IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v15y2024i1d10.1038_s41467-024-49012-7.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Multivariate extremes in lakes

Author

Listed:
  • R. Iestyn Woolway

    (Bangor University)

  • Yan Tong

    (Southern University of Science and Technology)

  • Lian Feng

    (Southern University of Science and Technology)

  • Gang Zhao

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Dieu Anh Dinh

    (Dundalk Institute of Technology)

  • Haoran Shi

    (Bangor University)

  • Yunlin Zhang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Kun Shi

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences
    University of Chinese Academy of Sciences)

Abstract

Extreme within-lake conditions have the potential to exert detrimental effects on lakes. Here we use satellite observations to investigate how the occurrence of multiple types of extremes, notably algal blooms, lake heatwaves, and low lake levels, have varied in 2724 lakes since the 1980s. Our study, which focuses on bloom-affected lakes, suggests that 75% of studied lakes have experienced a concurrent increase in at least two of the extremes considered (27% defined as having a notable increase), with 25% experiencing an increase in frequency of all three extremes (5% had a notable increase). The greatest increases in the frequency of these extremes were found in regions that have experienced increases in agricultural fertilizer use, lake warming, and a decline in water availability. As extremes in lakes become more common, understanding their impacts must be a primary focus of future studies and they must be carefully considered in future risk assessments.

Suggested Citation

  • R. Iestyn Woolway & Yan Tong & Lian Feng & Gang Zhao & Dieu Anh Dinh & Haoran Shi & Yunlin Zhang & Kun Shi, 2024. "Multivariate extremes in lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-12, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-49012-7
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-024-49012-7
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-024-49012-7
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-024-49012-7?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xuehui Pi & Qiuqi Luo & Lian Feng & Yang Xu & Jing Tang & Xiuyu Liang & Enze Ma & Ran Cheng & Rasmus Fensholt & Martin Brandt & Xiaobin Cai & Luke Gibson & Junguo Liu & Chunmiao Zheng & Weifeng Li & B, 2022. "Author Correction: Mapping global lake dynamics reveals the emerging roles of small lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-1, December.
    2. R. Iestyn Woolway & Martin T. Dokulil & Wlodzimierz Marszelewski & Martin Schmid & Damien Bouffard & Christopher J. Merchant, 2017. "Warming of Central European lakes and their response to the 1980s climate regime shift," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 142(3), pages 505-520, June.
    3. Aaron Till & Andrew L. Rypel & Andrew Bray & Samuel B. Fey, 2019. "Fish die-offs are concurrent with thermal extremes in north temperate lakes," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 9(8), pages 637-641, August.
    4. Xuehui Pi & Qiuqi Luo & Lian Feng & Yang Xu & Jing Tang & Xiuyu Liang & Enze Ma & Ran Cheng & Rasmus Fensholt & Martin Brandt & Xiaobin Cai & Luke Gibson & Junguo Liu & Chunmiao Zheng & Weifeng Li & B, 2022. "Mapping global lake dynamics reveals the emerging roles of small lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    5. Stephen C. Maberly & Ruth A. O’Donnell & R. Iestyn Woolway & Mark E. J. Cutler & Mengyi Gong & Ian D. Jones & Christopher J. Merchant & Claire A. Miller & Eirini Politi & E. Marian Scott & Stephen J. , 2020. "Global lake thermal regions shift under climate change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-9, December.
    6. Mathis Loïc Messager & Bernhard Lehner & Günther Grill & Irena Nedeva & Oliver Schmitt, 2016. "Estimating the volume and age of water stored in global lakes using a geo-statistical approach," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-11, December.
    7. R. Iestyn Woolway & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & Martin Schmid & Martin T. Dokulil & Elvira Eyto & Stephen C. Maberly & Linda May & Christopher J. Merchant, 2019. "Substantial increase in minimum lake surface temperatures under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 155(1), pages 81-94, July.
    8. R. Iestyn Woolway & Eleanor Jennings & Tom Shatwell & Malgorzata Golub & Don C. Pierson & Stephen C. Maberly, 2021. "Lake heatwaves under climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 589(7842), pages 402-407, January.
    9. Jeff C. Ho & Anna M. Michalak & Nima Pahlevan, 2019. "Widespread global increase in intense lake phytoplankton blooms since the 1980s," Nature, Nature, vol. 574(7780), pages 667-670, October.
    10. Nina N. Ridder & Andy J. Pitman & Seth Westra & Anna Ukkola & Hong X. Do & Margot Bador & Annette L. Hirsch & Jason P. Evans & Alejandro Luca & Jakob Zscheischler, 2020. "Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-10, December.
    11. Jakob Zscheischler & Seth Westra & Bart J. J. M. Hurk & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Philip J. Ward & Andy Pitman & Amir AghaKouchak & David N. Bresch & Michael Leonard & Thomas Wahl & Xuebin Zhang, 2018. "Future climate risk from compound events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(6), pages 469-477, June.
    12. Jakob Zscheischler & Seth Westra & Bart J. J. M. Hurk & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Philip J. Ward & Andy Pitman & Amir AghaKouchak & David N. Bresch & Michael Leonard & Thomas Wahl & Xuebin Zhang, 2018. "Author Correction: Future climate risk from compound events," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 8(8), pages 750-750, August.
    13. Jean-François Pekel & Andrew Cottam & Noel Gorelick & Alan S. Belward, 2016. "High-resolution mapping of global surface water and its long-term changes," Nature, Nature, vol. 540(7633), pages 418-422, December.
    14. Stephen F. Jane & Gretchen J. A. Hansen & Benjamin M. Kraemer & Peter R. Leavitt & Joshua L. Mincer & Rebecca L. North & Rachel M. Pilla & Jonathan T. Stetler & Craig E. Williamson & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2021. "Widespread deoxygenation of temperate lakes," Nature, Nature, vol. 594(7861), pages 66-70, June.
    15. Thomas Posch & Oliver Köster & Michaela M. Salcher & Jakob Pernthaler, 2012. "Harmful filamentous cyanobacteria favoured by reduced water turnover with lake warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 2(11), pages 809-813, November.
    16. Gang Zhao & Yao Li & Liming Zhou & Huilin Gao, 2022. "Evaporative water loss of 1.42 million global lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    17. Nina N. Ridder & Andy J. Pitman & Seth Westra & Anna Ukkola & Hong X. Do & Margot Bador & Annette L. Hirsch & Jason P. Evans & Alejandro Luca & Jakob Zscheischler, 2020. "Publisher Correction: Global hotspots for the occurrence of compound events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 1-1, December.
    18. Martin T. Dokulil & Elvira Eyto & Stephen C. Maberly & Linda May & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2021. "Increasing maximum lake surface temperature under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-17, April.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Haidong Zhao & Lina Zhang & M. B. Kirkham & Stephen M. Welch & John W. Nielsen-Gammon & Guihua Bai & Jiebo Luo & Daniel A. Andresen & Charles W. Rice & Nenghan Wan & Romulo P. Lollato & Dianfeng Zheng, 2022. "U.S. winter wheat yield loss attributed to compound hot-dry-windy events," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    2. Jian Zhou & Peter R. Leavitt & Kevin C. Rose & Xiwen Wang & Yibo Zhang & Kun Shi & Boqiang Qin, 2023. "Controls of thermal response of temperate lakes to atmospheric warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    3. Mahshid Ghanbari & Mazdak Arabi & Matei Georgescu & Ashley M. Broadbent, 2023. "The role of climate change and urban development on compound dry-hot extremes across US cities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Xinyu Li & Shushi Peng & Yi Xi & R. Iestyn Woolway & Gang Liu, 2022. "Earlier ice loss accelerates lake warming in the Northern Hemisphere," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    5. Wen Song & Shisong Cao & Mingyi Du & You Mo & Suju Li, 2022. "Investigation of compound drought risk and driving factors in Nepal," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 114(2), pages 1365-1391, November.
    6. Kai Tao & Jian Fang & Wentao Yang & Jiayi Fang & Baoyin Liu, 2023. "Characterizing compound floods from heavy rainfall and upstream–downstream extreme flow in middle Yangtze River from 1980 to 2020," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 115(2), pages 1097-1114, January.
    7. Friedrich A. Burger & Jens Terhaar & Thomas L. Frölicher, 2022. "Compound marine heatwaves and ocean acidity extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    8. Ya Li & Hanqin Tian & Yuanzhi Yao & Hao Shi & Zihao Bian & Yu Shi & Siyuan Wang & Taylor Maavara & Ronny Lauerwald & Shufen Pan, 2024. "Increased nitrous oxide emissions from global lakes and reservoirs since the pre-industrial era," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.
    9. Weijia Wang & Kun Shi & Xiwen Wang & Yunlin Zhang & Boqiang Qin & Yibo Zhang & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2024. "The impact of extreme heat on lake warming in China," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-7, December.
    10. Martin T. Dokulil & Elvira Eyto & Stephen C. Maberly & Linda May & Gesa A. Weyhenmeyer & R. Iestyn Woolway, 2021. "Increasing maximum lake surface temperature under climate change," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 165(3), pages 1-17, April.
    11. Konstantinos Stefanidis & George Varlas & Anastasios Papadopoulos & Elias Dimitriou, 2021. "Four Decades of Surface Temperature, Precipitation, and Wind Speed Trends over Lakes of Greece," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(17), pages 1-14, September.
    12. Xia, Zilong & Li, Yingjie & Guo, Shanchuan & Chen, Ruishan & Zhang, Wei & Zhang, Peng & Du, Peijun, 2023. "Mapping global water-surface photovoltaics with satellite images," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    13. Gang Zhao & Yao Li & Liming Zhou & Huilin Gao, 2022. "Evaporative water loss of 1.42 million global lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    14. Tao Ji & Yanhong Yao & Yue Dou & Shejun Deng & Shijun Yu & Yunqiang Zhu & Huajun Liao, 2022. "The Impact of Climate Change on Urban Transportation Resilience to Compound Extreme Events," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-16, March.
    15. R. Iestyn Woolway, 2023. "The pace of shifting seasons in lakes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    16. Weiqing Han & Lei Zhang & Gerald A. Meehl & Shoichiro Kido & Tomoki Tozuka & Yuanlong Li & Michael J. McPhaden & Aixue Hu & Anny Cazenave & Nan Rosenbloom & Gary Strand & B. Jason West & Wen Xing, 2022. "Sea level extremes and compounding marine heatwaves in coastal Indonesia," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-12, December.
    17. Lena I. Fuldauer & Scott Thacker & Robyn A. Haggis & Francesco Fuso-Nerini & Robert J. Nicholls & Jim W. Hall, 2022. "Targeting climate adaptation to safeguard and advance the Sustainable Development Goals," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-15, December.
    18. Zhang, Yitong & Hao, Zengchao & Zhang, Yu, 2023. "Agricultural risk assessment of compound dry and hot events in China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 277(C).
    19. J. J. Wijetunge & N. G. P. B. Neluwala, 2023. "Compound flood hazard assessment and analysis due to tropical cyclone-induced storm surges, waves and precipitation: a case study for coastal lowlands of Kelani river basin in Sri Lanka," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(3), pages 3979-4007, April.
    20. Kuik, Onno & Zhou, Fujin & Ciullo, Alessio & Brusselaers, Jan, 2022. "How vulnerable is Europe to severe climate-related natural disasters abroad? A dynamic CGE analysis of the international financial and economic impacts of a large hurricane in the southern USA," Conference papers 333438, Purdue University, Center for Global Trade Analysis, Global Trade Analysis Project.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:15:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-024-49012-7. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.