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Calculation of Critical Rainfall for Small-Watershed Flash Floods Based on the HEC-HMS Hydrological Model

Author

Listed:
  • Wenlin Yuan

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Meiqi Liu

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Fang Wan

    (North China University of Water Resources and Electric Power)

Abstract

The sudden occurrence and randomness of heavy rainstorms in hilly areas pose challenges to the identification of early warning indicators for mountain flash flood. This study explores the variation of critical rainfall under different rainfall patterns, mainly considering the effect of differences in the timing of peak rainfall (i.e., early, late or in the middle of the rainfall process). The HEC-HMS model was used to simulate the rainfall-runoff process and determine the early warning indicators under different rainfall patterns through repeated trial calculation. The time-interval characteristic rainfall assessment method was then used to verify the theoretical value of critical rainfall against information from actual flood disasters. The results show that: (1) The timing of peak rainfall within the rainfall event is negatively correlated with the magnitude of the critical rainfall. (2) Critical rainfall is more sensitive to rainfall pattern than to soil moisture content. (3) For the three early warning periods considered, the critical rainfall with the BEF rainfall pattern is about 1.20–1.22 times that with pattern MID, while the critical rainfall with the MID rainfall pattern is about 1.24 times that with BEH. Thus, this paper elucidates the impact of the randomness of rainfall patterns on critical rainfall and provides a valuable reference for the analysis and calculation of early warning indicators of mountain flash flood.

Suggested Citation

  • Wenlin Yuan & Meiqi Liu & Fang Wan, 2019. "Calculation of Critical Rainfall for Small-Watershed Flash Floods Based on the HEC-HMS Hydrological Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(7), pages 2555-2575, May.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:33:y:2019:i:7:d:10.1007_s11269-019-02257-0
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-019-02257-0
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. V. Montesarchio & F. Napolitano & M. Rianna & E. Ridolfi & F. Russo & S. Sebastianelli, 2015. "Comparison of methodologies for flood rainfall thresholds estimation," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 75(1), pages 909-934, January.
    2. Eyad Abushandi & Broder Merkel, 2013. "Modelling Rainfall Runoff Relations Using HEC-HMS and IHACRES for a Single Rain Event in an Arid Region of Jordan," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2391-2409, May.
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    Cited by:

    1. Wen-Cheng Liu & Tien-Hsiang Hsieh & Hong-Ming Liu, 2021. "Flood Risk Assessment in Urban Areas of Southern Taiwan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(6), pages 1-22, March.
    2. Xiaoyang Tang & Deshan Tang & Fulin Zhang, 2024. "A Framework for Algorithmic Improvement to Mitigate the Effects of Equifinality in the Calibration of High-dimensional Parameters for Hydrological Models," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(1), pages 251-267, January.
    3. Muhammad Waseem Boota & Chaode Yan & Tanveer Abbas & Ziwei Li & Ming Dou & Ayesha Yousaf, 2021. "Comparative study of flash flood in ungauged watershed with special emphasizing on rough set theory for handling the missing hydrological values," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 109(2), pages 1387-1405, November.
    4. Adam P. Piotrowski & Marzena Osuch & Jarosław J. Napiorkowski, 2019. "Joint Optimization of Conceptual Rainfall-Runoff Model Parameters and Weights Attributed to Meteorological Stations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(13), pages 4509-4524, October.
    5. Salwa Ramly & Wardah Tahir & Jazuri Abdullah & Janmaizatulriah Jani & Suzana Ramli & Arnis Asmat, 2020. "Flood Estimation for SMART Control Operation Using Integrated Radar Rainfall Input with the HEC-HMS Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(10), pages 3113-3127, August.
    6. Shaohong Li & Peng Cui & Ping Cheng & Lizhou Wu, 2022. "Modified Green–Ampt Model Considering Vegetation Root Effect and Redistribution Characteristics for Slope Stability Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 36(7), pages 2395-2410, May.

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