Gazzani & Janka Moller & Sara Svaluto-Ferro, 2023. "Joint calibration to SPX and VIX options with signature-based models," Papers 2301.13235, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2024.
    25. Daniel Guterding, 2020. "Inventory effects on the price dynamics of VSTOXX futures quantified via machine learning," Papers 2002.08207, arXiv.org.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    VIX options; VIX futures; Heston model; Stochastic volatility; Jump-diffusion; Displacement;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing

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