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The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in an Inflation Targeting Country: The Case of Turkey

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  • Giray Gozgor

    (Department of International Trade and Business, Dogus University, Kadikoy-Istanbul, 34722, Turkey)

Abstract

The possible short-run trade-off between the inflation (gap) and the output (gap) remains a critical policy issue for any emerging economy; particularly when an implicit or an explicit inflation targeting monetary policy is considered. The New Keynesian Phillips Curve (NKPC) has recently set up a framework on the trade-off between the inflation (gap) and the difference between the actual output and potential (efficient) output under the assumption of real wage rigidities. In this paper, we estimate the NKPC based on this framework for the Turkish economy over a period of implicit and explicit inflation targeting monetary policy. The results from Generalized Methods of Moments (GMM) estimation suggest that empirical findings are consistent with the theoretical background and the parameter restrictions are satisfied.

Suggested Citation

  • Giray Gozgor, 2013. "The New Keynesian Phillips Curve in an Inflation Targeting Country: The Case of Turkey," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 6(1), pages 7-18, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:tei:journl:v:6:y:2013:i:1:p:7-18
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    Cited by:

    1. Sibel Cengiz & Afsin Sahin, 2014. "Modelling nonlinear behavior of labor force participation rate by STAR: An application for Turkey," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 7(1), pages 113-127, April.
    2. Georgios Karras, 2013. "Inflation and the Great Moderation: Evidence from a Large Panel Data Set," International Journal of Business and Economic Sciences Applied Research (IJBESAR), Democritus University of Thrace (DUTH), Kavala Campus, Greece, vol. 6(3), pages 7-19, December.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    New Keynesian Phillips Curve; Real Wage Rigidity; Short-run Trade-off; Turkey; Developing Economies;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • E24 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Consumption, Saving, Production, Employment, and Investment - - - Employment; Unemployment; Wages; Intergenerational Income Distribution; Aggregate Human Capital; Aggregate Labor Productivity
    • E31 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles - - - Price Level; Inflation; Deflation
    • C52 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric Modeling - - - Model Evaluation, Validation, and Selection

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