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What Has Been Learned from Group-Based Trajectory Modeling? Examples from Physical Aggression and Other Problem Behaviors

Author

Listed:
  • Daniel S. Nagin

    (Heinz School, Carnegie Mellon University.)

  • Richard E. Tremblay

    (Research Unit on Children's Psychosocial Maladjustment at the University of Montreal; Utrecht University in the Netherlands; Centre of Excellence for Early Child Development)

Abstract

The focus of this article is group-based trajectory modeling. Its purpose is threefold. The first is to clarify the proper statistical interpretation of a trajectory group. The second is to summarize some key findings on the developmental course of aggression and other problem behaviors that have emerged from the application of group-based trajectory models and that in the authors' judgment are important to the fields of developmental criminology and developmental psychopathology. The third is to lay out some guidelines on the types of problems for which use of group-based trajectory modeling may be particularly productive.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniel S. Nagin & Richard E. Tremblay, 2005. "What Has Been Learned from Group-Based Trajectory Modeling? Examples from Physical Aggression and Other Problem Behaviors," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 602(1), pages 82-117, November.
    • Handle: RePEc:sae:anname:v:602:y:2005:i:1:p:82-117
    DOI: 10.1177/0002716205280565
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Heckman, James & Singer, Burton, 1984. "A Method for Minimizing the Impact of Distributional Assumptions in Econometric Models for Duration Data," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 52(2), pages 271-320, March.
    2. William Meredith & John Tisak, 1990. "Latent curve analysis," Psychometrika, Springer;The Psychometric Society, vol. 55(1), pages 107-122, March.
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    Cited by:

    1. D. Wayne Osgood, 2005. "Making Sense of Crime and the Life Course," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 602(1), pages 196-211, November.
    2. Alfred Blumstein, 2005. "An Overview of the Symposium and Some Next Steps," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 602(1), pages 242-258, November.
    3. Daniel S. Nagin & Richard E. Tremblay, 2005. "Further Reflections on Modeling and Analyzing Developmental Trajectories: A Response to Maughan and Raudenbush," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 602(1), pages 145-154, November.
    4. Barbara Maughan, 2005. "Developmental Trajectory Modeling: A View from Developmental Psychopathology," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 602(1), pages 118-130, November.
    5. Stephen W. Raudenbush, 2005. "How Do We Study “What Happens Next†?," The ANNALS of the American Academy of Political and Social Science, , vol. 602(1), pages 131-144, November.

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