IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v167y2021i1d10.1007_s10584-021-03173-2.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The physiological effect of CO2 on the hydrological cycle in summer over Europe and land-atmosphere interactions

Author

Listed:
  • Julien Boé

    (CECI, Université de Toulouse, CERFACS/CNRS)

Abstract

Past studies have shown that the physiological effect of CO2 may be important for future climate change, yet many regional climate models and hydrological models used in impact studies do not simulate it. Here, the role the physiological effect of CO2 on the changes in the continental hydrological cycle over Europe in summer – when severe drying is projected – is assessed using a large ensemble of idealized climate simulations, and compared to the radiative impacts of CO2. As expected, the physiological effect of CO2 leads to a decrease in evapotranspiration. However, it generally does not lead to an increase in river flows or soil moisture as often expected, because it is also associated with a large decrease in precipitation. This decrease in precipitation is likely due to small warming and decrease in specific humidity caused by the physiologically driven decrease in evapotranspiration, which together lead to a large decrease in relative humidity. Important inter-model uncertainties, however, exist regarding the physiological impact of CO2 on the summer hydrological cycle over Europe.

Suggested Citation

  • Julien Boé, 2021. "The physiological effect of CO2 on the hydrological cycle in summer over Europe and land-atmosphere interactions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 1-20, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:167:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03173-2
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-021-03173-2
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://link.springer.com/10.1007/s10584-021-03173-2
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: Access to the full text of the articles in this series is restricted.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-021-03173-2?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Christopher B. Skinner & Christopher J. Poulsen & Justin S. Mankin, 2018. "Amplification of heat extremes by plant CO2 physiological forcing," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 1-11, December.
    2. P. C. D. Milly & K. A. Dunne, 2016. "Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(10), pages 946-949, October.
    3. Sonia I. Seneviratne & Daniel Lüthi & Michael Litschi & Christoph Schär, 2006. "Land–atmosphere coupling and climate change in Europe," Nature, Nature, vol. 443(7108), pages 205-209, September.
    4. Yuting Yang & Michael L. Roderick & Shulei Zhang & Tim R. McVicar & Randall J. Donohue, 2019. "Hydrologic implications of vegetation response to elevated CO2 in climate projections," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(1), pages 44-48, January.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yao Zhang & Pierre Gentine & Xiangzhong Luo & Xu Lian & Yanlan Liu & Sha Zhou & Anna M. Michalak & Wu Sun & Joshua B. Fisher & Shilong Piao & Trevor F. Keenan, 2022. "Increasing sensitivity of dryland vegetation greenness to precipitation due to rising atmospheric CO2," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano & Tim R. McVicar & Diego G. Miralles & Yuting Yang & Miquel Tomas‐Burguera, 2020. "Unraveling the influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on drought and its response to climate change," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    3. Thibault Lemaitre-Basset & Ludovic Oudin & Guillaume Thirel, 2022. "Evapotranspiration in hydrological models under rising CO2: a jump into the unknown," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-19, June.
    4. Shan Jiang & Jian Zhou & Guojie Wang & Qigen Lin & Ziyan Chen & Yanjun Wang & Buda Su, 2022. "Cropland Exposed to Drought Is Overestimated without Considering the CO 2 Effect in the Arid Climatic Region of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, June.
    5. Villani, Lorenzo & Castelli, Giulio & Yimer, Estifanos Addisu & Chawanda, Celray James & Nkwasa, Albert & Van Schaeybroeck, Bert & Penna, Daniele & van Griensven, Ann & Bresci, Elena, 2024. "Impacts of climate change and vegetation response on future aridity in a Mediterranean catchment," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 299(C).
    6. Femin C. Varghese & Subhasis Mitra, 2024. "Investigating the Role of Driving Variables on ETo Variability and “Evapotranspiration Paradox” Across the Indian Subcontinent Under Historic and Future Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(14), pages 5723-5737, November.
    7. Liangsheng Zhang & Haijiang Luo & Xuezhen Zhang, 2022. "Land-Greening Hotspot Changes in the Yangtze River Economic Belt during the Last Four Decades and Their Connections to Human Activities," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(5), pages 1-17, April.
    8. Liang Qiao & Zhiyan Zuo & Renhe Zhang & Shilong Piao & Dong Xiao & Kaiwen Zhang, 2023. "Soil moisture–atmosphere coupling accelerates global warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    9. Trnka, Miroslav & Vizina, Adam & Hanel, Martin & Balek, Jan & Fischer, Milan & Hlavinka, Petr & Semerádová, Daniela & Štěpánek, Petr & Zahradníček, Pavel & Skalák, Petr & Eitzinger, Josef & Dubrovský,, 2022. "Increasing available water capacity as a factor for increasing drought resilience or potential conflict over water resources under present and future climate conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 264(C).
    10. Xingyun Liang & Defu Wang & Qing Ye & Jinmeng Zhang & Mengyun Liu & Hui Liu & Kailiang Yu & Yujie Wang & Enqing Hou & Buqing Zhong & Long Xu & Tong Lv & Shouzhang Peng & Haibo Lu & Pierre Sicard & Ale, 2023. "Stomatal responses of terrestrial plants to global change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-13, December.
    11. Wu, Genan & Lu, Xinchen & Zhao, Wei & Cao, Ruochen & Xie, Wenqi & Wang, Liyun & Wang, Qiuhong & Song, Jiexuan & Gao, Shaobo & Li, Shenggong & Hu, Zhongmin, 2023. "The increasing contribution of greening to the terrestrial evapotranspiration in China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 477(C).
    12. Lucas Eduardo Oliveira Aparecido & Kamila Cunha Meneses & Pedro Antonio Lorençone & João Antonio Lorençone & Jose Reinaldo da Silva Cabral de Moraes & Glauco Souza Rolim, 2023. "Climate classification by Thornthwaite (1948) humidity index in future scenarios for Maranhão State, Brazil," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 855-878, January.
    13. Yangyang Xu & Lei Lin, 2017. "Pattern scaling based projections for precipitation and potential evapotranspiration: sensitivity to composition of GHGs and aerosols forcing," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 635-647, February.
    14. L. V. Noto & G. Cipolla & D. Pumo & A. Francipane, 2023. "Climate Change in the Mediterranean Basin (Part II): A Review of Challenges and Uncertainties in Climate Change Modeling and Impact Analyses," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2307-2323, May.
    15. Haoshan Wei & Yongqiang Zhang & Qi Huang & Francis H. S. Chiew & Jinkai Luan & Jun Xia & Changming Liu, 2024. "Direct vegetation response to recent CO2 rise shows limited effect on global streamflow," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-9, December.
    16. Thomas Agyei & Stanislav Juráň & Kojo Kwakye Ofori-Amanfo & Ladislav Šigut & Otmar Urban & Michal V. Marek, 2020. "The impact of drought on total ozone flux in a mountain Norway spruce forest," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 66(7), pages 280-278.
    17. Shanmugam Mohan Kumar & Vellingiri Geethalakshmi & Subbiah Ramanathan & Alagarsamy Senthil & Kandasamy Senthilraja & Kulanthaivel Bhuvaneswari & Ramasamy Gowtham & Balaji Kannan & Shanmugavel Priyanka, 2022. "Rainfall Spatial-Temporal Variability and Trends in the Thamirabharani River Basin, India: Implications for Agricultural Planning and Water Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-22, November.
    18. Młyński, Dariusz & Książek, Leszek & Bogdał, Andrzej, 2024. "Meteorological drought effect for Central Europe's hydropower potential," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    19. Jan Niel & E. Uytven & P. Willems, 2019. "Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change Impact on River Flow Extremes Based on a Large Multi-Model Ensemble," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4319-4333, September.
    20. Valentina Krysanova & Jamal Zaherpour & Iulii Didovets & Simon N. Gosling & Dieter Gerten & Naota Hanasaki & Hannes Müller Schmied & Yadu Pokhrel & Yusuke Satoh & Qiuhong Tang & Yoshihide Wada, 2020. "How evaluation of global hydrological models can help to improve credibility of river discharge projections under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1353-1377, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:167:y:2021:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-021-03173-2. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.