IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/wly/iecrev/v63y2022i1p391-456.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Parametric Conditional Mean Inference With Functional Data Applied To Lifetime Income Curves

Author

Listed:
  • Jin Seo Cho
  • Peter C. B. Phillips
  • Juwon Seo

Abstract

We propose a framework for estimation of the conditional mean function in a parametric model with function space covariates. The approach employs a functional mean squared error objective criterion. Under regularity conditions, consistency and asymptotic normality are established. The analysis extends to situations where the asymptotic properties are influenced by estimation errors arising from the presence of nuisance parameters. Wald, Lagrange multiplier, and quasi‐likelihood ratio statistics are studied. An empirical application conducts lifetime income path comparisons across different demographic groups according to years of work experience.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2022. "Parametric Conditional Mean Inference With Functional Data Applied To Lifetime Income Curves," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 63(1), pages 391-456, February.
  • Handle: RePEc:wly:iecrev:v:63:y:2022:i:1:p:391-456
    DOI: 10.1111/iere.12548
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/iere.12548
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/iere.12548?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Müller, Hans-Georg & Sen, Rituparna & Stadtmüller, Ulrich, 2011. "Functional data analysis for volatility," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 165(2), pages 233-245.
    2. Federico A. Bugni & Peter Hall & Joel L. Horowitz & George R. Neumann, 2009. "Goodness-of-fit tests for functional data," Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 12(s1), pages 1-18, January.
    3. Jin Seo Cho & Halbert White, 2007. "Testing for Regime Switching," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 75(6), pages 1671-1720, November.
    4. Maxwell B. Stinchcombe & Halbert White, 1992. "Some Measurability Results for Extrema of Random Functions Over Random Sets," The Review of Economic Studies, Review of Economic Studies Ltd, vol. 59(3), pages 495-514.
    5. Erling Barth & James Davis & Richard B. Freeman, 2018. "Augmenting the Human Capital Earnings Equation with Measures of Where People Work," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36(S1), pages 71-97.
    6. Kim, Jihyun & Park, Joon Y., 2017. "Asymptotics for recurrent diffusions with application to high frequency regression," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 196(1), pages 37-54.
    7. Hansen, Bruce E, 1996. "Inference When a Nuisance Parameter Is Not Identified under the Null Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(2), pages 413-430, March.
    8. Franchi, Massimo & Paruolo, Paolo, 2020. "Cointegration In Functional Autoregressive Processes," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 36(5), pages 803-839, October.
    9. Fatih Guvenen, 2009. "An Empirical Investigation of Labor Income Processes," Review of Economic Dynamics, Elsevier for the Society for Economic Dynamics, vol. 12(1), pages 58-79, January.
    10. Fatih Guvenen, 2007. "Learning Your Earning: Are Labor Income Shocks Really Very Persistent?," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 97(3), pages 687-712, June.
    11. Rosen, Sherwin, 2007. "Studies in Labor Markets," National Bureau of Economic Research Books, University of Chicago Press, number 9780226726304, April.
    12. repec:ucp:bknber:9780226726281 is not listed on IDEAS
    13. Baek, Yae In & Cho, Jin Seo & Phillips, Peter C.B., 2015. "Testing linearity using power transforms of regressors," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 187(1), pages 376-384.
    14. Seo, Won-Ki & Beare, Brendan K., 2019. "Cointegrated linear processes in Bayes Hilbert space," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 147(C), pages 90-95.
    15. Jacob Mincer & Boyan Jovanovic, 1981. "Labor Mobility and Wages," NBER Chapters, in: Studies in Labor Markets, pages 21-64, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    16. Lee, Lung-fei & Maddala, G S & Trost, R P, 1980. "Asymptotic Covariance Matrices of Two-Stage Probit and Two-Stage Tobit Methods for Simultaneous Equations Models with Selectivity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 48(2), pages 491-503, March.
    17. Cho, Jin Seo & White, Halbert, 2010. "Testing for unobserved heterogeneity in exponential and Weibull duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 458-480, August.
    18. Newey, Whitney K, 1991. "Uniform Convergence in Probability and Stochastic Equicontinuity," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 59(4), pages 1161-1167, July.
    19. Shoshana Grossbard (ed.), 2006. "Jacob Mincer A Pioneer of Modern Labor Economics," Springer Books, Springer, number 978-0-387-29175-8, June.
    20. Jin Seo Cho & Halbert White, 2014. "Notations in "Testing the Equality of Two Positive-Definite Matrices with Application to Information Matrix Testing" by Cho and White (2014)," Working papers 2014rwp-67a, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    21. Barr Rosenberg, 1973. "The Analysis of a Cross Section of Time Series by Stochastically Convergent Parameter Regression," NBER Chapters, in: Annals of Economic and Social Measurement, Volume 2, number 4, pages 399-428, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    22. Andrews, Donald W.K., 1992. "Generic Uniform Convergence," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 8(2), pages 241-257, June.
    23. Swamy, P A V B & Tavlas, George S, 1995. "Random Coefficient Models: Theory and Applications," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(2), pages 165-196, June.
    24. Jin Seo Cho & Myung-Ho Park & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2018. "Practical Kolmogorov–Smirnov Testing by Minimum Distance Applied to Measure Top Income Shares in Korea," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 36(3), pages 523-537, July.
    25. Thierry Magnac & Nicolas Pistolesi & Sébastien Roux, 2018. "Post-Schooling Human Capital Investments and the Life Cycle of Earnings," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 126(3), pages 1219-1249.
    26. Cardot, Herve & Crambes, Christophe & Kneip, Alois & Sarda, Pascal, 2007. "Smoothing splines estimators in functional linear regression with errors-in-variables," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 51(10), pages 4832-4848, June.
    27. Hsiao, Cheng, 1974. "Statistical Inference for a Model with Both Random Cross-Sectional and Time Effects," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 15(1), pages 12-30, February.
    28. Chen, Xiaohong & Fan, Yanqin, 2006. "Estimation and model selection of semiparametric copula-based multivariate dynamic models under copula misspecification," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 135(1-2), pages 125-154.
    29. White,Halbert, 1996. "Estimation, Inference and Specification Analysis," Cambridge Books, Cambridge University Press, number 9780521574464.
    30. Garrett, Ian & Priestley, Richard, 2000. "Dividend Behaviour and Dividend Signaling," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 35(2), pages 173-189, June.
    31. Heckman, James J. & Lochner, Lance J. & Todd, Petra E., 2006. "Earnings Functions, Rates of Return and Treatment Effects: The Mincer Equation and Beyond," Handbook of the Economics of Education, in: Erik Hanushek & F. Welch (ed.), Handbook of the Economics of Education, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 7, pages 307-458, Elsevier.
    32. Lai, YiHao & Chen, Cathy W.S. & Gerlach, Richard, 2009. "Optimal dynamic hedging via copula-threshold-GARCH models," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2609-2624.
    33. Jeffrey M Wooldridge, 2010. "Econometric Analysis of Cross Section and Panel Data," MIT Press Books, The MIT Press, edition 2, volume 1, number 0262232588, April.
    34. Vuong, Quang H, 1989. "Likelihood Ratio Tests for Model Selection and Non-nested Hypotheses," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 57(2), pages 307-333, March.
    35. Hanfeng Chen & Jiahua Chen & John D. Kalbfleisch, 2001. "A modified likelihood ratio test for homogeneity in finite mixture models," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 63(1), pages 19-29.
    36. Marsh, Terry A & Merton, Robert C, 1987. "Dividend Behavior for the Aggregate Stock Market," The Journal of Business, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(1), pages 1-40, January.
    37. Breusch, T S & Pagan, A R, 1979. "A Simple Test for Heteroscedasticity and Random Coefficient Variation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(5), pages 1287-1294, September.
    38. Lillard, Lee A & Weiss, Yoram, 1979. "Components of Variation in Panel Earnings Data: American Scientists, 1960-70," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 47(2), pages 437-454, March.
    39. Swamy, P. A. V. B. & Tinsley, P. A., 1980. "Linear prediction and estimation methods for regression models with stationary stochastic coefficients," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 12(2), pages 103-142, February.
    40. Brav, Alon & Graham, John R. & Harvey, Campbell R. & Michaely, Roni, 2005. "Payout policy in the 21st century," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(3), pages 483-527, September.
    41. Jacob Mincer, 1958. "Investment in Human Capital and Personal Income Distribution," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 66(4), pages 281-281.
    42. repec:bla:scandj:v:92:y:1990:i:1:p:81-98 is not listed on IDEAS
    43. David H. Autor & Lawrence F. Katz & Alan B. Krueger, 1998. "Computing Inequality: Have Computers Changed the Labor Market?," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 113(4), pages 1169-1213.
    44. T. Ramanathan & M. Rajarshi, 1992. "Rank tests for testing randomness of a regression coefficient in a linear regression model," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 39(1), pages 113-124, December.
    45. Andrews, Donald W K, 2001. "Testing When a Parameter Is on the Boundary of the Maintained Hypothesis," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 69(3), pages 683-734, May.
    46. Crambes, Christophe & Gannoun, Ali & Henchiri, Yousri, 2013. "Support vector machine quantile regression approach for functional data: Simulation and application studies," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 50-68.
    47. Jacob A. Mincer, 1974. "Schooling and Earnings," NBER Chapters, in: Schooling, Experience, and Earnings, pages 41-63, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    48. Jacob A. Mincer, 1974. "Schooling, Experience, and Earnings," NBER Books, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc, number minc74-1.
    49. Ling Hu, 2006. "Dependence patterns across financial markets: a mixed copula approach," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 16(10), pages 717-729.
    50. Stinchcombe, Maxwell B. & White, Halbert, 1998. "Consistent Specification Testing With Nuisance Parameters Present Only Under The Alternative," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 14(3), pages 295-325, June.
    51. Amemiya, Takeshi, 1979. "The Estimation of a Simultaneous-Equation Tobit Model," International Economic Review, Department of Economics, University of Pennsylvania and Osaka University Institute of Social and Economic Research Association, vol. 20(1), pages 169-181, February.
    52. Chunrong Ai & Xiaohong Chen, 2003. "Efficient Estimation of Models with Conditional Moment Restrictions Containing Unknown Functions," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(6), pages 1795-1843, November.
    53. Andres, Christian & Betzer, André & Goergen, Marc & Renneboog, Luc, 2009. "Dividend policy of German firms: A panel data analysis of partial adjustment models," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 16(2), pages 175-187, March.
    54. Rubén Loaiza‐Maya & Michael S. Smith & Worapree Maneesoonthorn, 2018. "Time series copulas for heteroskedastic data," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(3), pages 332-354, April.
    55. David M. Zimmer, 2012. "The Role of Copulas in the Housing Crisis," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 94(2), pages 607-620, May.
    56. Kung-Yee Liang & Paul J. Rathouz, 1999. "Hypothesis Testing Under Mixture Models: Application to Genetic Linkage Analysis," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 65-74, March.
    57. Guanqun Cao & Lijian Yang & David Todem, 2012. "Simultaneous inference for the mean function based on dense functional data," Journal of Nonparametric Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 24(2), pages 359-377.
    58. Chang, Yoosoon & Kim, Chang Sik & Park, Joon Y., 2016. "Nonstationarity in time series of state densities," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 192(1), pages 152-167.
    59. Wong, Tony Siu Tung & Li, Wai Keung, 2014. "Test for homogeneity in gamma mixture models using likelihood ratio," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 127-137.
    60. White, Halbert, 1982. "Maximum Likelihood Estimation of Misspecified Models," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(1), pages 1-25, January.
    61. Clara Happ & Sonja Greven, 2018. "Multivariate Functional Principal Component Analysis for Data Observed on Different (Dimensional) Domains," Journal of the American Statistical Association, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 113(522), pages 649-659, April.
    62. Brendan K. Beare & Juwon Seo & Won-Ki Seo, 2017. "Cointegrated Linear Processes in Hilbert Space," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 38(6), pages 1010-1027, November.
    63. Jin Seo Cho & Halbert White, 2014. "Testing the Equality of Two Positive-Definite Matrices with Application to Information Matrix Testing," Working papers 2014rwp-67, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2023. "Functional Data Inference in a Parametric Quantile Model applied to Lifetime Income Curves," Working papers 2023rwp-211, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2019. "Parametric Inference on the Mean of Functional Data Applied to Lifetime Income Curves," Working papers 2019rwp-153, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    2. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips, 2018. "Sequentially testing polynomial model hypotheses using power transforms of regressors," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(1), pages 141-159, January.
    3. Jin Seo Cho & Meng Huang & Halbert White, 2021. "Testing a Constant Mean Function Using Functional Regression," Working papers 2021rwp-190, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    4. Cho, Jin Seo & White, Halbert, 2010. "Testing for unobserved heterogeneity in exponential and Weibull duration models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 458-480, August.
    5. Fortin, Bernard & Ragued, Safa, 2017. "Does temporary interruption in postsecondary education induce a wage penalty? Evidence from Canada," Economics of Education Review, Elsevier, vol. 58(C), pages 108-122.
    6. Magnac, Thierry & Roux, Sébastien, 2021. "Heterogeneity and wage inequalities over the life cycle," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 134(C).
    7. Jin Seo Cho & Peter C. B. Phillips & Juwon Seo, 2023. "Functional Data Inference in a Parametric Quantile Model applied to Lifetime Income Curves," Working papers 2023rwp-211, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    8. Polachek, Solomon W., 2008. "Earnings Over the Life Cycle: The Mincer Earnings Function and Its Applications," Foundations and Trends(R) in Microeconomics, now publishers, vol. 4(3), pages 165-272, April.
    9. Jin Seo Cho & Meng Huang & Halbert White, 2009. "Testing for a Constant Mean Function using Functional Regression," Discussion Paper Series 0915, Institute of Economic Research, Korea University.
    10. Toda, Alexis Akira, 2012. "The double power law in income distribution: Explanations and evidence," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 84(1), pages 364-381.
    11. Jin Seo Cho & Jin Seok Park & Sang Woo Park, 2018. "Testing for the Conditional Geometric Mixture Distribution," Working papers 2018rwp-123, Yonsei University, Yonsei Economics Research Institute.
    12. Jean-Marc Fournier & Isabell Koske, 2012. "The determinants of earnings inequality: evidence from quantile regressions," OECD Journal: Economic Studies, OECD Publishing, vol. 2012(1), pages 7-36.
    13. Nikolov, Plamen & Jimi, Nusrat & Chang, Jerray, 2020. "The Importance of Cognitive Domains and the Returns to Schooling in South Africa: Evidence from Two Labor Surveys," Labour Economics, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).
    14. James J. Heckman, 2006. "Some Brief Remarks on the Life and Work of Jacob Mincer," Springer Books, in: Shoshana Grossbard (ed.), Jacob Mincer A Pioneer of Modern Labor Economics, chapter 1, pages 3-5, Springer.
    15. Giesecke, Matthias & Bönke, Timm & Lüthen, Holger, 2011. "The Dynamics of Earnings in Germany: Evidence from Social Security Records," VfS Annual Conference 2011 (Frankfurt, Main): The Order of the World Economy - Lessons from the Crisis 48692, Verein für Socialpolitik / German Economic Association.
    16. Yang, Guanyi, 2018. "Endogenous Skills and Labor Income Inequality," MPRA Paper 89638, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    17. Gizem Akar & Binnur Balkan & Semih Tümen, 2013. "Overview of Firm-Size and Gender Pay Gaps in Turkey: The Role of Informal Employment," Ekonomi-tek - International Economics Journal, Turkish Economic Association, vol. 2(3), pages 1-21, September.
    18. Magnac, Thierry & Pistolesi, Nicolas & Roux, Sébastien, 2013. "Post schooling human capital investments and the life cycle variance of earnings," TSE Working Papers 13-380, Toulouse School of Economics (TSE).
    19. Necker, Sarah & Voskort, Andrea, 2014. "Intergenerational transmission of risk attitudes – A revealed preference approach," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 65(C), pages 66-89.
    20. Brown, Jeffrey R. & Fang, Chichun & Gomes, Francisco, 2015. "Risks and returns to education over time," CFS Working Paper Series 512, Center for Financial Studies (CFS).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:wly:iecrev:v:63:y:2022:i:1:p:391-456. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://edirc.repec.org/data/deupaus.html .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.