IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/waterr/v26y2012i14p4183-4201.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Investigating the Vulnerability of Dry-Season Water Supplies to Climate Change: A Case Study of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management System, Korea

Author

Listed:
  • Donghoon Cha
  • Sangeun Lee
  • Heekyung Park

Abstract

This study aims to improve the method to measure the vulnerability of water supply that arises mainly due to water scarcity in the dry season, and a situation that is expected to be exacerbated by climate change. The authors discuss the usefulness of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management Model (GRDM2), which was developed in a previous study, and built on the basis of the adaptation mechanism, specifying the relationship between external disturbances (or future scenarios), system components pertaining to adaptation capacity, and vulnerability. The authors derive a total of 48 future scenarios, which consist of combinations of 6 future inflow scenarios and 8 future water requirement scenarios, of the Gwangdong reservoir drought management system. They then estimate the damage cost due to water scarcity in the dry season until the 2050s after feeding data in each scenario into GRDM2. The simulation reveals that extensive damage due to water scarcity may occur from the 2020s, and catastrophes, with damage four times greater than in the 2009 water scarcity accident, may occur in the 2050s. Assembling those results together, the authors conclude that GRDM2 is useful to measure the magnitude of climate change vulnerability, focusing on damage caused by water scarcity during the dry season. It is finally stated that to well prepare for climate change, engineers should investigate a suitable combination of available solutions, and at the same time perceive the threats that are attributed to high uncertainty. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2012

Suggested Citation

  • Donghoon Cha & Sangeun Lee & Heekyung Park, 2012. "Investigating the Vulnerability of Dry-Season Water Supplies to Climate Change: A Case Study of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management System, Korea," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(14), pages 4183-4201, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:14:p:4183-4201
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-012-0139-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s11269-012-0139-5
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s11269-012-0139-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Arnulf Grübler & Nebojsa Nakicenovic, 2001. "Identifying dangers in an uncertain climate," Nature, Nature, vol. 412(6842), pages 15-15, July.
    2. V. Krysanova & Z. Kundzewicz & I. Pińskwar & A. Habeck, 2006. "Regional Socio-economic and Environmental Changes and their Impacts on Water Resources on Example of Odra and Elbe Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(4), pages 607-641, August.
    3. Mohamed Hamouda & Mohamed Nour El-Din & Fawzia Moursy, 2009. "Vulnerability Assessment of Water Resources Systems in the Eastern Nile Basin," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(13), pages 2697-2725, October.
    4. Predrag Prodanovic & Slobodan Simonovic, 2010. "An Operational Model for Support of Integrated Watershed Management," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(6), pages 1161-1194, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. A. Capra & S. Consoli & B. Scicolone, 2013. "Long-Term Climatic Variability in Calabria and Effects on Drought and Agrometeorological Parameters," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(2), pages 601-617, January.
    2. O. Haddad & M. Jahandideh-Tehrani & M. Mariño, 2013. "Discussion of “Investigating the Vulnerability of dry-Season Water Supplies to Climate Change: A Case Study of the Gwangdong Reservoir Drought Management System, Korea” by Donghoon Cha; Sangeun Lee; a," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 1893-1896, May.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Hatem Jemmali & Mohamed Salah Matoussi, 2012. "A Multidimensional Analysis of Water Poverty at A Local Scale- Application of Improved Water Poverty Index for Tunisia," Working Papers 730, Economic Research Forum, revised 2012.
    2. Ricky P. Laureta & Ric Ryan H. Regalado & Ermar B. De La Cruz, 2021. "Climate vulnerability scenario of the agricultural sector in the Bicol River Basin, Philippines," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 168(1), pages 1-18, September.
    3. Shijin Wang & Yanqiang Wei, 2019. "Water resource system risk and adaptive management of the Chinese Heihe River Basin in Asian arid areas," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 24(7), pages 1271-1292, October.
    4. Saroj Koirala & Yiping Fang & Nirmal Mani Dahal & Chenjia Zhang & Bikram Pandey & Sabita Shrestha, 2020. "Application of Water Poverty Index (WPI) in Spatial Analysis of Water Stress in Koshi River Basin, Nepal," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-20, January.
    5. Eun-Sung Chung & Kwangjae Won & Yeonjoo Kim & Hosun Lee, 2014. "Water Resource Vulnerability Characteristics by District’s Population Size in a Changing Climate Using Subjective and Objective Weights," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(9), pages 1-17, September.
    6. Minh Ha-Duong, 2006. "Scenarios, probability and possible futures," Post-Print halshs-00003925, HAL.
    7. Caizhi Sun & Wenxin Liu & Wei Zou, 2016. "Water Poverty in Urban and Rural China Considered Through the Harmonious and Developmental Ability Model," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(7), pages 2547-2567, May.
    8. Nazli Aydin & Larry Mays & Theo Schmitt, 2014. "Sustainability Assessment of Urban Water Distribution Systems," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(12), pages 4373-4384, September.
    9. Yifan Ding & Deshan Tang & Huichao Dai & Yuhang Wei, 2014. "Human-Water Harmony Index: A New Approach to Assess the Human Water Relationship," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(4), pages 1061-1077, March.
    10. Nigel W. Arnell & Emma L. Tompkins & W. Neil Adger, 2005. "Eliciting Information from Experts on the Likelihood of Rapid Climate Change," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 25(6), pages 1419-1431, December.
    11. Domenica Mirauda & Marco Ostoich, 2018. "Assessment of Pressure Sources and Water Body Resilience: An Integrated Approach for Action Planning in a Polluted River Basin," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-19, February.
    12. Fabio Zagonari, 2010. "Sustainable, Just, Equal, and Optimal Groundwater Management Strategies to Cope with Climate Change: Insights from Brazil," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(13), pages 3731-3756, October.
    13. Francisco Estrada & Carlos Gay & Cecilia Conde, 2012. "A methodology for the risk assessment of climate variability and change under uncertainty. A case study: coffee production in Veracruz, Mexico," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 113(2), pages 455-479, July.
    14. Anandhi, Aavudai, 2017. "CISTA-A: Conceptual model using indicators selected by systems thinking for adaptation strategies in a changing climate: Case study in agro-ecosystems," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 345(C), pages 41-55.
    15. Jenq-Tzong Shiau & Ya-Yi Hsiao, 2012. "Water-deficit-based drought risk assessments in Taiwan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 64(1), pages 237-257, October.
    16. Emma Norman & Gemma Dunn & Karen Bakker & Diana Allen & Rafael Cavalcanti de Albuquerque, 2013. "Water Security Assessment: Integrating Governance and Freshwater Indicators," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(2), pages 535-551, January.
    17. Xueping Gao & Lingling Chen & Bowen Sun & Yinzhu Liu, 2017. "Employing SWOT Analysis and Normal Cloud Model for Water Resource Sustainable Utilization Assessment and Strategy Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-23, August.
    18. Fred Hattermann & Mathias Weiland & Shaochun Huang & Valentina Krysanova & Zbigniew Kundzewicz, 2011. "Model-Supported Impact Assessment for the Water Sector in Central Germany Under Climate Change—A Case Study," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3113-3134, October.
    19. Lohmann, Larry, 2009. "Toward a different debate in environmental accounting: The cases of carbon and cost-benefit," Accounting, Organizations and Society, Elsevier, vol. 34(3-4), pages 499-534, April.
    20. Eun-Sung Chung & Patricia Jitta Abdulai & Hyesun Park & Yeonjoo Kim & So Ra Ahn & Seong Joon Kim, 2016. "Multi-Criteria Assessment of Spatial Robust Water Resource Vulnerability Using the TOPSIS Method Coupled with Objective and Subjective Weights in the Han River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-17, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:26:y:2012:i:14:p:4183-4201. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.