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From the Russian food import ban to free trade from Lisbon to Vladivostok - will farmers benefit?

Author

Listed:
  • Banse, Martin
  • Duric, Ivan
  • Götz, Linde
  • Laquai, Verena

Abstract

With the implementation of the Russian import ban as a countermeasure to the EU sanctions in the context of the Ukrainian crisis, trade relations between the EU and Russia reached their lowest level in 2014. In this paper, we model several trade policy scenarios and assess their effects on domestic agricultural production and trade in Russia, the EU and Germany for the 2020-30 period. The results of the applied general equilibrium MAGNET model suggest that the removal of the Russian food import ban will affect Russian agricultural production to a limited extent only, while there will be no effect on the EU. In contrast, depending on how competitive Russian farmers’ become, the creation of a large free trade area from Lisbon to Vladivostok would generally benefit farmers in the EU more than farmers in Russia.

Suggested Citation

  • Banse, Martin & Duric, Ivan & Götz, Linde & Laquai, Verena, 2019. "From the Russian food import ban to free trade from Lisbon to Vladivostok - will farmers benefit?," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 12(4), pages 20-31.
    • Handle: RePEc:zbw:espost:213030
    DOI: 10.14254/2071-8330.2019/12-4/2
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    11. Francesco Giumelli, 2017. "The Redistributive Impact of Restrictive Measures on EU Members: Winners and Losers from Imposing Sanctions on Russia," Journal of Common Market Studies, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 55(5), pages 1062-1080, September.
    12. Zornitsa Kutlina-Dimitrova, 2017. "The economic impact of the Russian import ban: a CGE analysis," International Economics and Economic Policy, Springer, vol. 14(4), pages 537-552, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zamani, Omid & Chibanda, Craig & Pelikan, Janine, 2021. "Investigating Alternative Poultry Trade Policies in the Context of African Countries: Evidence from Ghana," 2021 Conference, August 17-31, 2021, Virtual 315173, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    2. Mikhail Krivko & Luboš Smutka, 2020. "Trade Sanctions and Agriculture Support in Milk and Dairy Industry: Case of Russia," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(24), pages 1-17, December.
    3. Heigermoser, Maximilian & Jamali Jaghdani, Tinoush & Götz, Linde, 2022. "Russia's agri-food trade with the Middle East and North Africa," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, pages 253-277.
    4. Isabel Knößlsdorfer & Matin Qaim, 2023. "Cheap chicken in Africa: Would import restrictions be pro-poor?," Food Security: The Science, Sociology and Economics of Food Production and Access to Food, Springer;The International Society for Plant Pathology, vol. 15(3), pages 791-804, June.
    5. Loginova, Daria, 2022. "Assessing the Short-term Effect of Exchange Rate Liberalisation on Food Import Prices: The Regression Discontinuity in Time Employed for Russian Food Markets in 2014," Research on World Agricultural Economy, Nan Yang Academy of Sciences Pte Ltd (NASS), vol. 3(3), September.
    6. Daria Loginova & Judith Irek, 2022. "Russian meat price transmission and policy interventions in 2014," Agricultural and Food Economics, Springer;Italian Society of Agricultural Economics (SIDEA), vol. 10(1), pages 1-28, December.
    7. Mikhail Krivko & Luboš Smutka, 2021. "Agricultural and Foodstuff Trade between EU28 and Russia: (Non)Uniformity of the Russian Import Ban Impact Distribution," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-15, December.
    8. Zamani, Omid & Chibanda, Craig & Pelikan, Janine, 2020. "Tariff Escalation and Import Bans in the Economic Partnership Agreement between the EU and West Africa," Conference papers 333239, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    EU; Eurasian Economic Union; free trade area; import ban; MAGNET; Russia;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • D58 - Microeconomics - - General Equilibrium and Disequilibrium - - - Computable and Other Applied General Equilibrium Models
    • F13 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations
    • F17 - International Economics - - Trade - - - Trade Forecasting and Simulation
    • Q17 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agriculture in International Trade
    • Q18 - Agricultural and Natural Resource Economics; Environmental and Ecological Economics - - Agriculture - - - Agricultural Policy; Food Policy; Animal Welfare Policy

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