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Utilizing RBF-NN and ANFIS Methods for Multi-Lead ahead Prediction Model of Evaporation from Reservoir

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  • Mohammed Falah Allawi

    (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia)

  • Ahmed El-Shafie

    (Universiti Kebangsaan Malaysia
    University Malaya, Jalan Universiti)

Abstract

Evaporation as a major meteorological component of the hydrologic cycle plays a key role in water resources studies and climate change. The estimation of evaporation is a complex and unsteady process, so it is difficult to derive an accurate physical-based formula to represent all parameters that effect on estimate evaporation. Artificial intelligence-based methods may provide reliable prediction models for several applications in engineering. In this research have been introduced twelve networks with the RBF-NN and ANFIS methods. These models have applied to prediction daily evaporation at Layang reservoir, located in the southeast part of Malaysia. The used meteorological data set to develop the models for prediction daily evaporation rate from water surface for Layang reservoir includes daily air temperature, solar radiation, pan evaporation, and relative humidity that measured at a case study for fourteen years. The obtained result denote to the superiority of the RBF-NN models on the ANFIS models. A comparison of the model performance between RBF-NN and ANFIS models indicated that RBF-NN method presents the best estimates of daily evaporation rate with the minimum MSE 0.0471 , MAE 0.0032, RE and maximum R2 0.963.

Suggested Citation

  • Mohammed Falah Allawi & Ahmed El-Shafie, 2016. "Utilizing RBF-NN and ANFIS Methods for Multi-Lead ahead Prediction Model of Evaporation from Reservoir," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(13), pages 4773-4788, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:30:y:2016:i:13:d:10.1007_s11269-016-1452-1
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-016-1452-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Ahmed El-Shafie & Ali Najah & Humod Alsulami & Heerbod Jahanbani, 2014. "Optimized Neural Network Prediction Model for Potential Evapotranspiration Utilizing Ensemble Procedure," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 947-967, March.
    2. Ahmed El-Shafie & Alaa Abdin & Aboelmagd Noureldin & Mohd Taha, 2009. "Enhancing Inflow Forecasting Model at Aswan High Dam Utilizing Radial Basis Neural Network and Upstream Monitoring Stations Measurements," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(11), pages 2289-2315, September.
    3. Afiq Hipni & Ahmed El-shafie & Ali Najah & Othman Karim & Aini Hussain & Muhammad Mukhlisin, 2013. "Erratum to: Daily Forecasting of Dam Water Levels: Comparing a Support Vector Machine (SVM) Model With Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(11), pages 4113-4113, September.
    4. Hadi Sanikhani & Ozgur Kisi, 2012. "River Flow Estimation and Forecasting by Using Two Different Adaptive Neuro-Fuzzy Approaches," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(6), pages 1715-1729, April.
    5. Afiq Hipni & Ahmed El-shafie & Ali Najah & Othman Karim & Aini Hussain & Muhammad Mukhlisin, 2013. "Daily Forecasting of Dam Water Levels: Comparing a Support Vector Machine (SVM) Model With Adaptive Neuro Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(10), pages 3803-3823, August.
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    Cited by:

    1. Fahimi Farzad & Ahmed H. El-Shafie, 2017. "Performance Enhancement of Rainfall Pattern – Water Level Prediction Model Utilizing Self-Organizing-Map Clustering Method," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(3), pages 945-959, February.
    2. Xinxin He & Jungang Luo & Peng Li & Ganggang Zuo & Jiancang Xie, 2020. "A Hybrid Model Based on Variational Mode Decomposition and Gradient Boosting Regression Tree for Monthly Runoff Forecasting," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(2), pages 865-884, January.

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