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Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying

Author

Listed:
  • P. C. D. Milly

    (US Geological Survey and NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)

  • K. A. Dunne

    (US Geological Survey and NOAA/Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory)

Abstract

Tendencies towards climate-change-induced continental drying, as characterized by offline-computed runoff and other potential-evapotranspiration-dependent metrics, may be artefactual. Consequently they may be much weaker and less extensive than previously thought.

Suggested Citation

  • P. C. D. Milly & K. A. Dunne, 2016. "Potential evapotranspiration and continental drying," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(10), pages 946-949, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcli:v:6:y:2016:i:10:d:10.1038_nclimate3046
    DOI: 10.1038/nclimate3046
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    Cited by:

    1. Xiangzhong Luo & Trevor F. Keenan, 2022. "Tropical extreme droughts drive long-term increase in atmospheric CO2 growth rate variability," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
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    3. Yangyang Xu & Lei Lin, 2017. "Pattern scaling based projections for precipitation and potential evapotranspiration: sensitivity to composition of GHGs and aerosols forcing," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 140(3), pages 635-647, February.
    4. Shanmugam Mohan Kumar & Vellingiri Geethalakshmi & Subbiah Ramanathan & Alagarsamy Senthil & Kandasamy Senthilraja & Kulanthaivel Bhuvaneswari & Ramasamy Gowtham & Balaji Kannan & Shanmugavel Priyanka, 2022. "Rainfall Spatial-Temporal Variability and Trends in the Thamirabharani River Basin, India: Implications for Agricultural Planning and Water Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-22, November.
    5. Młyński, Dariusz & Książek, Leszek & Bogdał, Andrzej, 2024. "Meteorological drought effect for Central Europe's hydropower potential," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 191(C).
    6. L. V. Noto & G. Cipolla & D. Pumo & A. Francipane, 2023. "Climate Change in the Mediterranean Basin (Part II): A Review of Challenges and Uncertainties in Climate Change Modeling and Impact Analyses," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 37(6), pages 2307-2323, May.
    7. Lai, Chengguang & Sun, Haowei & Wu, Xushu & Li, Jun & Wang, Zhaoli & Tong, Hongfu & Feng, Jiajin, 2024. "Water availability may not constrain vegetation growth in Northern Hemisphere," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    8. Wu, Genan & Lu, Xinchen & Zhao, Wei & Cao, Ruochen & Xie, Wenqi & Wang, Liyun & Wang, Qiuhong & Song, Jiexuan & Gao, Shaobo & Li, Shenggong & Hu, Zhongmin, 2023. "The increasing contribution of greening to the terrestrial evapotranspiration in China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 477(C).
    9. Hao Xu & Xu Lian & Ingrid J. Slette & Hui Yang & Yuan Zhang & Anping Chen & Shilong Piao, 2022. "Rising ecosystem water demand exacerbates the lengthening of tropical dry seasons," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    10. Sergio M. Vicente‐Serrano & Tim R. McVicar & Diego G. Miralles & Yuting Yang & Miquel Tomas‐Burguera, 2020. "Unraveling the influence of atmospheric evaporative demand on drought and its response to climate change," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    11. Lucas Eduardo Oliveira Aparecido & Kamila Cunha Meneses & Pedro Antonio Lorençone & João Antonio Lorençone & Jose Reinaldo da Silva Cabral de Moraes & Glauco Souza Rolim, 2023. "Climate classification by Thornthwaite (1948) humidity index in future scenarios for Maranhão State, Brazil," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(1), pages 855-878, January.
    12. Julien Boé, 2021. "The physiological effect of CO2 on the hydrological cycle in summer over Europe and land-atmosphere interactions," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 167(1), pages 1-20, July.
    13. Yongge Li & Wei Liu & Qi Feng & Meng Zhu & Jutao Zhang & Linshan Yang & Xinwei Yin, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Factors of Ecosystem Services Value in the Hexi Regions, Northwest China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-21, October.
    14. Shan Jiang & Jian Zhou & Guojie Wang & Qigen Lin & Ziyan Chen & Yanjun Wang & Buda Su, 2022. "Cropland Exposed to Drought Is Overestimated without Considering the CO 2 Effect in the Arid Climatic Region of China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-21, June.
    15. Thibault Lemaitre-Basset & Ludovic Oudin & Guillaume Thirel, 2022. "Evapotranspiration in hydrological models under rising CO2: a jump into the unknown," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 172(3), pages 1-19, June.
    16. Jan Niel & E. Uytven & P. Willems, 2019. "Uncertainty Analysis of Climate Change Impact on River Flow Extremes Based on a Large Multi-Model Ensemble," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 33(12), pages 4319-4333, September.
    17. Valentina Krysanova & Jamal Zaherpour & Iulii Didovets & Simon N. Gosling & Dieter Gerten & Naota Hanasaki & Hannes Müller Schmied & Yadu Pokhrel & Yusuke Satoh & Qiuhong Tang & Yoshihide Wada, 2020. "How evaluation of global hydrological models can help to improve credibility of river discharge projections under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(3), pages 1353-1377, December.
    18. Yao Zhang & Pierre Gentine & Xiangzhong Luo & Xu Lian & Yanlan Liu & Sha Zhou & Anna M. Michalak & Wu Sun & Joshua B. Fisher & Shilong Piao & Trevor F. Keenan, 2022. "Increasing sensitivity of dryland vegetation greenness to precipitation due to rising atmospheric CO2," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    19. Amélie Rajaud & Nathalie de Noblet-Ducoudré, 2017. "Tropical semi-arid regions expanding over temperate latitudes under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 144(4), pages 703-719, October.
    20. Wang, Hong & Sun, Fubao & Liu, Fa & Wang, Tingting & Liu, Wenbin & Feng, Yao, 2023. "Reconstruction of the pan evaporation based on meteorological factors with machine learning method over China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    21. Femin C. Varghese & Subhasis Mitra, 2024. "Investigating the Role of Driving Variables on ETo Variability and “Evapotranspiration Paradox” Across the Indian Subcontinent Under Historic and Future Climate Change," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 38(14), pages 5723-5737, November.

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