IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/spr/climat/v110y2012i3p845-878.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Potential climatic transitions with profound impact on Europe

Author

Listed:
  • Anders Levermann
  • Jonathan Bamber
  • Sybren Drijfhout
  • Andrey Ganopolski
  • Winfried Haeberli
  • Neil Harris
  • Matthias Huss
  • Kirstin Krüger
  • Timothy Lenton
  • Ronald Lindsay
  • Dirk Notz
  • Peter Wadhams
  • Susanne Weber

Abstract

No abstract is available for this item.

Suggested Citation

  • Anders Levermann & Jonathan Bamber & Sybren Drijfhout & Andrey Ganopolski & Winfried Haeberli & Neil Harris & Matthias Huss & Kirstin Krüger & Timothy Lenton & Ronald Lindsay & Dirk Notz & Peter Wadha, 2012. "Potential climatic transitions with profound impact on Europe," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(3), pages 845-878, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:110:y:2012:i:3:p:845-878
    DOI: 10.1007/s10584-011-0126-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://hdl.handle.net/10.1007/s10584-011-0126-5
    Download Restriction: Access to full text is restricted to subscribers.
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1007/s10584-011-0126-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Alexandre Ganachaud & Carl Wunsch, 2000. "Improved estimates of global ocean circulation, heat transport and mixing from hydrographic data," Nature, Nature, vol. 408(6811), pages 453-457, November.
    2. Yongjin Wang & Hai Cheng & R. Lawrence Edwards & Xinggong Kong & Xiaohua Shao & Shitao Chen & Jiangyin Wu & Xiouyang Jiang & Xianfeng Wang & Zhisheng An, 2008. "Millennial- and orbital-scale changes in the East Asian monsoon over the past 224,000 years," Nature, Nature, vol. 451(7182), pages 1090-1093, February.
    3. Andrey Ganopolski & Stefan Rahmstorf, 2001. "Rapid changes of glacial climate simulated in a coupled climate model," Nature, Nature, vol. 409(6817), pages 153-158, January.
    4. Hamish D. Pritchard & Robert J. Arthern & David G. Vaughan & Laura A. Edwards, 2009. "Extensive dynamic thinning on the margins of the Greenland and Antarctic ice sheets," Nature, Nature, vol. 461(7266), pages 971-975, October.
    5. Steven C. Amstrup & Eric T. DeWeaver & David C. Douglas & Bruce G. Marcot & George M. Durner & Cecilia M. Bitz & David A. Bailey, 2010. "Greenhouse gas mitigation can reduce sea-ice loss and increase polar bear persistence," Nature, Nature, vol. 468(7326), pages 955-958, December.
    6. David W. J. Thompson & John M. Wallace & John J. Kennedy & Phil D. Jones, 2010. "An abrupt drop in Northern Hemisphere sea surface temperature around 1970," Nature, Nature, vol. 467(7314), pages 444-447, September.
    7. Stefan Rahmstorf, 2002. "Ocean circulation and climate during the past 120,000 years," Nature, Nature, vol. 419(6903), pages 207-214, September.
    8. Jerry X. Mitrovica & Mark E. Tamisiea & James L. Davis & Glenn A. Milne, 2001. "Recent mass balance of polar ice sheets inferred from patterns of global sea-level change," Nature, Nature, vol. 409(6823), pages 1026-1029, February.
    9. Peter U. Clark & Nicklas G. Pisias & Thomas F. Stocker & Andrew J. Weaver, 2002. "The role of the thermohaline circulation in abrupt climate change," Nature, Nature, vol. 415(6874), pages 863-869, February.
    10. Bob Dickson & Igor Yashayaev & Jens Meincke & Bill Turrell & Stephen Dye & Juergen Holfort, 2002. "Rapid freshening of the deep North Atlantic Ocean over the past four decades," Nature, Nature, vol. 416(6883), pages 832-837, April.
    11. David Pollard & Robert M. DeConto, 2009. "Modelling West Antarctic ice sheet growth and collapse through the past five million years," Nature, Nature, vol. 458(7236), pages 329-332, March.
    12. Andreas Schmittner, 2005. "Decline of the marine ecosystem caused by a reduction in the Atlantic overturning circulation," Nature, Nature, vol. 434(7033), pages 628-633, March.
    13. Julienne Stroeve & Walter Meier, 2012. "Arctic Sea Ice Decline," Chapters, in: Guoxiang Liu (ed.), Greenhouse Gases - Emission, Measurement and Management, IntechOpen.
    14. Marten Scheffer & Jordi Bascompte & William A. Brock & Victor Brovkin & Stephen R. Carpenter & Vasilis Dakos & Hermann Held & Egbert H. van Nes & Max Rietkerk & George Sugihara, 2009. "Early-warning signals for critical transitions," Nature, Nature, vol. 461(7260), pages 53-59, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Bruce R. Conard, 2013. "Some Challenges to Sustainability," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 5(8), pages 1-14, August.
    2. CISCAR MARTINEZ Juan Carlos & FEYEN Luc & SORIA RAMIREZ Antonio & LAVALLE Carlo & PERRY Miles & RAES Frank & NEMRY Francoise & DEMIREL Hande & RÓZSAI Máté & DOSIO Alessandro & DONATELLI Marcello & SRI, 2014. "Climate Impacts in Europe. The JRC PESETA II Project," JRC Research Reports JRC87011, Joint Research Centre.
      • Ciscar, Juan-Carlos & Feyen, Luc & Soria, Antonio & Lavalle, Carlo & Raes, Frank & Perry, Miles & Nemry, Françoise & Demirel, Hande & Rozsai, Máté & Dosio, Alessandro & Donatelli, Marcello & Srivastav, 2014. "Climate Impacts in Europe - The JRC PESETA II Project," MPRA Paper 55725, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    3. Elizabeth Kopits & Alex L. Marten & Ann Wolverton, 2013. "Moving Forward with Incorporating "Catastrophic" Climate Change into Policy Analysis," NCEE Working Paper Series 201301, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Jan 2013.
    4. Timothy Lenton & Juan-Carlos Ciscar, 2013. "Integrating tipping points into climate impact assessments," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 117(3), pages 585-597, April.
    5. Winkelmann, Ricarda & Donges, Jonathan F. & Smith, E. Keith & Milkoreit, Manjana & Eder, Christina & Heitzig, Jobst & Katsanidou, Alexia & Wiedermann, Marc & Wunderling, Nico & Lenton, Timothy M., 2022. "Social tipping processes towards climate action: A conceptual framework," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 192(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Elizabeth Kopits & Alex L. Marten & Ann Wolverton, 2013. "Moving Forward with Incorporating "Catastrophic" Climate Change into Policy Analysis," NCEE Working Paper Series 201301, National Center for Environmental Economics, U.S. Environmental Protection Agency, revised Jan 2013.
    2. Maya Ben-Yami & Vanessa Skiba & Sebastian Bathiany & Niklas Boers, 2023. "Uncertainties in critical slowing down indicators of observation-based fingerprints of the Atlantic Overturning Circulation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    3. F. Held & H. Cheng & R. L. Edwards & O. Tüysüz & K. Koç & D. Fleitmann, 2024. "Dansgaard-Oeschger cycles of the penultimate and last glacial period recorded in stalagmites from Türkiye," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-8, December.
    4. Julienne Stroeve & Mark Serreze & Marika Holland & Jennifer Kay & James Malanik & Andrew Barrett, 2012. "The Arctic’s rapidly shrinking sea ice cover: a research synthesis," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 110(3), pages 1005-1027, February.
    5. Nicholas R. Golledge, 2020. "Long‐term projections of sea‐level rise from ice sheets," Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews: Climate Change, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 11(2), March.
    6. Michael E. Weber & Nicholas R. Golledge & Chris J. Fogwill & Chris S. M. Turney & Zoë A. Thomas, 2021. "Decadal-scale onset and termination of Antarctic ice-mass loss during the last deglaciation," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    7. Michela Biasutti & Adam Sobel & Suzana Camargo & Timothy Creyts, 2012. "Projected changes in the physical climate of the Gulf Coast and Caribbean," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 112(3), pages 819-845, June.
    8. Caroline Katsman & A. Sterl & J. Beersma & H. Brink & J. Church & W. Hazeleger & R. Kopp & D. Kroon & J. Kwadijk & R. Lammersen & J. Lowe & M. Oppenheimer & H. Plag & J. Ridley & H. Storch & D. Vaugha, 2011. "Exploring high-end scenarios for local sea level rise to develop flood protection strategies for a low-lying delta—the Netherlands as an example," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 109(3), pages 617-645, December.
    9. Richter, Andries & Dakos, Vasilis, 2015. "Profit fluctuations signal eroding resilience of natural resources," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 12-21.
    10. Diebold, Francis X. & Rudebusch, Glenn D., 2022. "Probability assessments of an ice-free Arctic: Comparing statistical and climate model projections," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 231(2), pages 520-534.
    11. Hong Ao & Eelco J. Rohling & Ran Zhang & Andrew P. Roberts & Ann E. Holbourn & Jean-Baptiste Ladant & Guillaume Dupont-Nivet & Wolfgang Kuhnt & Peng Zhang & Feng Wu & Mark J. Dekkers & Qingsong Liu & , 2021. "Global warming-induced Asian hydrological climate transition across the Miocene–Pliocene boundary," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-13, December.
    12. Karimi Rahjerdi, Bahareh & Ramamoorthy, Ramesh & Nazarimehr, Fahimeh & Rajagopal, Karthikeyan & Jafari, Sajad, 2022. "Indicating the synchronization bifurcation points using the early warning signals in two case studies: Continuous and explosive synchronization," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 164(C).
    13. John M Drake & Tobias S Brett & Shiyang Chen & Bogdan I Epureanu & Matthew J Ferrari & Éric Marty & Paige B Miller & Eamon B O’Dea & Suzanne M O’Regan & Andrew W Park & Pejman Rohani, 2019. "The statistics of epidemic transitions," PLOS Computational Biology, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(5), pages 1-14, May.
    14. Sang-Ki Lee & Dongmin Kim & Fabian A. Gomez & Hosmay Lopez & Denis L. Volkov & Shenfu Dong & Rick Lumpkin & Stephen Yeager, 2024. "A pause in the weakening of the Atlantic meridional overturning circulation since the early 2010s," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    15. Gianluca Fabiani & Nikolaos Evangelou & Tianqi Cui & Juan M. Bello-Rivas & Cristina P. Martin-Linares & Constantinos Siettos & Ioannis G. Kevrekidis, 2024. "Task-oriented machine learning surrogates for tipping points of agent-based models," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    16. Shivangini Singh & Shashi Kumar & Navneet Kumar, 2023. "Evolution of Iceberg A68 since Its Inception from the Collapse of Antarctica’s Larsen C Ice Shelf Using Sentinel-1 SAR Data," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-28, February.
    17. James J Elser & Timothy J Elser & Stephen R Carpenter & William A Brock, 2014. "Regime Shift in Fertilizer Commodities Indicates More Turbulence Ahead for Food Security," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 9(5), pages 1-7, May.
    18. Adam D. Sproson & Yusuke Yokoyama & Yosuke Miyairi & Takahiro Aze & Rebecca L. Totten, 2022. "Holocene melting of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet driven by tropical Pacific warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    19. Roland Clift & Sarah Sim & Henry King & Jonathan L. Chenoweth & Ian Christie & Julie Clavreul & Carina Mueller & Leo Posthuma & Anne-Marie Boulay & Rebecca Chaplin-Kramer & Julia Chatterton & Fabrice , 2017. "The Challenges of Applying Planetary Boundaries as a Basis for Strategic Decision-Making in Companies with Global Supply Chains," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(2), pages 1-23, February.
    20. Tedesco, Letizia & Vichi, Marcello & Thomas, David N., 2012. "Process studies on the ecological coupling between sea ice algae and phytoplankton," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 120-138.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:spr:climat:v:110:y:2012:i:3:p:845-878. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.springer.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.