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Mission Abort Policy for Systems with Observable States of Standby Components

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  • Gregory Levitin
  • Liudong Xing
  • Yuanshun Dai

Abstract

For some critical applications, successfully accomplishing the mission or surviving the system through aborting the mission and performing a rescue procedure in the event of certain deterioration condition being satisfied are both pivotal. This has motivated considerable studies on mission abort policies (MAPs) to mitigate the risk of system loss in the past several years, especially for standby systems that use one or multiple standby sparing components to continue the mission when the online component fails, improving the mission success probability. The existing MAPs are mainly based on the number of failed online components ignoring the status of the standby components. This article makes contributions by modeling standby systems subject to MAPs that depend not only on the number of failed online components but also on the number of available standby components remaining. Further, dynamic MAPs considering another additional factor, the time elapsed from the mission beginning in the event of the mission abort decision making, are investigated. The solution methodology encompasses an event‐transition based numerical algorithm for evaluating the mission success probability and system survival probability of standby systems subject to the considered MAPs. Examples are provided to demonstrate the benefit of considering the state of standby components and elapsed operation time in obtaining more flexible MAPs.

Suggested Citation

  • Gregory Levitin & Liudong Xing & Yuanshun Dai, 2020. "Mission Abort Policy for Systems with Observable States of Standby Components," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(10), pages 1900-1912, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:40:y:2020:i:10:p:1900-1912
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.13532
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Meng, Sa & Xing, Liudong & Levitin, Gregory, 2024. "Activation delay and aborting policy minimizing expected losses in consecutive attempts having cumulative effect on mission success," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    2. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Allocation and activation of resource constrained shock-exposed components in heterogeneous 1-out-of-n standby system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    3. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Using kamikaze components in multi-attempt missions with abort option," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    4. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Standby mode transfer schedule minimizing downtime of 1-out-of-N system with storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    5. Zhao, Xian & Li, Rong & Cao, Shuai & Qiu, Qingan, 2023. "Joint modeling of loading and mission abort policies for systems operating in dynamic environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    6. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Multi-attempt missions with multiple rescue options," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    7. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal task sequencing and aborting in multi-attempt multi-task missions with a limited number of attempts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    8. Yaguang Wu, 2023. "Optimal Stopping and Loading Rules Considering Multiple Attempts and Task Success Criteria," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, February.
    9. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Heterogeneous 1-out-of-n standby systems with limited unit operation time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    10. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Predetermined standby mode transfers in 1-out-of-N systems with resource-constrained elements," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    11. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "A new self-adaptive mission aborting policy for systems operating in uncertain random shock environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    12. Zhao, Xian & Wang, Xinlei & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan, 2024. "Joint optimization of loading, mission abort and rescue site selection policies for UAV," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    13. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal aborting policy for shock exposed missions with random rescue time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    14. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Optimal sequencing of elements activation in 1-out-of-n warm standby system with storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    15. Meng, Sa & Xing, Liudong & Levitin, Gregory, 2024. "Optimizing component activation and operation aborting in missions with consecutive attempts and common abort command," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    16. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Optimal task aborting and sequencing in time constrained multi-task multi-attempt missions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    17. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Co-optimizing component allocation and activation sequence in heterogeneous 1-out-of-n standby system exposed to shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    18. Zhao, Xian & Lv, Zuheng & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2023. "Designing two-level rescue depot location and dynamic rescue policies for unmanned vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    19. Zhao, Xian & Liu, Haoran & Wu, Yaguang & Qiu, Qingan, 2023. "Joint optimization of mission abort and system structure considering dynamic tasks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    20. Zhao, Xian & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2022. "Joint optimization of mission aborts and allocation of standby components considering mission loss," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).

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