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Substantial increase in minimum lake surface temperatures under climate change

Author

Listed:
  • R. Iestyn Woolway

    (University of Reading
    Dundalk Institute of Technology)

  • Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer

    (Uppsala Univesitet)

  • Martin Schmid

    (Eawag: Swiss Federal Institute of Aquatic Science and Technology)

  • Martin T. Dokulil

    (University of Innsbruck)

  • Elvira Eyto

    (Marine Institute)

  • Stephen C. Maberly

    (Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)

  • Linda May

    (Centre for Ecology & Hydrology)

  • Christopher J. Merchant

    (University of Reading
    University of Reading)

Abstract

The annual minimum of lake surface water temperature influences ecological and biogeochemical processes, but variability and change in this extreme have not been investigated. Here, we analysed observational data from eight European lakes and investigated the changes in annual minimum surface water temperature. We found that between 1973 and 2014, the annual minimum lake surface temperature has increased at an average rate of + 0.35 °C decade−1, comparable to the rate of summer average lake surface temperature change during the same period (+ 0.32 °C decade−1). Coherent responses to climatic warming are observed between the increase in annual minimum lake surface temperature and the increase in winter air temperature variations. As a result of the rapid warming of annual minimum lake surface temperatures, some of the studied lakes no longer reach important minimum surface temperature thresholds that occur in winter, with complex and significant potential implications for lakes and the ecosystem services that they provide.

Suggested Citation

  • R. Iestyn Woolway & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & Martin Schmid & Martin T. Dokulil & Elvira Eyto & Stephen C. Maberly & Linda May & Christopher J. Merchant, 2019. "Substantial increase in minimum lake surface temperatures under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 155(1), pages 81-94, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:155:y:2019:i:1:d:10.1007_s10584-019-02465-y
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-019-02465-y
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Tomas Jonsson & Malin Setzer, 2015. "A freshwater predator hit twice by the effects of warming across trophic levels," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-9, May.
    2. Sapna Sharma & Kevin Blagrave & John J. Magnuson & Catherine M. O’Reilly & Samantha Oliver & Ryan D. Batt & Madeline R. Magee & Dietmar Straile & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & Luke Winslow & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2019. "Widespread loss of lake ice around the Northern Hemisphere in a warming world," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(3), pages 227-231, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. Seán Kelly & Tadhg N. Moore & Elvira Eyto & Mary Dillane & Chloé Goulon & Jean Guillard & Emilien Lasne & Phil McGinnity & Russell Poole & Ian J. Winfield & R. Iestyn Woolway & Eleanor Jennings, 2020. "Warming winters threaten peripheral Arctic charr populations of Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 163(1), pages 599-618, November.
    2. R. Iestyn Woolway & Yan Tong & Lian Feng & Gang Zhao & Dieu Anh Dinh & Haoran Shi & Yunlin Zhang & Kun Shi, 2024. "Multivariate extremes in lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.

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