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Model-Supported Impact Assessment for the Water Sector in Central Germany Under Climate Change—A Case Study

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  • Fred Hattermann
  • Mathias Weiland
  • Shaochun Huang
  • Valentina Krysanova
  • Zbigniew Kundzewicz

Abstract

Climate change challenges water managers and researchers to find sustainable management solutions, in order to avoid undesirable impacts on water resources, environment and water-dependent sectors. Needed are projections into the future for the main driving forces, the resulting pressures on water resources, and quantification of the impacts. Modeling studies can play an important role in investigating, quantifying, and communicating possible impacts of climate change, with account of uncertainty of the results. However, climate change related impacts and a need for adaptation still play a minor role in current river basin management plans that have to comply e.g. with the EU Water Framework Directive (WFD). One important reason is that climate impact assessment is generally done in research institutes, while management plans are designed by practitioners working in national and regional environmental agencies and water supply companies. Knowledge transfer from science to practice and visa versa is often missing. In the present study, we propose a methodology and a case study for model-supported decision making in the water sector applicable to a participatory water resources planning process. The methodology is applied in a case study investigating climate change impacts on water resources. The case study area is the German State of Saxony-Anhalt, where the task was to develop a climate change impact assessment including possible adaptation measures as basis for a federal adaptation directive. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2011

Suggested Citation

  • Fred Hattermann & Mathias Weiland & Shaochun Huang & Valentina Krysanova & Zbigniew Kundzewicz, 2011. "Model-Supported Impact Assessment for the Water Sector in Central Germany Under Climate Change—A Case Study," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(13), pages 3113-3134, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:25:y:2011:i:13:p:3113-3134
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-011-9848-4
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Z. Kundzewicz & H.-J. Schellnhuber, 2004. "Floods in the IPCC TAR Perspective," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 31(1), pages 111-128, January.
    2. V. Krysanova & Z. Kundzewicz & I. Pińskwar & A. Habeck, 2006. "Regional Socio-economic and Environmental Changes and their Impacts on Water Resources on Example of Odra and Elbe Basins," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 20(4), pages 607-641, August.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Melkonyan, Ani, 2015. "Climate change impact on water resources and crop production in Armenia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 161(C), pages 86-101.
    2. Adlul Islam & Alok Sikka & B. Saha & Anamika Singh, 2012. "Streamflow Response to Climate Change in the Brahmani River Basin, India," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(6), pages 1409-1424, April.
    3. F. F. Hattermann & V. Krysanova & S. N. Gosling & R. Dankers & P. Daggupati & C. Donnelly & M. Flörke & S. Huang & Y. Motovilov & S. Buda & T. Yang & C. Müller & G. Leng & Q. Tang & F. T. Portmann & S, 2017. "Cross‐scale intercomparison of climate change impacts simulated by regional and global hydrological models in eleven large river basins," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 141(3), pages 561-576, April.
    4. Mariusz Adynkiewicz-Piragas & Bartłomiej Miszuk, 2020. "Risk Analysis Related to Impact of Climate Change on Water Resources and Hydropower Production in the Lusatian Neisse River Basin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-23, June.
    5. Peter Kreins & Martin Henseler & Jano Anter & Frank Herrmann & Frank Wendland, 2015. "Quantification of Climate Change Impact on Regional Agricultural Irrigation and Groundwater Demand," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(10), pages 3585-3600, August.
    6. Sietz, Diana & Conradt, Tobias & Krysanova, Valentina & Hattermann, Fred F. & Wechsung, Frank, 2021. "The Crop Generator: Implementing crop rotations to effectively advance eco-hydrological modelling," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).

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