IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/compst/v39y2024i6d10.1007_s00180-023-01434-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Nonparametric estimation of expected shortfall for α-mixing financial losses

Author

Listed:
  • Xuejun Wang

    (Anhui University)

  • Yi Wu

    (Chizhou University)

  • Wei Wang

    (Chizhou University)

Abstract

In this paper, we investigate the Bahadur type representation of a nonparametric expected shortfall estimator for $$\alpha $$ α -mixing financial losses. Based on the Bahadur type representation, we further establish the Berry–Esseen bound of the nonparametric expected shortfall estimator. It is shown that the optimal rate can achieve nearly $$O(n^{-1/8})$$ O ( n - 1 / 8 ) under some appropriate conditions. We also carry out some numerical simulations and a real data example to support our theoretical results based on finite samples.

Suggested Citation

  • Xuejun Wang & Yi Wu & Wei Wang, 2024. "Nonparametric estimation of expected shortfall for α-mixing financial losses," Computational Statistics, Springer, vol. 39(6), pages 3157-3179, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:39:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s00180-023-01434-5
    DOI: 10.1007/s00180-023-01434-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s00180-023-01434-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s00180-023-01434-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yang, Shanchao, 2003. "Uniformly asymptotic normality of the regression weighted estimator for negatively associated samples," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 62(2), pages 101-110, April.
    2. O. Scaillet, 2004. "Nonparametric Estimation and Sensitivity Analysis of Expected Shortfall," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(1), pages 115-129, January.
    3. Frey, Rudiger & McNeil, Alexander J., 2002. "VaR and expected shortfall in portfolios of dependent credit risks: Conceptual and practical insights," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 26(7), pages 1317-1334, July.
    4. Song Xi Chen, 2008. "Nonparametric Estimation of Expected Shortfall," Journal of Financial Econometrics, Oxford University Press, vol. 6(1), pages 87-107, Winter.
    5. Philippe Artzner & Freddy Delbaen & Jean‐Marc Eber & David Heath, 1999. "Coherent Measures of Risk," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 9(3), pages 203-228, July.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Zhongde Luo, 2020. "Nonparametric kernel estimation of CVaR under $$\alpha $$α-mixing sequences," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 61(2), pages 615-643, April.
    2. Julia S. Mehlitz & Benjamin R. Auer, 2021. "Time‐varying dynamics of expected shortfall in commodity futures markets," Journal of Futures Markets, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 41(6), pages 895-925, June.
    3. Cai, Zongwu & Wang, Xian, 2008. "Nonparametric estimation of conditional VaR and expected shortfall," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 147(1), pages 120-130, November.
    4. Jinyu Zhou & Jigao Yan & Dongya Cheng, 2024. "Strong consistency of tail value-at-risk estimator and corresponding general results under widely orthant dependent samples," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 65(6), pages 3357-3394, August.
    5. Beutner, Eric & Zähle, Henryk, 2010. "A modified functional delta method and its application to the estimation of risk functionals," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 101(10), pages 2452-2463, November.
    6. Ruodu Wang & Ričardas Zitikis, 2021. "An Axiomatic Foundation for the Expected Shortfall," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(3), pages 1413-1429, March.
    7. repec:wyi:journl:002095 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Oliver Linton & Dajing Shang & Yang Yan, 2012. "Efficient estimation of conditional risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model," CeMMAP working papers CWP25/12, Centre for Microdata Methods and Practice, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    9. Cotter, John & Dowd, Kevin, 2007. "Evaluating the Precision of Estimators of Quantile-Based Risk Measures," MPRA Paper 3504, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    10. Yan Fang & Jian Li & Yinglin Liu & Yunfan Zhao, 2023. "Semiparametric estimation of expected shortfall and its application in finance," Journal of Forecasting, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 42(4), pages 835-851, July.
    11. d’Addona, Stefano & Khanom, Najrin, 2022. "Estimating tail-risk using semiparametric conditional variance with an application to meme stocks," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 82(C), pages 241-260.
    12. So Yeon Chun & Alexander Shapiro & Stan Uryasev, 2012. "Conditional Value-at-Risk and Average Value-at-Risk: Estimation and Asymptotics," Operations Research, INFORMS, vol. 60(4), pages 739-756, August.
    13. Wei Jiang & Steven Kou, 2021. "Simulating risk measures via asymptotic expansions for relative errors," Mathematical Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 31(3), pages 907-942, July.
    14. Zongwu Cai & Xian Wang, 2013. "Nonparametric Methods for Estimating Conditional VaR and Expected Shortfall," Working Papers 2013-10-14, Wang Yanan Institute for Studies in Economics (WISE), Xiamen University.
    15. Giannopoulos, Kostas & Tunaru, Radu, 2005. "Coherent risk measures under filtered historical simulation," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 979-996, April.
    16. Giovanni Bonaccolto & Massimiliano Caporin & Sandra Paterlini, 2018. "Asset allocation strategies based on penalized quantile regression," Computational Management Science, Springer, vol. 15(1), pages 1-32, January.
    17. Arturo Cortés Aguilar, 2011. "Estimación del residual de un bono respaldado por hipotecas mediante un modelo de riesgo crédito: una comparación de resultados de la teoría de cópulas y el modelo IRB de Basilea II en datos del merca," Revista de Administración, Finanzas y Economía (Journal of Management, Finance and Economics), Tecnológico de Monterrey, Campus Ciudad de México, vol. 5(1), pages 50-64.
    18. Björn Häckel, 2010. "Risikoadjustierte Wertbeiträge zur ex ante Entscheidungsunterstützung: Ein axiomatischer Ansatz," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 21(1), pages 81-108, June.
    19. Oliver Linton & Dajing Shang & Yang Yan, 2012. "Efficient estimation of conditional risk measures in a semiparametric GARCH model," CeMMAP working papers 25/12, Institute for Fiscal Studies.
    20. Denisa Banulescu-Radu & Christophe Hurlin & Jérémy Leymarie & Olivier Scaillet, 2021. "Backtesting Marginal Expected Shortfall and Related Systemic Risk Measures," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 67(9), pages 5730-5754, September.
    21. Fermanian, Jean-David & Scaillet, Olivier, 2005. "Sensitivity analysis of VaR and Expected Shortfall for portfolios under netting agreements," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 29(4), pages 927-958, April.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:compst:v:39:y:2024:i:6:d:10.1007_s00180-023-01434-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.