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Mitigation of China’s carbon neutrality to global warming

Author

Listed:
  • Longhui Li

    (Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application
    Ministry of Education
    Nanjing Normal University)

  • Yue Zhang

    (Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application
    Ministry of Education
    Nanjing Normal University)

  • Tianjun Zhou

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Kaicun Wang

    (Peking University)

  • Can Wang

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Tao Wang

    (Chinese Academy of Sciences)

  • Linwang Yuan

    (Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application
    Ministry of Education
    Nanjing Normal University)

  • Kangxin An

    (Tsinghua University)

  • Chenghu Zhou

    (Chinese Academy of Science)

  • Guonian Lü

    (Jiangsu Center for Collaborative Innovation in Geographical Information Resource Development and Application
    Ministry of Education
    Nanjing Normal University)

Abstract

Projecting mitigations of carbon neutrality from individual countries in relation to future global warming is of great importance for depicting national climate responsibility but is poorly quantified. Here, we show that China’s carbon neutrality (CNCN) can individually mitigate global warming by 0.48 °C and 0.40 °C, which account for 14% and 9% of the global warming over the long term under the shared socioeconomic pathway (SSP) 3-7.0 and 5-8.5 scenarios, respectively. Further incorporating changes in CH4 and N2O emissions in association with CNCN together will alleviate global warming by 0.21 °C and 0.32 °C for SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5 over the long term, and even by 0.18 °C for SSP2-4.5 over the mid-term, but no significant impacts are shown for all SSPs in the near term. Divergent responses in alleviated warming are seen at regional scales. The results provide a useful reference for the global stocktake, which assesses the collective progress towards the climate goals of the Paris Agreement.

Suggested Citation

  • Longhui Li & Yue Zhang & Tianjun Zhou & Kaicun Wang & Can Wang & Tao Wang & Linwang Yuan & Kangxin An & Chenghu Zhou & Guonian Lü, 2022. "Mitigation of China’s carbon neutrality to global warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-7, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-33047-9
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-33047-9
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    3. Wang, Hui & Zhang, Yunyun & Lin, Weifen & Wei, Wendong, 2023. "Transregional electricity transmission and carbon emissions: Evidence from ultra-high voltage transmission projects in China," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 123(C).
    4. Gao, Yang & Meng, Yangyang & Dong, Guanpeng & Ma, Shaoxiu & Miao, Changhong & Xiao, Jianhua & Mao, Shuting & Shao, Lili, 2024. "The wind-solar hybrid energy could serve as a stable power source at multiple time scale in China mainland," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    5. Jin, Yi & Yang, Jialiang & Feng, Cuiyang & Li, Yingzhu, 2024. "The employment impacts of fossil fuel trade across cities in China: A telecoupling perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 307(C).
    6. Ding, Dan & Liu, Xiaoping & Xu, Xiaocong, 2024. "Projecting the future fine-resolution carbon dioxide emissions under the shared socioeconomic pathways for carbon peak evaluation," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 365(C).

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