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Regional Flood Frequency Analysis Using L-Moments for the West Mediterranean Region of Turkey

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  • Betül Saf

Abstract

The aim of this study is to investigate and determine hydrologically homogeneous regions and to derive regional flood frequency estimates for 47 gauged sites in the West Mediterranean River Basins in Turkey, using an index flood method with L-moments parameter estimation. Screening of the data of the gauged site is carried out based on a discordancy measure in terms of the L-moments. Initial candidate regions are established by the cluster analysis of first five L-moment statistics, using k-means method. Homogeneity of the basins is tested using simulation with a four-parameter Kappa distribution and an L-moments based heterogeneity measure. Three subregions are defined, namely the Antalya subregion, the Lower West Mediterranean subregion, and the Upper West Mediterranean subregion. Comparative regional flood frequency estimates are made for each subregion using various distributions, namely the generalized logistic, general extreme value, generalized normal, Pearson type III, generalized Pareto, kappa, and Wakeby distributions. Based on an L-moments goodness-of-fit statistic, the Pearson type III distribution is identified as the best-fit distribution for the Antalya and Lower-West Mediterranean subregions, and the Generalized Logistic for the Upper-West Mediterranean subregion. Monte Carlo simulation is used to evaluate the accuracy of the quantile estimates on the basis of the relative root-mean-square error and relative bias. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2009

Suggested Citation

  • Betül Saf, 2009. "Regional Flood Frequency Analysis Using L-Moments for the West Mediterranean Region of Turkey," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 23(3), pages 531-551, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:23:y:2009:i:3:p:531-551
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-008-9287-z
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. B. Parida & R. Kachroo & D. Shrestha, 1998. "Regional Flood Frequency Analysis of Mahi-Sabarmati Basin (Subzone 3-a) using Index Flood Procedure with L-Moments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, February.
    2. Rakesh Kumar & C. Chatterjee & Sanjay Kumar & A. Lohani & R. Singh, 2003. "Development of Regional Flood Frequency Relationships Using L-moments for Middle Ganga Plains Subzone 1(f) of India," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 17(4), pages 243-257, August.
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    3. Goyal, Manish Kumar & Gupta, Anil Kumar & Jha, Srinidhi & Rakkasagi, Shivukumar & Jain, Vijay, 2022. "Climate change impact on precipitation extremes over Indian cities: Non-stationary analysis," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 180(C).
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    5. J. Ayuso-Muñoz & A. García-Marín & P. Ayuso-Ruiz & J. Estévez & R. Pizarro-Tapia & E. Taguas, 2015. "A More Efficient Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relationship by Using an “at-site” Regional Frequency Analysis: Application at Mediterranean Climate Locations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3243-3263, July.
    6. Mohamad Najib Ibrahim, 2022. "Assessment of the Uncertainty Associated with Statistical Modeling of Precipitation Extremes for Hydrologic Engineering Applications in Amman, Jordan," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(24), pages 1-20, December.
    7. Zamir Hussain, 2017. "Estimation of flood quantiles at gauged and ungauged sites of the four major rivers of Punjab, Pakistan," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 86(1), pages 107-123, March.
    8. Jian Sha & Zeli Li & Dennis P. Swaney & Bongghi Hong & Wei Wang & Yuqiu Wang, 2014. "Application of a Bayesian Watershed Model Linking Multivariate Statistical Analysis to Support Watershed-Scale Nitrogen Management in China," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(11), pages 3681-3695, September.
    9. Igor Leščešen & Mojca Šraj & Biljana Basarin & Dragoslav Pavić & Minučer Mesaroš & Manfred Mudelsee, 2022. "Regional Flood Frequency Analysis of the Sava River in South-Eastern Europe," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(15), pages 1-19, July.
    10. Pezhman Allahbakhshian-Farsani & Mehdi Vafakhah & Hadi Khosravi-Farsani & Elke Hertig, 2020. "Regional Flood Frequency Analysis Through Some Machine Learning Models in Semi-arid Regions," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(9), pages 2887-2909, July.
    11. Myoung-Jin Um & Hyeseon Yun & Woncheol Cho & Jun-Haeng Heo, 2010. "Analysis of Orographic Precipitation on Jeju-Island Using Regional Frequency Analysis and Regression," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(7), pages 1461-1487, May.
    12. A. Agarwal & R. Maheswaran & J Kurths & R. Khosa, 2016. "Wavelet Spectrum and Self-Organizing Maps-Based Approach for Hydrologic Regionalization -a Case Study in the Western United States," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(12), pages 4399-4413, September.
    13. Neslihan Seckin & Murat Cobaner & Recep Yurtal & Tefaruk Haktanir, 2013. "Comparison of Artificial Neural Network Methods with L-moments for Estimating Flood Flow at Ungauged Sites: the Case of East Mediterranean River Basin, Turkey," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(7), pages 2103-2124, May.
    14. Yuyin Liang & Shuguang Liu & Yiping Guo & Hong Hua, 2017. "L-Moment-Based Regional Frequency Analysis of Annual Extreme Precipitation and its Uncertainty Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(12), pages 3899-3919, September.
    15. Zahrahtul Zakaria & Ani Shabri & Ummi Ahmad, 2012. "Regional Frequency Analysis of Extreme Rainfalls in the West Coast of Peninsular Malaysia using Partial L-Moments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 26(15), pages 4417-4433, December.

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