IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/sae/somere/v33y2004i2p261-304.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multimodel Inference

Author

Listed:
  • Kenneth P. Burnham
  • David R. Anderson

    (Colorado Cooperative Fish and Wildlife Research Unit (USGS-BRD))

Abstract

The model selection literature has been generally poor at reflecting the deep foundations of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and at making appropriate comparisons to the Bayesian information criterion (BIC). There is a clear philosophy, a sound criterion based in information theory, and a rigorous statistical foundation for AIC. AIC can be justified as Bayesian using a “savvy†prior on models that is a function of sample size and the number of model parameters. Furthermore, BIC can be derived as a non-Bayesian result. Therefore, arguments about using AIC versus BIC for model selection cannot be from a Bayes versus frequentist perspective. The philosophical context of what is assumed about reality, approximating models, and the intent of model-based inference should determine whether AIC or BIC is used. Various facets of such multimodel inference are presented here, particularly methods of model averaging.

Suggested Citation

  • Kenneth P. Burnham & David R. Anderson, 2004. "Multimodel Inference," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 33(2), pages 261-304, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:somere:v:33:y:2004:i:2:p:261-304
    DOI: 10.1177/0049124104268644
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://journals.sagepub.com/doi/10.1177/0049124104268644
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1177/0049124104268644?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Akaike, Hirotugu, 1981. "Likelihood of a model and information criteria," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 16(1), pages 3-14, May.
    2. David J. Spiegelhalter & Nicola G. Best & Bradley P. Carlin & Angelika Van Der Linde, 2002. "Bayesian measures of model complexity and fit," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 64(4), pages 583-639, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Dziauddin, Mohd Faris, 2019. "Estimating land value uplift around light rail transit stations in Greater Kuala Lumpur: An empirical study based on geographically weighted regression (GWR)," Research in Transportation Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 10-20.
    2. Qian Chen & David E. Giles & Hui Feng, 2012. "The extreme-value dependence between the Chinese and other international stock markets," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(14), pages 1147-1160, July.
    3. Lindsay Vollmar & Christopher R. McIntosh & Jonathan Bossenbroek, 2015. "Anglers' responses to bait certification regulations: the case of virus-free bait demand," Journal of Environmental Economics and Policy, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 4(3), pages 223-237, November.
    4. Remy, Emmanuel & Corset, Franck & Despréaux, Stéphane & Doyen, Laurent & Gaudoin, Olivier, 2013. "An example of integrated approach to technical and economic optimization of maintenance," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 8-19.
    5. Lawrence Raffalovich & Glenn Deane & David Armstrong & Hui-Shien Tsao, 2008. "Model selection procedures in social research: Monte-Carlo simulation results," Journal of Applied Statistics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 35(10), pages 1093-1114.
    6. D. J. Eck & R. D. Cook, 2017. "Weighted envelope estimation to handle variability in model selection," Biometrika, Biometrika Trust, vol. 104(3), pages 743-749.
    7. Saralees Nadarajah & Emmanuel Afuecheta & Stephen Chan, 2015. "A note on "Modelling exchange rate returns: which flexible distribution to use?"," Quantitative Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 15(11), pages 1777-1785, November.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Congdon, P., 2005. "Bayesian predictive model comparison via parallel sampling," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 48(4), pages 735-753, April.
    2. Buddhavarapu, Prasad & Bansal, Prateek & Prozzi, Jorge A., 2021. "A new spatial count data model with time-varying parameters," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 150(C), pages 566-586.
    3. Mumtaz, Haroon & Theodoridis, Konstantinos, 2017. "Common and country specific economic uncertainty," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 105(C), pages 205-216.
    4. Christina Leuker & Thorsten Pachur & Ralph Hertwig & Timothy J. Pleskac, 2019. "Do people exploit risk–reward structures to simplify information processing in risky choice?," Journal of the Economic Science Association, Springer;Economic Science Association, vol. 5(1), pages 76-94, August.
    5. Rubio, F.J. & Steel, M.F.J., 2011. "Inference for grouped data with a truncated skew-Laplace distribution," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 55(12), pages 3218-3231, December.
    6. Alessandri, Piergiorgio & Mumtaz, Haroon, 2019. "Financial regimes and uncertainty shocks," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 31-46.
    7. Svetlana V. Tishkovskaya & Paul G. Blackwell, 2021. "Bayesian estimation of heterogeneous environments from animal movement data," Environmetrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 32(6), September.
    8. Karakotsios, Achillefs & Katrakilidis, Constantinos & Kroupis, Nikolaos, 2021. "The dynamic linkages between food prices and oil prices. Does asymmetry matter?," The Journal of Economic Asymmetries, Elsevier, vol. 23(C).
    9. Leonardo Oliveira Martins & Hirohisa Kishino, 2010. "Distribution of distances between topologies and its effect on detection of phylogenetic recombination," Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, Springer;The Institute of Statistical Mathematics, vol. 62(1), pages 145-159, February.
    10. Tamal Ghosh & Malay Ghosh & Jerry J. Maples & Xueying Tang, 2022. "Multivariate Global-Local Priors for Small Area Estimation," Stats, MDPI, vol. 5(3), pages 1-16, July.
    11. Ruiz Vargas, E. & Mitchell, D.G.V. & Greening, S.G. & Wahl, L.M., 2014. "Topology of whole-brain functional MRI networks: Improving the truncated scale-free model," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 405(C), pages 151-158.
    12. Eibich, Peter & Ziebarth, Nicolas, 2014. "Examining the Structure of Spatial Health Effects in Germany Using Hierarchical Bayes Models," EconStor Open Access Articles and Book Chapters, ZBW - Leibniz Information Centre for Economics, vol. 49, pages 305-320.
    13. Wu, Ji & Guo, Mengmeng & Chen, Minghua & Jeon, Bang Nam, 2019. "Market power and risk-taking of banks: Some semiparametric evidence from emerging economies," Emerging Markets Review, Elsevier, vol. 41(C).
    14. repec:jss:jstsof:21:i08 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Deng, Yaguo, 2016. "Efficiency evaluation of Spanish hotel chains," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 23897, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    16. Cathy W. S. Chen & Sangyeol Lee, 2017. "Bayesian causality test for integer-valued time series models with applications to climate and crime data," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series C, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 66(4), pages 797-814, August.
    17. Makoto Chikaraishi & Akimasa Fujiwara & Junyi Zhang & Kay Axhausen, 2011. "Identifying variations and co-variations in discrete choice models," Transportation, Springer, vol. 38(6), pages 993-1016, November.
    18. Galatia Cleanthous & Emilio Porcu & Philip White, 2021. "Regularity and approximation of Gaussian random fields evolving temporally over compact two-point homogeneous spaces," TEST: An Official Journal of the Spanish Society of Statistics and Operations Research, Springer;Sociedad de Estadística e Investigación Operativa, vol. 30(4), pages 836-860, December.
    19. Baños-Pino, José F. & Boto-García, David & Zapico, Emma, 2021. "Persistence and dynamics in the efficiency of toll motorways: The Spanish case," Efficiency Series Papers 2021/03, University of Oviedo, Department of Economics, Oviedo Efficiency Group (OEG).
    20. Xing Ju Lee & Christopher C. Drovandi & Anthony N. Pettitt, 2015. "Model choice problems using approximate Bayesian computation with applications to pathogen transmission data sets," Biometrics, The International Biometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 198-207, March.
    21. Farrell, Terence C. & Hopkins, David L., 2007. "A hedonic Model of Lamb Carcass Attributes," Australasian Agribusiness Review, University of Melbourne, Department of Agriculture and Food Systems, vol. 15.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:sae:somere:v:33:y:2004:i:2:p:261-304. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: SAGE Publications (email available below). General contact details of provider: .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.