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Regional Dry Spells Frequency Analysis by L-Moment and Multivariate Analysis

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  • Reza Modarres

Abstract

The spatial variation of the statistical characteristics of the extreme dry events, such as the annual maximum dry spell length (AMDSL), is a key practice for regional drought analysis and mitigation management. For arid and semi arid regions, where the data set is short and insufficient, the regionalization methods are applied to transfer at-site data to a region. The spatial variation and regional frequency distribution of annual maximum dry spell length for Isfahan Province, located in the semi arid region of Iran, was investigated using a daily database compiled from 31 rain gauges and both L-moment and multivariate analysis. The use of L-moment method showed a homogeneous region over entire province with generalized logistic distribution (GLOG) as the regional frequency distribution. However, the cluster analysis performed two regions in west and east of the province where L-moment method demonstrated the homogeneity of the regions and GLOG and Pearson Type III (PIII) distributions as regional frequency distributions for each region, respectively. The principal component analysis was applied on at-site statistics of AMDSL and found the L-coefficient of skewness (LCs) and maximum AMDSL the main variables describing the spatial variation of AMDSL over the Isfahan Province. The comparison of two homogeneous regions also proved the difference between two regions. Therefore, this study indicates the advantage of the use of multivariate methods with L-moment method for hydrologic regionalization and spatial variation of drought statistical characteristics. Copyright Springer Science+Business Media B.V. 2010

Suggested Citation

  • Reza Modarres, 2010. "Regional Dry Spells Frequency Analysis by L-Moment and Multivariate Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 24(10), pages 2365-2380, August.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:24:y:2010:i:10:p:2365-2380
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-009-9556-5
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. B. Parida & R. Kachroo & D. Shrestha, 1998. "Regional Flood Frequency Analysis of Mahi-Sabarmati Basin (Subzone 3-a) using Index Flood Procedure with L-Moments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, February.
    2. Reza Modarres, 2008. "Regional Frequency Distribution Type of Low Flow in North of Iran by L-moments," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 22(7), pages 823-841, July.
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    1. Reza Zamani & Hossein Tabari & Patrick Willems, 2016. "Reply to discussion of “Extreme streamflow drought in the Karkheh river basin (Iran): probabilistic and regional analyses”," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 80(1), pages 19-22, January.
    2. Srimanta Ghosh & K. Srinivasan, 2016. "Analysis of Spatio-temporal Characteristics and Regional Frequency of Droughts in the Southern Peninsula of India," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 30(11), pages 3879-3898, September.
    3. J. Ayuso-Muñoz & A. García-Marín & P. Ayuso-Ruiz & J. Estévez & R. Pizarro-Tapia & E. Taguas, 2015. "A More Efficient Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relationship by Using an “at-site” Regional Frequency Analysis: Application at Mediterranean Climate Locations," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 29(9), pages 3243-3263, July.
    4. Sanfo, Safiétou & Barbier, Bruno & Dabiré, Isabelle W.P. & Vlek, Paul L.G. & Fonta, William M. & Ibrahim, Boubacar & Barry, Boubacar, 2017. "Rainfall variability adaptation strategies: An ex-ante assessment of supplemental irrigation from farm ponds in southern Burkina Faso," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 80-89.
    5. Seyed Banimahd & Davar Khalili, 2013. "Factors Influencing Markov Chains Predictability Characteristics, Utilizing SPI, RDI, EDI and SPEI Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 27(11), pages 3911-3928, September.
    6. Mohammad Ghadami & Tayeb Raziei & Mohsen Amini & Reza Modarres, 2020. "Regionalization of drought severity–duration index across Iran," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 103(3), pages 2813-2827, September.
    7. Ali Assani & Alain Chalifour & Guillaume Légaré & Caza-Szoka Manouane & Denis Leroux, 2011. "Temporal Regionalization of 7-Day Low Flows in the St. Lawrence Watershed in Quebec (Canada)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(14), pages 3559-3574, November.
    8. Yuyin Liang & Shuguang Liu & Yiping Guo & Hong Hua, 2017. "L-Moment-Based Regional Frequency Analysis of Annual Extreme Precipitation and its Uncertainty Analysis," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 31(12), pages 3899-3919, September.
    9. Davar Khalili & Tohid Farnoud & Hamed Jamshidi & Ali Kamgar-Haghighi & Shahrokh Zand-Parsa, 2011. "Comparability Analyses of the SPI and RDI Meteorological Drought Indices in Different Climatic Zones," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 25(6), pages 1737-1757, April.

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