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River Flow Estimation and Forecasting by Using Two Different Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches

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  • Hadi Sanikhani
  • Ozgur Kisi

Abstract

This paper demonstrates the application of two different adaptive neuro-fuzzy (ANFIS) techniques for the estimation of monthly streamflows. In the first part of the study, two different ANFIS models, namely ANFIS with grid partition (ANFIS-GP) and ANFIS with sub clustering (ANFIS-SC), were used in one-month ahead streamflow forecasting and the results were evaluated. Monthly flow data from two stations, the Besiri Station on the Garzan Stream and the Baykan Station on the Bitlis Stream in the Firat-Dicle Basin of Turkey were used in the study. The effect of periodicity on the model’s forecasting performance was also investigated. In the second part of the study, the performance of the ANFIS techniques was tested for streamflow estimation using data from the nearby river. The results indicated that the performance of the ANFIS-SC model was slightly better than the ANFIS-GP model in streamflow forecasting. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Hadi Sanikhani & Ozgur Kisi, 2012. "River Flow Estimation and Forecasting by Using Two Different Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(6), pages 1715-1729, April.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:6:p:1715-1729
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-9982-7
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    5. Veysel Güldal & Hakan Tongal, 2010. "Comparison of Recurrent Neural Network, Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Inference System and Stochastic Models in Eğirdir Lake Level Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(1), pages 105-128, January.
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    7. Manish Goyal & C. Ojha, 2011. "Estimation of Scour Downstream of a Ski-Jump Bucket Using Support Vector and M5 Model Tree," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(9), pages 2177-2195, July.
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    7. Bhuvanamitra Sulugodu & Paresh Chandra Deka, 2019. "Evaluating the Performance of CHIRPS Satellite Rainfall Data for Streamflow Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(11), pages 3913-3927, September.
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    14. Kartal, Furkan & Özveren, Uğur, 2022. "Prediction of torrefied biomass properties from raw biomass," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 182(C), pages 578-591.
    15. Ozgur Kisi, 2015. "Streamflow Forecasting and Estimation Using Least Square Support Vector Regression and Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Embedded Fuzzy c-means Clustering," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(14), pages 5109-5127, November.
    16. Saeid Mehdizadeh & Ali Kozekalani Sales, 2018. "A Comparative Study of Autoregressive, Autoregressive Moving Average, Gene Expression Programming and Bayesian Networks for Estimating Monthly Streamflow," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(9), pages 3001-3022, July.
    17. Gokmen Tayfur & Ata Nadiri & Asghar Moghaddam, 2014. "Supervised Intelligent Committee Machine Method for Hydraulic Conductivity Estimation," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 1173-1184, March.
    18. Alpaslan Yarar, 2014. "A Hybrid Wavelet and Neuro-Fuzzy Model for Forecasting the Monthly Streamflow Data," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(2), pages 553-565, January.
    19. Babak Mohammadi & Farshad Ahmadi & Saeid Mehdizadeh & Yiqing Guan & Quoc Bao Pham & Nguyen Thi Thuy Linh & Doan Quang Tri, 2020. "Developing Novel Robust Models to Improve the Accuracy of Daily Streamflow Modeling," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(10), pages 3387-3409, August.
    20. Sinan Jasim Hadi & Mustafa Tombul, 2018. "Streamflow Forecasting Using Four Wavelet Transformation Combinations Approaches with Data-Driven Models: A Comparative Study," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 32(14), pages 4661-4679, November.
    21. Behrooz Keshtegar & Mohammed Falah Allawi & Haitham Abdulmohsin Afan & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2016. "Optimized River Stream-Flow Forecasting Model Utilizing High-Order Response Surface Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(11), pages 3899-3914, September.
    22. Mohammed Falah Allawi & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2016. "Utilizing RBF-NN and ANFIS Methods for Multi-Lead ahead Prediction Model of Evaporation from Reservoir," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4773-4788, October.

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