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Uncertainty Assessment in the Quantification of Risk Rates of Occupational Accidents

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Listed:
  • Ioannis A. Papazoglou
  • Olga Aneziris
  • Linda Bellamy
  • B. J. M. Ale
  • Joy I. H. Oh

Abstract

Occupational risk rates per hour of exposure have been quantified for 63 occupational accident types for the Dutch working population. Data were obtained from the analysis of more than 9,000 accidents that occurred over a period of six years in the Netherlands and resulted in three types of reportable consequences under Dutch law: (a) fatal injury, (b) permanent injury, and (c) serious recoverable injury requiring at least one day of hospitalization. A Bayesian uncertainty assessment on the value of the risk rates has been performed. Annual risks for each of the 63 occupational accident types have been calculated, including the variability in the annual exposure of the working population to the corresponding hazards. The suitability of three risk measures—individual risk rates, individual annual risk, and number of accidents—is examined and discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Ioannis A. Papazoglou & Olga Aneziris & Linda Bellamy & B. J. M. Ale & Joy I. H. Oh, 2015. "Uncertainty Assessment in the Quantification of Risk Rates of Occupational Accidents," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 35(8), pages 1536-1561, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:wly:riskan:v:35:y:2015:i:8:p:1536-1561
    DOI: 10.1111/risa.12354
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Aneziris, O.N. & Topali, E. & Papazoglou, I.A., 2012. "Occupational risk of building construction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 36-46.
    2. Ale, B.J.M. & Bellamy, L.J. & Baksteen, H. & Damen, M. & Goossens, L.H.J. & Hale, A.R. & Mud, M. & Oh, J. & Papazoglou, I.A. & Whiston, J.Y., 2008. "Accidents in the construction industry in the Netherlands: An analysis of accident reports using Storybuilder," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 93(10), pages 1523-1533.
    3. Carmen Carnero, María & José Pedregal, Diego, 2010. "Modelling and forecasting occupational accidents of different severity levels in Spain," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 95(11), pages 1134-1141.
    4. Silva, Joaquim F. & Jacinto, Celeste, 2012. "Finding occupational accident patterns in the extractive industry using a systematic data mining approach," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 108-122.
    5. Papazoglou, Ioannis A. & Ale, Ben J.M., 2007. "A logical model for quantification of occupational risk," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 92(6), pages 785-803.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

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    Cited by:

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    2. Zio, E., 2018. "The future of risk assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 177(C), pages 176-190.
    3. Guizhen Zhang & Vinh V. Thai & Adrian Wing‐Keung Law & Kum Fai Yuen & Hui Shan Loh & Qingji Zhou, 2020. "Quantitative Risk Assessment of Seafarers’ Nonfatal Injuries Due to Occupational Accidents Based on Bayesian Network Modeling," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(1), pages 8-23, January.

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