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A note on "Modelling exchange rate returns: which flexible distribution to use?"

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  • Saralees Nadarajah
  • Emmanuel Afuecheta
  • Stephen Chan

Abstract

Corlu and Corlu [ Quant. Finance , 2014, doi: 10.1080/14697688.2014.942231] provided a novel modelling of exchange rate data for nine currencies using five flexible distributions. They stated that the generalized lambda, skew t and normal inverse Gaussian distributions 'do a good job'. Here, we reanalyse the data and show that a distribution simpler than all of these fits at least as well as these distributions. We also find that the normal inverse Gaussian distribution provides good fits for only one of the data-sets.

Suggested Citation

  • Saralees Nadarajah & Emmanuel Afuecheta & Stephen Chan, 2015. "A note on "Modelling exchange rate returns: which flexible distribution to use?"," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 1777-1785, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:taf:quantf:v:15:y:2015:i:11:p:1777-1785
    DOI: 10.1080/14697688.2015.1032997
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhu, Dongming & Galbraith, John W., 2010. "A generalized asymmetric Student-t distribution with application to financial econometrics," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 157(2), pages 297-305, August.
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    3. Paul H. Kupiec, 1995. "Techniques for verifying the accuracy of risk measurement models," Finance and Economics Discussion Series 95-24, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System (U.S.).
    4. Hamparsum Bozdogan, 1987. "Model selection and Akaike's Information Criterion (AIC): The general theory and its analytical extensions," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 52(3), pages 345-370, September.
    5. Adelchi Azzalini & Antonella Capitanio, 2003. "Distributions generated by perturbation of symmetry with emphasis on a multivariate skew t‐distribution," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 65(2), pages 367-389, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Stephen Chan & Jeffrey Chu & Saralees Nadarajah & Joerg Osterrieder, 2017. "A Statistical Analysis of Cryptocurrencies," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 10(2), pages 1-23, May.
    2. Till Massing, 2019. "What is the best Lévy model for stock indices? A comparative study with a view to time consistency," Financial Markets and Portfolio Management, Springer;Swiss Society for Financial Market Research, vol. 33(3), pages 277-344, September.
    3. Lasko Basnarkov & Viktor Stojkoski & Zoran Utkovski & Ljupco Kocarev, 2019. "Option Pricing With Heavy-Tailed Distributions Of Logarithmic Returns," International Journal of Theoretical and Applied Finance (IJTAF), World Scientific Publishing Co. Pte. Ltd., vol. 22(07), pages 1-35, November.
    4. Jeffrey Chu & Saralees Nadarajah & Stephen Chan, 2015. "Statistical Analysis of the Exchange Rate of Bitcoin," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 10(7), pages 1-27, July.
    5. Ayman Alzaatreh & Hana Sulieman, 2021. "On fitting cryptocurrency log-return exchange rates," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 60(3), pages 1157-1174, March.
    6. Peng, Zuoxiang & Li, Chunqiao & Nadarajah, Saralees, 2016. "Extremal properties of the skew-t distribution," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 10-19.
    7. Noe Rodriguez-Rodriguez & Octavio Miramontes, 2022. "Shannon entropy: an econophysical approach to cryptocurrency portfolios," Papers 2210.02633, arXiv.org.
    8. Massing, Till & Ramos, Arturo, 2021. "Student’s t mixture models for stock indices. A comparative study," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 580(C).

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