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Eine empirische Untersuchung zum Wachstum von Milchviehbetrieben mittels der Ereignisanalyse

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  • Francksen, Tammo
  • Hagemann, Martin
  • Latacz-Lohmann, Uwe

Abstract

This paper investigates determinants of growth of milk production in German dairy farms. Event history analysis is applied to estimate the likelihood of a farm’s moving from a nongrowing episode into a growing episode and to assess the impact of various covariates on that likelihood. The analysis is based upon a balanced panel of annual farm accounts from 616 specialised dairy farms from Germany, covering the financial years 1995/96 to 2008/09. Im vorliegenden Beitrag wird innerbetriebliches Wachstums von deutschen Milchviehbetrieben mittels der Ereignisanalyse untersucht. Dabei wird die Wahrscheinlichkeit des Austritts aus einer Nicht-Wachstumsepisode bzw. des Eintritts in eine Wachstumsepisode eines Bebetriebes geschätzt. Darüber hinaus werden Einflussfaktoren auf die ermittelte Übergangswahrscheinlichkeit identifiziert. Die Datengrundlage bildet ein balanciertes Panel mit 616 spezialisierten Milchviehbetrieben, von denen die betriebswirtschaftlichen Jahresabschlüsse (von 1995/96 bis 2008/09) und weitere Informationen über die Produktionstechnik sowie den Betriebsleiter vorliegen.

Suggested Citation

  • Francksen, Tammo & Hagemann, Martin & Latacz-Lohmann, Uwe, 2011. "Eine empirische Untersuchung zum Wachstum von Milchviehbetrieben mittels der Ereignisanalyse," 51st Annual Conference, Halle, Germany, September 28-30, 2011 114494, German Association of Agricultural Economists (GEWISOLA).
    • Handle: RePEc:ags:gewi11:114494
    DOI: 10.22004/ag.econ.114494
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    References listed on IDEAS

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