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Risk evaluation of dam-break environmental impacts based on the set pair analysis and cloud model

Author

Listed:
  • Wei Ge

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Zongkun Li

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Wei Li

    (Zhengzhou Railway Vocational and Technical College)

  • Meimei Wu

    (Zhengzhou University)

  • Juanjuan Li

    (Water Resources and Hydropower Investigation, Design and Research Institute Co. Ltd. of Gansu Province)

  • Yipeng Pan

    (Zhengzhou University)

Abstract

Many dams have been constructed around the world. Compared with the potential losses of life and economy, the environmental impacts caused by dam breach were less analyzed. As a systematic theory, the set pair analysis method deals with both the certainty and uncertainty of a system or process as a whole. But when dealing with the analysis of environmental impacts with obvious uncertainty, the fuzziness feature of the indices was not considered comprehensively. Hence, this paper introduced the connection degree of set pair analysis in five grades, and the cloud model-based weight calculation method to improve the evaluation. The proposed method was applied to the case study of Qianping Reservoir, Henan Province, China, showing that the comprehensive environmental impacts caused by the potential dam breach were medium. The results of the study indicate that the proposed method is applicative and provides reliability for environmental impacts evaluation of dam breach.

Suggested Citation

  • Wei Ge & Zongkun Li & Wei Li & Meimei Wu & Juanjuan Li & Yipeng Pan, 2020. "Risk evaluation of dam-break environmental impacts based on the set pair analysis and cloud model," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 104(2), pages 1641-1653, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:nathaz:v:104:y:2020:i:2:d:10.1007_s11069-020-04237-9
    DOI: 10.1007/s11069-020-04237-9
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hexiang Zhang & Wei Ge & Yadong Zhang & Zongkun Li & Wei Li & Junyu Zhu & Wenqi Wang, 2023. "Risk Management Decision of Reservoir Dams Based on the Improved Life Quality Index," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(3), pages 1223-1239, February.
    2. Wang, Te & Li, Zongkun & Ge, Wei & Zhang, Hua & Zhang, Yadong & Sun, Heqiang & Jiao, Yutie, 2023. "Risk consequence assessment of dam breach in cascade reservoirs considering risk transmission and superposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 265(C).
    3. Zhang, Hua & Li, Zongkun & Ge, Wei & Zhang, Yadong & Wang, Te & Sun, Heqiang & Jiao, Yutie, 2024. "An extended Bayesian network model for calculating dam failure probability based on fuzzy sets and dynamic evidential reasoning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 301(C).
    4. Cui, Yi & Zhou, Yuliang & Jin, Juliang & Jiang, Shangming & Wu, Chengguo & Ning, Shaowei, 2023. "Spatiotemporal characteristics and obstacle factors identification of agricultural drought disaster risk: A case study across Anhui Province, China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 289(C).

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