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Stock Movement Prediction with Financial News using Contextualized Embedding from BERT

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  • Qinkai Chen

Abstract

News events can greatly influence equity markets. In this paper, we are interested in predicting the short-term movement of stock prices after financial news events using only the headlines of the news. To achieve this goal, we introduce a new text mining method called Fine-Tuned Contextualized-Embedding Recurrent Neural Network (FT-CE-RNN). Compared with previous approaches which use static vector representations of the news (static embedding), our model uses contextualized vector representations of the headlines (contextualized embeddings) generated from Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT). Our model obtains the state-of-the-art result on this stock movement prediction task. It shows significant improvement compared with other baseline models, in both accuracy and trading simulations. Through various trading simulations based on millions of headlines from Bloomberg News, we demonstrate the ability of this model in real scenarios.

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  • Qinkai Chen, 2021. "Stock Movement Prediction with Financial News using Contextualized Embedding from BERT," Papers 2107.08721, arXiv.org.
  • Handle: RePEc:arx:papers:2107.08721
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Jianfei Zhang & Mathieu Rosenbaum, 2023. "Towards systematic intraday news screening: a liquidity-focused approach," Papers 2304.05115, arXiv.org.
    2. Yanzhao Zou & Dorien Herremans, 2022. "PreBit -- A multimodal model with Twitter FinBERT embeddings for extreme price movement prediction of Bitcoin," Papers 2206.00648, arXiv.org, revised Oct 2023.
    3. Liping Wang & Jiawei Li & Lifan Zhao & Zhizhuo Kou & Xiaohan Wang & Xinyi Zhu & Hao Wang & Yanyan Shen & Lei Chen, 2023. "Methods for Acquiring and Incorporating Knowledge into Stock Price Prediction: A Survey," Papers 2308.04947, arXiv.org.
    4. Jimei Shen & Zhehu Yuan & Yifan Jin, 2022. "AlphaMLDigger: A Novel Machine Learning Solution to Explore Excess Return on Investment," Papers 2206.11072, arXiv.org, revised Dec 2022.

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