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Hydropower Reservoir Management Under Climate Change: The Karoon Reservoir System

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  • Mahsa Jahandideh-Tehrani
  • Omid Bozorg Haddad
  • Hugo Loáiciga

Abstract

This study assesses the performance of hydropower production by reservoirs with and without climate change impacts on river discharge. The case study of this research includes the Khersan 1, Karoon 4, and Karoon 3 reservoirs in Iran. The HADCM3 climate model with A2 greenhouse gas emission scenario is coupled with proportional downscaling to assess the impact of climate change on river discharge and reservoir hydropower production. The IHACRES rainfall- runoff model is implemented for calculating river discharge under climate-change conditions. Reservoir simulation and optimization models are implemented to calculate hydropower production in the base period (1986–2000), future period 1 (2025–2039), future period 2 (2055–2069), and future period 3 (2085–2099). The power production and performance criteria of the reservoirs are calculated using simulation (standard operating policy) and optimization models in the considered periods. Our results show that the largest reductions of reservoir discharge correspond, in decreasing order, to the future periods 3, 1, and 2, respectively. Moreover, the hydropower production obtained with the optimization model is found to be larger than that obtained with the simulation model. The calculated increase in power production in the base period and future periods 1, 2, and 3 is equal to 6, 19, 10, and 22 %, respectively. These results demonstrate the benefit of applying optimization modeling for hydropower production in the Khersan -Karoon reservoir system to mitigate and adapt to climate-change impacts on river discharge. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media Dordrecht 2015

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  • Mahsa Jahandideh-Tehrani & Omid Bozorg Haddad & Hugo Loáiciga, 2015. "Hydropower Reservoir Management Under Climate Change: The Karoon Reservoir System," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(3), pages 749-770, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:29:y:2015:i:3:p:749-770
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-014-0840-7
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Elahe Fallah-Mehdipour & Omid Bozorg Haddad & Soheila Beygi & Miguel Mariño, 2011. "Effect of Utility Function Curvature of Young’s Bargaining Method on the Design of WDNs," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(9), pages 2197-2218, July.
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    4. Moradi-Jalal, Mahdi & Bozorg Haddad, Omid & Karney, Bryan W. & Marino, Miguel A., 2007. "Reservoir operation in assigning optimal multi-crop irrigation areas," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 90(1-2), pages 149-159, May.
    5. Fabio Zagonari, 2010. "Sustainable, Just, Equal, and Optimal Groundwater Management Strategies to Cope with Climate Change: Insights from Brazil," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(13), pages 3731-3756, October.
    6. Kaveh Madani & Miguel Mariño, 2009. "System Dynamics Analysis for Managing Iran’s Zayandeh-Rud River Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(11), pages 2163-2187, September.
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    Cited by:

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    7. Stucchi, Leonardo & Bocchiola, Daniele & Simoni, Camilla & Ambrosini, Stefano Romano & Bianchi, Alberto & Rosso, Renzo, 2023. "Future hydropower production under the framework of NextGenerationEU: The case of Santa Giustina reservoir in Italian Alps," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    8. Turner, Sean W.D. & Hejazi, Mohamad & Kim, Son H. & Clarke, Leon & Edmonds, Jae, 2017. "Climate impacts on hydropower and consequences for global electricity supply investment needs," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 141(C), pages 2081-2090.
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    10. Wang, Chong & Ju, Ping & Wu, Feng & Pan, Xueping & Wang, Zhaoyu, 2022. "A systematic review on power system resilience from the perspective of generation, network, and load," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 167(C).
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    12. Ming Zhang & Fei Yang & Jing-Xiu Wu & Zi-Wu Fan & Ying-Ying Wang, 2016. "Application of Minimum Reward Risk Model in Reservoir Generation Scheduling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(4), pages 1345-1355, March.
    13. Elpida Kolokytha & Dimitrios Malamataris, 2020. "Integrated Water Management Approach for Adaptation to Climate Change in Highly Water Stressed Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(3), pages 1173-1197, February.
    14. Mohammad Ehteram & Ali Najah Ahmed & Ming Fai Chow & Sarmad Dashti Latif & Kwok-wing Chau & Kai Lun Chong & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2023. "Optimal operation of hydropower reservoirs under climate change," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(10), pages 10627-10659, October.
    15. Hassan Alimohammadi & Ali Reza Massah Bavani & Abbas Roozbahani, 2020. "Mitigating the Impacts of Climate Change on the Performance of Multi-Purpose Reservoirs by Changing the Operation Policy from SOP to MLDR," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(4), pages 1495-1516, March.
    16. Parisa-Sadat Ashofteh & Omid Bozorg-Haddad & Hugo A. Loáiciga, 2017. "Multi-Criteria Environmental Impact Assessment of Alternative Irrigation Networks with an Adopted Matrix-Based Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 903-928, February.
    17. Mohammad Nikoo & Nafise Khorramshokouh & Shahryar Monghasemi, 2015. "Optimal Design of Detention Rockfill Dams Using a Simulation-Based Optimization Approach with Mixed Sediment in the Flow," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(15), pages 5469-5488, December.

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