IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v14y2023i1d10.1038_s41467-023-36794-5.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Soil moisture-evaporation coupling shifts into new gears under increasing CO2

Author

Listed:
  • Hsin Hsu

    (George Mason University)

  • Paul A. Dirmeyer

    (George Mason University
    George Mason University)

Abstract

When soil moisture (SM) content falls within a transitional regime between dry and wet conditions, it controls evaporation, affecting atmospheric heat and humidity. Accordingly, different SM regimes correspond to different gears of land-atmosphere coupling, affecting climate. Determining patterns of SM regimes and their future evolution is imperative. Here, we examine global SM regime distributions from ten climate models. Under increasing CO2, the range of SM extends into unprecedented coupling regimes in many locations. Solely wet regime areas decline globally by 15.9%, while transitional regimes emerge in currently humid areas of the tropics and high latitudes. Many semiarid regions spend more days in the transitional regime and fewer in the dry regime. These imply that a larger fraction of the world will evolve to experience multiple gears of land-atmosphere coupling, with the strongly coupled transitional regime expanding the most. This could amplify future climate sensitivity to land-atmosphere feedbacks and land management.

Suggested Citation

  • Hsin Hsu & Paul A. Dirmeyer, 2023. "Soil moisture-evaporation coupling shifts into new gears under increasing CO2," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-36794-5
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-023-36794-5
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-023-36794-5
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-023-36794-5?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Sha Zhou & A. Park Williams & Benjamin R. Lintner & Alexis M. Berg & Yao Zhang & Trevor F. Keenan & Benjamin I. Cook & Stefan Hagemann & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Pierre Gentine, 2021. "Soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks mitigate declining water availability in drylands," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(1), pages 38-44, January.
    2. Sha Zhou & A. Park Williams & Benjamin R. Lintner & Alexis M. Berg & Yao Zhang & Trevor F. Keenan & Benjamin I. Cook & Stefan Hagemann & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Pierre Gentine, 2021. "Publisher Correction: Soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks mitigate declining water availability in drylands," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(3), pages 274-274, March.
    3. Benoit P. Guillod & Boris Orlowsky & Diego G. Miralles & Adriaan J. Teuling & Sonia I. Seneviratne, 2015. "Reconciling spatial and temporal soil moisture effects on afternoon rainfall," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 6(1), pages 1-6, May.
    4. Alexis Berg & Kaighin A. McColl, 2021. "No projected global drylands expansion under greenhouse warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 11(4), pages 331-337, April.
    5. Christopher M. Taylor & Richard A. M. de Jeu & Françoise Guichard & Phil P. Harris & Wouter A. Dorigo, 2012. "Afternoon rain more likely over drier soils," Nature, Nature, vol. 489(7416), pages 423-426, September.
    6. Alexis Berg & Kirsten Findell & Benjamin Lintner & Alessandra Giannini & Sonia I. Seneviratne & Bart van den Hurk & Ruth Lorenz & Andy Pitman & Stefan Hagemann & Arndt Meier & Frédérique Cheruy & Agnè, 2016. "Land–atmosphere feedbacks amplify aridity increase over land under global warming," Nature Climate Change, Nature, vol. 6(9), pages 869-874, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Mauro Hermann & Heini Wernli & Matthias Röthlisberger, 2024. "Drastic increase in the magnitude of very rare summer-mean vapor pressure deficit extremes," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Gabriele Vissio & Marco Turco & Antonello Provenzale, 2023. "Testing drought indicators for summer burned area prediction in Italy," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 116(1), pages 1125-1137, March.
    2. Zhenyi Yuan & Nan Wei, 2022. "Coupling a New Version of the Common Land Model (CoLM) to the Global/Regional Assimilation and Prediction System (GRAPES): Implementation, Experiment, and Preliminary Evaluation," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-25, May.
    3. Melo, Leonardo Leite de & Melo, Verônica Gaspar Martins Leite de & Marques, Patrícia Angélica Alves & Frizzone, Jose Antônio & Coelho, Rubens Duarte & Romero, Roseli Aparecida Francelin & Barros, Timó, 2022. "Deep learning for identification of water deficits in sugarcane based on thermal images," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    4. Sha Zhou & A. Park Williams & Benjamin R. Lintner & Kirsten L. Findell & Trevor F. Keenan & Yao Zhang & Pierre Gentine, 2022. "Diminishing seasonality of subtropical water availability in a warmer world dominated by soil moisture–atmosphere feedbacks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    5. Ran Feng & Tripti Bhattacharya & Bette L. Otto-Bliesner & Esther C. Brady & Alan M. Haywood & Julia C. Tindall & Stephen J. Hunter & Ayako Abe-Ouchi & Wing-Le Chan & Masa Kageyama & Camille Contoux & , 2022. "Past terrestrial hydroclimate sensitivity controlled by Earth system feedbacks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Jinlin Li & Lanhui Zhang, 2021. "Comparison of Four Methods for Vertical Extrapolation of Soil Moisture Contents from Surface to Deep Layers in an Alpine Area," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(16), pages 1-18, August.
    7. Yaoping Wang & Jiafu Mao & Forrest M. Hoffman & Céline J. W. Bonfils & Hervé Douville & Mingzhou Jin & Peter E. Thornton & Daniel M. Ricciuto & Xiaoying Shi & Haishan Chen & Stan D. Wullschleger & Shi, 2022. "Quantification of human contribution to soil moisture-based terrestrial aridity," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    8. Ayoola O., Oluwadare & Harald, Kunstmann & Esolomo J., Oluwadare & Jan, Bliefernicht, 2022. "Seasonal And Diurnal Variation Of Surface Energy Fluxes And Surface Characteristics Over A Semiarid Grassland In West Africa," International Journal of Agriculture and Environmental Research, Malwa International Journals Publication, vol. 8(1), February.
    9. Stafford, Madison J. & Holländer, Hartmut M. & Dow, Karen, 2022. "Estimating groundwater recharge in the assiniboine delta aquifer using HYDRUS-1D," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    10. Xiaodan Zhao & Wenlong Jing & Pengyan Zhang, 2017. "Mapping Fine Spatial Resolution Precipitation from TRMM Precipitation Datasets Using an Ensemble Learning Method and MODIS Optical Products in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(10), pages 1-17, October.
    11. Shasha Song & Isaac R. Santos & Huaming Yu & Faming Wang & William C. Burnett & Thomas S. Bianchi & Junyu Dong & Ergang Lian & Bin Zhao & Lawrence Mayer & Qingzhen Yao & Zhigang Yu & Bochao Xu, 2022. "A global assessment of the mixed layer in coastal sediments and implications for carbon storage," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    12. Shaoqing Liu & Min Chen & Qianlai Zhuang, 2016. "Direct radiative effects of tropospheric aerosols on changes of global surface soil moisture," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 136(2), pages 175-187, May.
    13. Yanmin Shuai & Yanjun Tian & Congying Shao & Jiapeng Huang & Lingxiao Gu & Qingling Zhang & Ruishan Zhao, 2022. "Potential Variation of Evapotranspiration Induced by Typical Vegetation Changes in Northwest China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-19, May.
    14. Helder F. P. Araujo & Célia C. C. Machado & Ana Carolina Flores Alves & Mônica Costa Lima & José Maria Cardoso Silva, 2022. "Vegetation productivity under climate change depends on landscape complexity in tropical drylands," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(8), pages 1-15, December.
    15. Junying Fang & Yu Du, 2022. "A global survey of diurnal offshore propagation of rainfall," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-10, December.
    16. Lai, Chengguang & Sun, Haowei & Wu, Xushu & Li, Jun & Wang, Zhaoli & Tong, Hongfu & Feng, Jiajin, 2024. "Water availability may not constrain vegetation growth in Northern Hemisphere," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 291(C).
    17. Niemeyer, Julia & Vale, Mariana M., 2022. "Obstacles and opportunities for implementing a policy-mix for ecosystem-based adaptation to climate change in Brazil's Caatinga," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    18. Li, Bingze & Wang, Chunmei & Gu, Xingfa & Zhou, Xiang & Ma, Ming & Li, Lei & Feng, Zhuangzhuang & Ding, Tianyu & Li, Xiaofeng & Jiang, Tao & Li, Xiaojie & Zheng, Xingming, 2022. "Accuracy calibration and evaluation of capacitance-based soil moisture sensors for a variety of soil properties," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 273(C).

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:14:y:2023:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-023-36794-5. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.