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The United States’ Record-Low Child Poverty Rate in International and Historical Perspective

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  • Zachary Parolin
  • Stefano Filauro

Abstract

In 2021, the federal government of the United States (US) expanded a set of income transfers that led to strong reductions in child poverty. This research note uses micro-data from more than 50 countries, and US data spanning more than 50 years, to place the 2021 child poverty rate in historical and international perspective. We demonstrate that whether using the Supplemental Poverty Measure (SPM), relative poverty measures, or an absolute poverty measure, the US child poverty rate in 2021 was at its lowest level since at least 1967. The US tax and transfer system reduced the 2021 SPM child poverty rate by more than 75 percent relative to the pre-tax/transfer child poverty rate, three times greater than its mean reduction effect between 1967-2019. Internationally, the policy changes improved the US’s standing from having a relative poverty rate twice that of Germany’s in 2019 to the same as Germany’s in 2021. Moreover, the US tax and transfer system progressed from reducing child poverty at less than half the rate of Norway in 2019 to a rate comparable with Norway in 2021. However, the US’s success was temporary: after the expiration of the 2021 income provisions, the child poverty rate doubled and returned to being higher than in most other high-income countries.

Suggested Citation

  • Zachary Parolin & Stefano Filauro, 2023. "The United States’ Record-Low Child Poverty Rate in International and Historical Perspective," LIS Working papers 873, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
  • Handle: RePEc:lis:liswps:873
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. David Brady & Ryan Finnigan & Sabine Hübgen, 2017. "Rethinking the risks of poverty: a framework for analyzing prevalences and penalties," LIS Working papers 693, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    2. Wen Hao Chen & Miles Corak, 2005. "Child Poverty and Changes in Child Poverty in Rich Countries since 1990," LIS Working papers 405, LIS Cross-National Data Center in Luxembourg.
    3. Liana Fox & Christopher Wimer & Irwin Garfinkel & Neeraj Kaushal & Jane Waldfogel, 2015. "Waging War on Poverty: Poverty Trends Using a Historical Supplemental Poverty Measure," Journal of Policy Analysis and Management, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(3), pages 567-592, June.
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    1. Marianne P. Bitler, 2023. "The Effects of the 2021 Child Tax Credit on Poverty," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 710(1), pages 75-89, November.
    2. Megan Curran & Hilary Hoynes & Zachary Parolin, 2023. "The Consequences of the 2021 Child Tax Credit Expansion: An Introduction to the Volume," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 710(1), pages 8-18, November.
    3. Natasha V. Pilkauskas & Katherine Michelmore & Nicole Kovski & H. Luke Shaefer, 2024. "The expanded Child Tax Credit and economic wellbeing of low-income families," Journal of Population Economics, Springer;European Society for Population Economics, vol. 37(4), pages 1-35, December.
    4. Kourtney Koebel & Mark Stabile, 2023. "Evaluating the Effects of the 2021 Expansion of the Child Tax Credit: The International Comparative Context," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 710(1), pages 36-56, November.
    5. Mari, Gabriele, 2024. "Pandemic Income Support Programs and Adolescent Mental Health in the UK, Ireland and Australia," SocArXiv pzr4k, Center for Open Science.
    6. Lehner, Lukas & Parolin, Zachary & Wilmers, Nathan, 2024. "Declining Earnings Inequality, Rising Income Inequality: What Explains Discordant Inequality Trends in the United States?," IZA Discussion Papers 16874, Institute of Labor Economics (IZA).
    7. Timothy M. Smeeding, 2023. "What We Learned from the 2021 Child Tax Credit Expansion," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 710(1), pages 229-244, November.

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