IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v26y2012i14p4183-4201.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigating the Vulnerability of Dry-Season Water Supplies to Climate Change: A Case Study of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management System, Korea

Author

Listed:
  • Donghoon Cha
  • Sangeun Lee
  • Heekyung Park

Abstract

This study aims to improve the method to measure the vulnerability of water supply that arises mainly due to water scarcity in the dry season, and a situation that is expected to be exacerbated by climate change. The authors discuss the usefulness of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management Model (GRDM2), which was developed in a previous study, and built on the basis of the adaptation mechanism, specifying the relationship between external disturbances (or future scenarios), system components pertaining to adaptation capacity, and vulnerability. The authors derive a total of 48 future scenarios, which consist of combinations of 6 future inflow scenarios and 8 future water requirement scenarios, of the Gwangdong reservoir drought management system. They then estimate the damage cost due to water scarcity in the dry season until the 2050s after feeding data in each scenario into GRDM2. The simulation reveals that extensive damage due to water scarcity may occur from the 2020s, and catastrophes, with damage four times greater than in the 2009 water scarcity accident, may occur in the 2050s. Assembling those results together, the authors conclude that GRDM2 is useful to measure the magnitude of climate change vulnerability, focusing on damage caused by water scarcity during the dry season. It is finally stated that to well prepare for climate change, engineers should investigate a suitable combination of available solutions, and at the same time perceive the threats that are attributed to high uncertainty. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Donghoon Cha & Sangeun Lee & Heekyung Park, 2012. "Investigating the Vulnerability of Dry-Season Water Supplies to Climate Change: A Case Study of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management System, Korea," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 4183-4201, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:14:p:4183-4201
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0139-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-012-0139-5
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-012-0139-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Mohamed Hamouda & Mohamed Nour El-Din & Fawzia Moursy, 2009. "Vulnerability Assessment of Water Resources Systems in the Eastern Nile Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(13), pages 2697-2725, October.
    2. Predrag Prodanovic & Slobodan Simonovic, 2010. "An Operational Model for Support of Integrated Watershed Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(6), pages 1161-1194, April.
    3. V. Krysanova & Z. Kundzewicz & I. Pińskwar & A. Habeck, 2006. "Regional Socio-economic and Environmental Changes and their Impacts on Water Resources on Example of Odra and Elbe Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(4), pages 607-641, August.
    4. Arnulf Grübler & Nebojsa Nakicenovic, 2001. "Identifying dangers in an uncertain climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 412(6842), pages 15-15, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. O. Haddad & M. Jahandideh-Tehrani & M. Mariño, 2013. "Discussion of “Investigating the Vulnerability of dry-Season Water Supplies to Climate Change: A Case Study of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management System, Korea” by Donghoon Cha; Sangeun Lee; a," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 1893-1896, May.
    2. A. Capra & S. Consoli & B. Scicolone, 2013. "Long-Term Climatic Variability in Calabria and Effects on Drought and Agrometeorological Parameters," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(2), pages 601-617, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Amro Nasr & Oskar Larsson Ivanov & Ivar Björnsson & Jonas Johansson & Dániel Honfi, 2021. "Towards a Conceptual Framework for Built Infrastructure Design in an Uncertain Climate: Challenges and Research Needs," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-19, October.
    2. Hatem Jemmali & Mohamed Salah Matoussi, 2012. "A Multidimensional Analysis of Water Poverty at A Local Scale- Application of Improved Water Poverty Index for Tunisia," Working Papers 730, Economic Research Forum, revised 2012.
    3. Ricky P. Laureta & Ric Ryan H. Regalado & Ermar B. De La Cruz, 2021. "Climate vulnerability scenario of the agricultural sector in the Bicol River Basin, Philippines," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(1), pages 1-18, September.
    4. Olaleye, Olaitan & Baker, Erin, 2015. "Large scale scenario analysis of future low carbon energy options," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 49(C), pages 203-216.
    5. Shijin Wang & Yanqiang Wei, 2019. "Water resource system risk and adaptive management of the Chinese Heihe River Basin in Asian arid areas," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(7), pages 1271-1292, October.
    6. Motilal Ghimire & Niroj Timalsina & Wei Zhao, 2024. "A Geographical approach of watershed prioritization in the Himalayas: a case study in the middle mountain district of Nepal," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(9), pages 23527-23560, September.
    7. Yeonjoo Kim & Eun-Sung Chung, 2013. "Assessing climate change vulnerability with group multi-criteria decision making approaches," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 121(2), pages 301-315, November.
    8. Rajendra Pandey & Ashish Pandey & Ravi Galkate & Hi-Ryong Byun & Bimal Mal, 2010. "Integrating Hydro-Meteorological and Physiographic Factors for Assessment of Vulnerability to Drought," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(15), pages 4199-4217, December.
    9. Saroj Koirala & Yiping Fang & Nirmal Mani Dahal & Chenjia Zhang & Bikram Pandey & Sabita Shrestha, 2020. "Application of Water Poverty Index (WPI) in Spatial Analysis of Water Stress in Koshi River Basin, Nepal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, January.
    10. R. Carballo & J. Cancela & G. Iglesias & A. Marín & X. Neira & T. Cuesta, 2009. "WFD Indicators and Definition of the Ecological Status of Rivers," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(11), pages 2231-2247, September.
    11. Lei Wang & Aifeng Lv, 2022. "Identification and Diagnosis of Transboundary River Basin Water Management in China and Neighboring Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-13, September.
    12. Eun-Sung Chung & Kwangjae Won & Yeonjoo Kim & Hosun Lee, 2014. "Water Resource Vulnerability Characteristics by District’s Population Size in a Changing Climate Using Subjective and Objective Weights," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(9), pages 1-17, September.
    13. Minh Ha-Duong, 2012. "Review of risk and uncertainty concepts for climate change assessments including human dimensions," Working Papers halshs-00008089, HAL.
    14. Sujata Manandhar & Vishnu Pandey & Futaba Kazama, 2012. "Application of Water Poverty Index (WPI) in Nepalese Context: A Case Study of Kali Gandaki River Basin (KGRB)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(1), pages 89-107, January.
    15. Minh Ha-Duong, 2006. "Scenarios, probability and possible futures," Post-Print halshs-00003925, HAL.
    16. Włodzimierz Marszelewski & Bogusław Pawłowski, 2019. "Long-Term Changes in the Course of Ice Phenomena on the Oder River along the Polish–German Border," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(15), pages 5107-5120, December.
    17. Caizhi Sun & Wenxin Liu & Wei Zou, 2016. "Water Poverty in Urban and Rural China Considered Through the Harmonious and Developmental Ability Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(7), pages 2547-2567, May.
    18. Nazli Aydin & Larry Mays & Theo Schmitt, 2014. "Sustainability Assessment of Urban Water Distribution Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 4373-4384, September.
    19. Yifan Ding & Deshan Tang & Huichao Dai & Yuhang Wei, 2014. "Human-Water Harmony Index: A New Approach to Assess the Human Water Relationship," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 1061-1077, March.
    20. Richard Moss, 2011. "Reducing doubt about uncertainty: Guidance for IPCC’s third assessment," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 108(4), pages 641-658, October.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:14:p:4183-4201. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.