John Kling
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First Name: | John |
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Last Name: | Kling |
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RePEc Short-ID: | pkl130 |
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http://www.vantageconsultinggroup.com/people/john-kling-phd | |
Research output
Jump to: ArticlesArticles
- Kling, John L & Bessler, David A, 1989. "Calibration-Based Predictive Distributions: An Application of Prequential Analysis to Interest Rates, Money, Prices, and Output," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(4), pages 477-499, October.
- Kling, John L., 1988. "The modern forecaster: The forecasting process through data analysis : Hans Levenbach and James P. Cleary, (Van Nostrand Reinhold, 1984) pp. 450, $36.95," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 4(3), pages 498-499.
- Kling, John L, 1987. "Predicting the Turning Points of Business and Economic Time Series," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(2), pages 201-238, April.
- Kling, John L., 1985. "The dynamic behavior of business loans and the prime rate : Reply," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 581-584, December.
- Kling, John L., 1985. "The dynamic behavior of business loans and the prime rate," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 421-442, September.
- Kling, John L. & Bessler, David A., 1985. "A comparison of multivariate forecasting procedures for economic time series," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 5-24.
Citations
Many of the citations below have been collected in an experimental project, CitEc, where a more detailed citation analysis can be found. These are citations from works listed in RePEc that could be analyzed mechanically. So far, only a minority of all works could be analyzed. See under "Corrections" how you can help improve the citation analysis.Articles
- Kling, John L & Bessler, David A, 1989.
"Calibration-Based Predictive Distributions: An Application of Prequential Analysis to Interest Rates, Money, Prices, and Output,"
The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 62(4), pages 477-499, October.
Cited by:
- Goodwin, Barry K., 1992.
"Forecasting Cattle Prices In The Presence Of Structural Change,"
Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-12, December.
- Goodwin, Barry K., 1992. "Forecasting Cattle Prices in the Presence of Structural Change," Journal of Agricultural and Applied Economics, Cambridge University Press, vol. 24(2), pages 11-22, December.
- Bessler, David & Kibriya, Shahriar & Chen, Junyi & Price, Ed, 2014.
"On Forecasting Conflict in Sudan: 2009-2012,"
MPRA Paper
60069, University Library of Munich, Germany.
- David A. Bessler & Shahriar Kibriya & Junyi Chen & Edwin Price, 2016. "On Forecasting Conflict in the Sudan: 2009–2012," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 35(2), pages 179-188, March.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2015.
"Real-Time Forecasting With a Mixed-Frequency VAR,"
Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 33(3), pages 366-380, July.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2013. "Real-Time Forecasting with a Mixed-Frequency VAR," NBER Working Papers 19712, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Frank Schorfheide & Dongho Song, 2012. "Real-time forecasting with a mixed-frequency VAR," Working Papers 701, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis.
- David Bessler & Robert Ruffley, 2004. "Prequential analysis of stock market returns," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(5), pages 399-412.
- Huang, Wei & Lai, Pei-Chun & Bessler, David A., 2018. "On the changing structure among Chinese equity markets: Hong Kong, Shanghai, and Shenzhen," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(3), pages 1020-1032.
- Andres Trujillo-Barrera & Philip Garcia & Mindy L Mallory, 2018. "Short-term price density forecasts in the lean hog futures market," European Review of Agricultural Economics, Oxford University Press and the European Agricultural and Applied Economics Publications Foundation, vol. 45(1), pages 121-142.
- Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2018.
"Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions,"
Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 675-685, April.
- Roberto Casarin & Federico Bassetti & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Bayesian Nonparametric Calibration and Combination of Predictive Distributions," Working Papers 2015:04, Department of Economics, University of Venice "Ca' Foscari".
- Federico Bassetti & Roberto Casarin & Francesco Ravazzolo, 2015. "Bayesian nonparametric calibration and combination of predictive distributions," Working Paper 2015/03, Norges Bank.
- Shackleton, Mark B. & Taylor, Stephen J. & Yu, Peng, 2010. "A multi-horizon comparison of density forecasts for the S&P 500 using index returns and option prices," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 34(11), pages 2678-2693, November.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2019.
"Forecasting with instabilities: an application to DSGE models with financial frictions,"
Temi di discussione (Economic working papers)
1234, Bank of Italy, Economic Research and International Relations Area.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting with Instabilities: an Application to DSGE Models with Financial Frictions," Working Papers 201523, School of Economics, University College Dublin.
- Cardani, Roberta & Paccagnini, Alessia & Villa, Stefania, 2019. "Forecasting with instabilities: An application to DSGE models with financial frictions," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 1-1.
- Michael K. Adjemian & Valentina G. Bruno & Michel A. Robe, 2020. "Incorporating Uncertainty into USDA Commodity Price Forecasts," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(2), pages 696-712, March.
- Kyle E. Binder & Mohsen Pourahmadi & James W. Mjelde, 2020. "The role of temporal dependence in factor selection and forecasting oil prices," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 58(3), pages 1185-1223, March.
- Duangnate, Kannika & Mjelde, James W., 2017. "Comparison of data-rich and small-scale data time series models generating probabilistic forecasts: An application to U.S. natural gas gross withdrawals," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 411-423.
- Herbst, Edward & Schorfheide, Frank, 2012.
"Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements,"
Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 171(2), pages 152-166.
- Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2012. "Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 2012-11, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
- Edward P. Herbst & Frank Schorfheide, 2011. "Evaluating DSGE model forecasts of comovements," Working Papers 11-5, Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia.
- Michael Clements, 2016.
"Are Macroeconomic Density Forecasts Informative?,"
ICMA Centre Discussion Papers in Finance
icma-dp2016-02, Henley Business School, University of Reading.
- Clements, Michael P., 2018. "Are macroeconomic density forecasts informative?," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 34(2), pages 181-198.
- Casillas-Olvera, Gabriel & Bessler, David A., 2006. "Probability forecasting and central bank accountability," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 28(2), pages 223-234, February.
- Negro, Marco Del & Schorfheide, Frank, 2013.
"DSGE Model-Based Forecasting,"
Handbook of Economic Forecasting, in: G. Elliott & C. Granger & A. Timmermann (ed.), Handbook of Economic Forecasting, edition 1, volume 2, chapter 0, pages 57-140,
Elsevier.
- Marco Del Negro & Frank Schorfheide, 2012. "DSGE model-based forecasting," Staff Reports 554, Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
- Michael P. Clements & Nick Taylor, 2003. "Evaluating interval forecasts of high-frequency financial data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 18(4), pages 445-456.
- Anthony Tay & Kenneth F. Wallis, 2000. "Density Forecasting: A Survey," Econometric Society World Congress 2000 Contributed Papers 0370, Econometric Society.
- Patrick T. Brandt & John R. Freeman & Philip A. Schrodt, 2011. "Real Time, Time Series Forecasting of Inter- and Intra-State Political Conflict," Conflict Management and Peace Science, Peace Science Society (International), vol. 28(1), pages 41-64, February.
- Brian D. Deaton, 2018. "Effects of the Swiss Franc/Euro Exchange Rate Floor on the Calibration of Probability Forecasts," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 1(1), pages 1-23, May.
- Dharmasena, Senarath & Bessler, David & Capps, Oral. Jr, 2016. "On the Evaluation of Probability Forecasts: An Application to Qualitative Choice Models," 2016 Annual Meeting, July 31-August 2, Boston, Massachusetts 235424, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- An-Sing Chen & Yan-Zhen Liu, 2008. "Enhancing hedging performance with the spanning polynomial projection," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 8(6), pages 605-617.
- Roberta Cardani & Alessia Paccagnini & Stefania Villa, 2015. "Forecasting in a DSGE Model with Banking Intermediation: Evidence from the US," Working Papers 292, University of Milano-Bicocca, Department of Economics, revised Feb 2015.
- Goodwin, Barry K., 1992.
"Forecasting Cattle Prices In The Presence Of Structural Change,"
Southern Journal of Agricultural Economics, Southern Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 24(2), pages 1-12, December.
- Kling, John L, 1987.
"Predicting the Turning Points of Business and Economic Time Series,"
The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(2), pages 201-238, April.
Cited by:
- Chua, Chew Lian & Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2011.
"Predicting economic contractions and expansions with the aid of professional forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 438-451, April.
- Chua, Chew Lian & Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2011. "Predicting economic contractions and expansions with the aid of professional forecasts," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 438-451.
- Chew Lian Chua & Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2008.
"Can Consumer Sentiment and Its Components Forecast Australian GDP and Consumption?,"
Melbourne Institute Working Paper Series
wp2008n03, Melbourne Institute of Applied Economic and Social Research, The University of Melbourne.
- Chew Lian Chua & Sarantis Tsiaplias, 2009. "Can consumer sentiment and its components forecast Australian GDP and consumption?," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(8), pages 698-711.
- Carriero, Andrea & Marcellino, Massimiliano, 2007.
"A comparison of methods for the construction of composite coincident and leading indexes for the UK,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 23(2), pages 219-236.
- Andrea Carriero & Massimiliano Marcellino, 2007. "A Comparison of Methods for the Construction of Composite Coincident and Leading Indexes for the UK," Working Papers 590, Queen Mary University of London, School of Economics and Finance.
- Qi, Min, 2001. "Predicting US recessions with leading indicators via neural network models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 17(3), pages 383-401.
- Kenneth W Clements & Grace Gao, 2013.
"A Multi-Market Approach to Measuring the Cycle,"
Economics Discussion / Working Papers
13-16, The University of Western Australia, Department of Economics.
- Kenneth W Clements & Grace Gao, 2014. "A multi-market approach to measuring the cycle," Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre Working Paper series WP1404, Bankwest Curtin Economics Centre (BCEC), Curtin Business School.
- Khurshid Kiani, 2011. "Fluctuations in Economic and Activity and Stabilization Policies in the CIS," Computational Economics, Springer;Society for Computational Economics, vol. 37(2), pages 193-220, February.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1992.
"A Procedure for Predicting Recessions With Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience,"
NBER Working Papers
4014, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1993. "A Procedure for Predicting Recessions with Leading Indicators: Econometric Issues and Recent Experience," NBER Chapters, in: Business Cycles, Indicators, and Forecasting, pages 95-156, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chan Guk Huh, 1998. "Forecasting industrial production using models with business cycle asymmetry," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, pages 29-41.
- Franses, Philip Hans & Paap, Richard, 1999. "Does Seasonality Influence the Dating of Business Cycle Turning Points?," Journal of Macroeconomics, Elsevier, vol. 21(1), pages 79-92, January.
- Andrew Filardo, 2004. "The 2001 US recession: what did recession prediction models tell us?," BIS Working Papers 148, Bank for International Settlements.
- Pablo Galaso & Sandra Rodríguez, 2016.
"A composite leading cycle indicator for Uruguay,"
Estudios Regionales en Economía, Población y Desarrollo. Cuadernos de Trabajo de la Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez.
31, Cuerpo Académico 41 de la Universidad Autónoma de Ciudad Juárez, revised 01 Feb 2016.
- Pablo Galaso & Sandra Rodriguez, 2014. "A composite leading cycle indicator for Uruguay," Documentos de Trabajo (working papers) 14-09, Instituto de EconomÃa - IECON.
- Christopher S. McIntosh & Jeffrey H. Dorfman, 1992.
"Qualitative Forecast Evaluation: A Comparison of Two Performance Measures,"
American Journal of Agricultural Economics, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association, vol. 74(1), pages 209-214.
- McIntosh, Christopher & Dorfman, Jeffrey, 1991. "Qualitative Forecast Evaluation: A Comparison of Two Performance Measures," WAEA/ WFEA Conference Archive (1929-1995) 321479, Western Agricultural Economics Association.
- Khurshid M. Kiani, 2007. "Asymmetric Business Cycle Fluctuations and Contagion Effects in G7 Countries," International Journal of Business and Economics, School of Management Development, Feng Chia University, Taichung, Taiwan, vol. 6(3), pages 237-253, December.
- James H. Stock & Mark W. Watson, 1988. "A Probability Model of The Coincident Economic Indicators," NBER Working Papers 2772, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Andrew J. Filardo, 1999. "How reliable are recession prediction models?," Economic Review, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City, vol. 84(Q II), pages 35-55.
- Victor Zarnowitz, 1986. "The Record and Improvability of Economic Forecasting," NBER Working Papers 2099, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
- Chua, Chew Lian & Tsiaplias, Sarantis, 2011.
"Predicting economic contractions and expansions with the aid of professional forecasts,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 27(2), pages 438-451, April.
- Kling, John L., 1985.
"The dynamic behavior of business loans and the prime rate : Reply,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(4), pages 581-584, December.
Cited by:
- Yacine Hammami, 2014. "An empirical investigation of asset pricing models under divergent lending and borrowing rates," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 28(3), pages 263-279, August.
- Kling, John L., 1985.
"The dynamic behavior of business loans and the prime rate,"
Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 9(3), pages 421-442, September.
Cited by:
- Ehsan Ahmed & J. Barkley Rosser & Richard G. Sheehan, 1986. "A model of global aggregate supply and demand using vector autoregressive techniques," Working Papers 1986-004, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
- Yacine Hammami, 2014. "An empirical investigation of asset pricing models under divergent lending and borrowing rates," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 28(3), pages 263-279, August.
- Kling, John L. & Bessler, David A., 1985.
"A comparison of multivariate forecasting procedures for economic time series,"
International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 1(1), pages 5-24.
Cited by:
- Ehsan Ahmed & J. Rosser & Richard Sheehan, 1989. "A comparison of national and international aggregate supply and demand var models: The United States, Japan and the European economic community," Review of World Economics (Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv), Springer;Institut für Weltwirtschaft (Kiel Institute for the World Economy), vol. 125(2), pages 252-272, June.
- Bessler, David A., 1985. "The Forecast In Risk Analysis," Regional Research Projects > 1985: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 24-27, 1985, Charleston, South Carolina 271795, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
- Stamatiou, Pavlos & Dritsaki, Chaido, 2019. "The Phillips Curve: Unemployment Dynamics and Nairu Estimates of Poland’s Economy," Economia Internazionale / International Economics, Camera di Commercio Industria Artigianato Agricoltura di Genova, vol. 72(3), pages 281-312.
- Longsheng Cheng & Mahboubeh Shadabfar & Arash Sioofy Khoojine, 2023. "A State-of-the-Art Review of Probabilistic Portfolio Management for Future Stock Markets," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-34, February.
- Robert McNown & Andrei Rogers, 1989. "Forecasting Mortality: A Parameterized Time Series Approach," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 26(4), pages 645-660, November.
- P. Geoffrey Allen & Robert Fildes, 2005.
"Levels, Differences and ECMs – Principles for Improved Econometric Forecasting,"
Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, Department of Economics, University of Oxford, vol. 67(s1), pages 881-904, December.
- Allen, P. Geoffrey & Fildes, Robert, 2004. "Levels, Differences And Ecms - Principles For Improved Econometric Forecasting," Working Paper Series 14501, University of Massachusetts, Amherst, Department of Resource Economics.
- Kaylen, Michael S., 1986. "Vector Autoregression Forecasting Models: Suggested Improvements," 1986 Annual Meeting, July 27-30, Reno, Nevada 278167, American Agricultural Economics Association (New Name 2008: Agricultural and Applied Economics Association).
- Colino, Evelyn V. & Irwin, Scott H. & Garcia, Philip, 2008. "How Much Can Outlook Forecasts be Improved? An Application to the U.S. Hog Market," 2008 Conference, April 21-22, 2008, St. Louis, Missouri 37620, NCCC-134 Conference on Applied Commodity Price Analysis, Forecasting, and Market Risk Management.
- Moon, Seongmin & Hicks, Christian & Simpson, Andrew, 2012. "The development of a hierarchical forecasting method for predicting spare parts demand in the South Korean Navy—A case study," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 140(2), pages 794-802.
- De Gooijer, Jan G. & Hyndman, Rob J., 2006. "25 years of time series forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 22(3), pages 443-473.
- Owen, C. Jane & Sporleder, Thomas L. & Bessler, David A., 1991. "Fabricated Cut Beef Prices As Leading Indicators Of Fed Cattle Price," Western Journal of Agricultural Economics, Western Agricultural Economics Association, vol. 16(1), pages 1-7, July.
- Wang, Zijun & Bessler, David A., 2004. "Forecasting performance of multivariate time series models with full and reduced rank: an empirical examination," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 20(4), pages 683-695.
- Bradshaw, Girard W. & Orden, David, 1988. "Time Series Models For Exchange Rate And Agricultural Price Forecasts," Regional Research Projects > 1988: S-180 Annual Meeting, March 20-23, 1988, Savannah, Georgia 272786, Regional Research Projects > S-180: An Economic Analysis of Risk Management Strategies for Agricultural Production Firms.
- Jan G. De Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005.
"25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review,"
Monash Econometrics and Business Statistics Working Papers
12/05, Monash University, Department of Econometrics and Business Statistics.
- Jan G. de Gooijer & Rob J. Hyndman, 2005. "25 Years of IIF Time Series Forecasting: A Selective Review," Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 05-068/4, Tinbergen Institute.
- Xiaojie Xu, 2017. "Short-run price forecast performance of individual and composite models for 496 corn cash markets," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 44(14), pages 2593-2620, October.
- Salmanzadeh-Meydani, N. & Fatemi Ghomi, S.M.T., 2019. "The causal relationship among electricity consumption, economic growth and capital stock in Iran," Journal of Policy Modeling, Elsevier, vol. 41(6), pages 1230-1256.
- Xiaojie Xu & Yun Zhang, 2022. "Forecasting the total market value of a shares traded in the Shenzhen stock exchange via the neural network," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 42(3), pages 1266-1279.
- Chen, Junyi & Kibriya, Shahriar & Bessler, David A. & Price, Edwin C., 2015. "A Causal Exploration of Food Price Shocks and Conflict in Sudan," 2015 AAEA & WAEA Joint Annual Meeting, July 26-28, San Francisco, California 202612, Agricultural and Applied Economics Association.
- Xiaojie Xu & Yun Zhang, 2023. "Coking coal futures price index forecasting with the neural network," Mineral Economics, Springer;Raw Materials Group (RMG);Luleå University of Technology, vol. 36(2), pages 349-359, June.
- Xiaojie Xu, 2020. "Corn Cash Price Forecasting," American Journal of Agricultural Economics, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 102(4), pages 1297-1320, August.
- Branimir Skoko & Pero Zovko, 2018. "Sustainability of Bosnia and Herzegovina’s international trade flows," Notitia - journal for economic, business and social issues, Notitia Ltd., vol. 1(4), pages 1-8, December.
- Chen, Junyi & Kibriya, Shahriar & Bessler, David & Price, Edwin, 2015. "A Causal Exploration of Conflict Events and Commodity Prices of Sudan," MPRA Paper 62461, University Library of Munich, Germany.
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