IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/jopoec/v37y2024i4d10.1007_s00148-024-01047-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The expanded Child Tax Credit and economic wellbeing of low-income families

Author

Listed:
  • Natasha V. Pilkauskas

    (University of Michigan)

  • Katherine Michelmore

    (University of Michigan)

  • Nicole Kovski

    (University of Wisconsin-Madison)

  • H. Luke Shaefer

    (University of Michigan)

Abstract

Using a parameterized difference-in-differences approach, we study the impact of the 2021 expansion of the Child Tax Credit (CTC) in the USA, which provided monthly cash payments to families with children for 6 months. We examine the effects of the CTC on the economic wellbeing (material hardship, ability to meet needs/money on hand, hardship avoidance techniques, and employment) of families with very low incomes. This population is especially important to study as these families disproportionately benefited from the 2021 CTC expansion. We find that the 2021 monthly CTC reduced the number of hardships families experienced, especially food insecurity. We find weak evidence that the credit reduced medical hardships and reliance on friends and family for food and that it had no impact on labor supply.

Suggested Citation

  • Natasha V. Pilkauskas & Katherine Michelmore & Nicole Kovski & H. Luke Shaefer, 2024. "The expanded Child Tax Credit and economic wellbeing of low-income families," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(4), pages 1-35, December.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:37:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s00148-024-01047-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s00148-024-01047-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00148-024-01047-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00148-024-01047-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Zilanawala, Afshin & Pilkauskas, Natasha V., 2012. "Material hardship and child socioemotional behaviors: Differences by types of hardship, timing, and duration," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 34(4), pages 814-825.
    2. Janet Currie & Jonathan Gruber, 1996. "Health Insurance Eligibility, Utilization of Medical Care, and Child Health," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 111(2), pages 431-466.
    3. Bruce D. Meyer & Wallace K. C. Mok & James X. Sullivan, 2015. "Household Surveys in Crisis," Journal of Economic Perspectives, American Economic Association, vol. 29(4), pages 199-226, Fall.
    4. Damon Jones & Ioana Marinescu, 2022. "The Labor Market Impacts of Universal and Permanent Cash Transfers: Evidence from the Alaska Permanent Fund," American Economic Journal: Economic Policy, American Economic Association, vol. 14(2), pages 315-340, May.
    5. Lisa A. Gennetian & Greg Duncan & Nathan A. Fox & Katherine Magnuson & Sarah Halpern-Meekin & Kimberly G. Noble & Hirokazu Yoshikawa, 2022. "Unconditional Cash and Family Investments in Infants: Evidence from a Large-Scale Cash Transfer Experiment in the U.S," NBER Working Papers 30379, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    6. Katherine Michelmore & Natasha Pilkauskas, 2021. "Tots and Teens: How Does Child’s Age Influence Maternal Labor Supply and Child Care Response to the Earned Income Tax Credit?," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 39(4), pages 895-929.
    7. Daniel Schneider & Kristen Harknett, 2022. "What’s to Like? Facebook as a Tool for Survey Data Collection," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 51(1), pages 108-140, February.
    8. Colleen M. Heflin & John Iceland, 2009. "Poverty, Material Hardship, and Depression," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 90(5), pages 1051-1071, December.
    9. Michael Baker & Derek Messacar & Mark Stabile, 2023. "Effects of Child Tax Benefits on Poverty and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Canada Child Benefit and Universal Child Care Benefit," Journal of Labor Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 41(4), pages 1129-1182.
    10. Rodems, Richard & Shaefer, H. Luke, 2020. "Many of the kids are not alright: Material hardship among children in the United States," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 112(C).
    11. Stabile, Mark & Baker, Michael & Messacar, Derek, 2021. "The Effects of Child Tax Benefits on Poverty and Labor Supply: Evidence from the Canada Child Benefit and Universal Child Care," CEPR Discussion Papers 15937, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    12. Katherine Michelmore & Natasha V. Pilkauskas, 2023. "The 2021 Child Tax Credit: Who Received It and How Did They Spend It?," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 413-419, May.
    13. John Iceland & Claire Kovach & John Creamer, 2021. "Poverty and the Incidence of Material Hardship, Revisited," Social Science Quarterly, Southwestern Social Science Association, vol. 102(1), pages 585-617, January.
    14. Elizabeth Ananat & Benjamin Glasner & Christal Hamilton & Zachary Parolin, 2022. "Effects of the Expanded Child Tax Credit on Employment Outcomes: Evidence from Real-World Data from April to December 2021," NBER Working Papers 29823, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Haushofer, Johannes & Chemin, Matthieu & Jang, Chaning & Abraham, Justin, 2020. "Economic and psychological effects of health insurance and cash transfers: Evidence from a randomized experiment in Kenya," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 144(C).
    16. Johannes Haushofer & Jeremy Shapiro, 2016. "The Short-term Impact of Unconditional Cash Transfers to the Poor: ExperimentalEvidence from Kenya," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 131(4), pages 1973-2042.
    17. Jacob Goldin & Katherine Michelmore, 2022. "Who Benefits from the Child Tax Credit?," National Tax Journal, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(1), pages 123-147.
    18. Zachary Parolin & Elizabeth Ananat & Sophie Collyer & Megan Curran & Christopher Wimer, 2023. "The Effects of the Monthly and Lump-Sum Child Tax Credit Payments on Food and Housing Hardship," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 113, pages 406-412, May.
    19. Brian Jacob & Natasha Pilkauskas & Elizabeth Rhodes & Katherine Richard & H. Luke Shaefer, 2022. "The COVID-19 cash transfer study II: The hardship and mental health impacts of an unconditional cash transfer to low-income individuals," National Tax Journal, University of Chicago Press, vol. 75(3), pages 597-625.
    20. Jacob Goldin & Elaine Maag & Katherine Michelmore, 2022. "Estimating the Net Fiscal Cost of a Child Tax Credit Expansion," Tax Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 36(1), pages 159-195.
    21. Yoo, J.P. & Slack, K.S. & Holl, J.L., 2009. "Material hardship and the physical health of school-aged children in low-income households," American Journal of Public Health, American Public Health Association, vol. 99(5), pages 829-836.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Natasha Pilkauskas & Katherine Michelmore & Nicole Kovski & H. Luke Shaefer, 2022. "The Effects of Income on the Economic Wellbeing of Families with Low Incomes: Evidence from the 2021 Expanded Child Tax Credit," NBER Working Papers 30533, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    2. Natasha V. Pilkauskas & Brian A. Jacob & Elizabeth Rhodes & Katherine Richard & H. Luke Shaefer, 2023. "The COVID Cash Transfer Study: The Impacts of a One‐Time Unconditional Cash Transfer on the Well‐Being of Families Receiving SNAP in Twelve States," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(3), pages 771-795, June.
    3. Margaret M. C. Thomas, 2022. "Longitudinal Patterns of Material Hardship Among US Families," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 341-370, August.
    4. Pignatti, Clemente & Parolin, Zachary, 2023. "The Effects of an Unconditional Cash Transfer on Mental Health in the United States," IZA Discussion Papers 16237, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    5. JungHo Park & Sujin Kim, 2023. "Child Tax Credit, Spending Patterns, and Mental Health: Mediation Analyses of Data from the U.S. Census Bureau’s Household Pulse Survey during COVID-19," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(5), pages 1-17, March.
    6. Jacob Goldin & Elaine Maag & Katherine Michelmore, 2021. "Estimating the Net Fiscal Cost of a Child Tax Credit Expansion," NBER Chapters, in: Tax Policy and the Economy, Volume 36, pages 159-195, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    7. Elly Field, 2020. "Material Hardship and Contraceptive Use During the Transition to Adulthood," Demography, Springer;Population Association of America (PAA), vol. 57(6), pages 2057-2084, December.
    8. Thomas, Margaret M.C. & Waldfogel, Jane, 2022. "What kind of “poverty” predicts CPS contact: Income, material hardship, and differences among racialized groups," Children and Youth Services Review, Elsevier, vol. 136(C).
    9. Margaret E. Brehm & Olga Malkova, 2023. "The Child Tax Credit over Time by Family Type: Benefit Eligibility and Poverty," National Tax Journal, University of Chicago Press, vol. 76(3), pages 707-741.
    10. Natasha V. Pilkauskas & Katherine Michelmore, 2023. "Who’s Caring for the Kids? The Earned Income Tax Credit and Childcare Arrangements," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 706(1), pages 37-64, March.
    11. Gregori Galofré-Vilà & Martin McKee & David Stuckler, 2022. "Quantifying the mortality impact of the 1935 old-age assistance," European Review of Economic History, European Historical Economics Society, vol. 26(1), pages 62-77.
    12. Clemente Pignatti & Zachary Parolin, 2024. "The effects of an unconditional cash transfer on parents' mental health in the United States," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(10), pages 2253-2287, October.
    13. Mari, Gabriele, 2023. "Less for more? Cuts to child benefits, family adjustments, and long-run child outcomes in larger families," SocArXiv e3n82, Center for Open Science.
    14. Jones, Jordan & Courtemanche, Charles & Denteh, Augustine & Marton, James & Tchernis, Rusty, 2021. "Do State Snap Policies Influence Program Participation among Seniors?," IZA Discussion Papers 14564, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    15. Molina, Teresa & Cho, Yoon Y., 2024. "The Importance of Existing Social Protection Programs for Mental Health in Pandemic Times," IZA Discussion Papers 16737, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    16. Wayne Simpson & Harvey Stevens & Lee Stevens & Herb Emery, 2022. "A Guaranteed Basic Income for Canadians: Off the Table or Within Reach?," SPP Research Papers, The School of Public Policy, University of Calgary, vol. 15(20), June.
    17. Baten, Jörg & Batinti, Alberto & Costa-Font, Joan & Radatz, Laura, 2024. "Health insurance and height inequality: Evidence from European health insurance expansions," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    18. John Iceland & Arthur Sakamoto, 2022. "The Prevalence of Hardship by Race and Ethnicity in the USA, 1992–2019," Population Research and Policy Review, Springer;Southern Demographic Association (SDA), vol. 41(5), pages 2001-2036, October.
    19. Watson, Barry & Kong, Nancy & Phipps, Shelley, 2022. "Dreaming of a Brighter Future? The Impact of Economic Vulnerability on University Aspirations," IZA Discussion Papers 15539, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    20. Verlaat, Timo & Todeschini, Federico & Ramos, Xavier, 2023. "The Employment Effects of Generous and Unconditional Cash Support," IZA Discussion Papers 15976, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:jopoec:v:37:y:2024:i:4:d:10.1007_s00148-024-01047-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.