IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/nat/natcom/v13y2022i1d10.1038_s41467-022-29015-y.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Agent-based modelling of reactive vaccination of workplaces and schools against COVID-19

Author

Listed:
  • Benjamin Faucher

    (Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique)

  • Rania Assab

    (Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique)

  • Jonathan Roux

    (Univ Rennes, EHESP, CNRS, ARENES—UMR 6051)

  • Daniel Levy-Bruhl

    (Santé Publique France)

  • Cécile Tran Kiem

    (Université de Paris, UMR2000, CNRS
    Sorbonne Université)

  • Simon Cauchemez

    (Université de Paris, UMR2000, CNRS)

  • Laura Zanetti

    (Haute Autorité de Santé)

  • Vittoria Colizza

    (Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique
    Tokyo Institute of Technology)

  • Pierre-Yves Boëlle

    (Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique)

  • Chiara Poletto

    (Sorbonne Université, INSERM, Institut Pierre Louis d’Epidémiologie et de Santé Publique)

Abstract

With vaccination against COVID-19 stalled in some countries, increasing vaccine accessibility and distribution could help keep transmission under control. Here, we study the impact of reactive vaccination targeting schools and workplaces where cases are detected, with an agent-based model accounting for COVID-19 natural history, vaccine characteristics, demographics, behavioural changes and social distancing. In most scenarios, reactive vaccination leads to a higher reduction in cases compared with non-reactive strategies using the same number of doses. The reactive strategy could however be less effective than a moderate/high pace mass vaccination program if initial vaccination coverage is high or disease incidence is low, because few people would be vaccinated around each case. In case of flare-ups, reactive vaccination could better mitigate spread if it is implemented quickly, is supported by enhanced test-trace-isolate and triggers an increased vaccine uptake. These results provide key information to plan an adaptive vaccination rollout.

Suggested Citation

  • Benjamin Faucher & Rania Assab & Jonathan Roux & Daniel Levy-Bruhl & Cécile Tran Kiem & Simon Cauchemez & Laura Zanetti & Vittoria Colizza & Pierre-Yves Boëlle & Chiara Poletto, 2022. "Agent-based modelling of reactive vaccination of workplaces and schools against COVID-19," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-29015-y
    DOI: 10.1038/s41467-022-29015-y
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.nature.com/articles/s41467-022-29015-y
    File Function: Abstract
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1038/s41467-022-29015-y?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Laura Di Domenico & Giulia Pullano & Chiara E. Sabbatini & Pierre-Yves Boëlle & Vittoria Colizza, 2021. "Modelling safe protocols for reopening schools during the COVID-19 pandemic in France," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-10, December.
    2. Juan Yang & Valentina Marziano & Xiaowei Deng & Giorgio Guzzetta & Juanjuan Zhang & Filippo Trentini & Jun Cai & Piero Poletti & Wen Zheng & Wei Wang & Qianhui Wu & Zeyao Zhao & Kaige Dong & Guangjie , 2021. "Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 1009-1020, August.
    3. Dina Mistry & Maria Litvinova & Ana Pastore y Piontti & Matteo Chinazzi & Laura Fumanelli & Marcelo F. C. Gomes & Syed A. Haque & Quan-Hui Liu & Kunpeng Mu & Xinyue Xiong & M. Elizabeth Halloran & Ira, 2021. "Inferring high-resolution human mixing patterns for disease modeling," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-12, December.
    4. Bo Huang & Jionghua Wang & Jixuan Cai & Shiqi Yao & Paul Kay Sheung Chan & Tony Hong-wing Tam & Ying-Yi Hong & Corrine W. Ruktanonchai & Alessandra Carioli & Jessica R. Floyd & Nick W. Ruktanonchai & , 2021. "Integrated vaccination and physical distancing interventions to prevent future COVID-19 waves in Chinese cities," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(6), pages 695-705, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gianluca Fabiani & Nikolaos Evangelou & Tianqi Cui & Juan M. Bello-Rivas & Cristina P. Martin-Linares & Constantinos Siettos & Ioannis G. Kevrekidis, 2024. "Task-oriented machine learning surrogates for tipping points of agent-based models," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Davide Tosi & Alessandro Siro Campi, 2021. "How Schools Affected the COVID-19 Pandemic in Italy: Data Analysis for Lombardy Region, Campania Region, and Emilia Region," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-12, April.
    2. Valentina Marziano & Giorgio Guzzetta & Alessia Mammone & Flavia Riccardo & Piero Poletti & Filippo Trentini & Mattia Manica & Andrea Siddu & Antonino Bella & Paola Stefanelli & Patrizio Pezzotti & Ma, 2021. "The effect of COVID-19 vaccination in Italy and perspectives for living with the virus," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-8, December.
    3. Thomas Ash & Antonio M. Bento & Daniel Kaffine & Akhil Rao & Ana I. Bento, 2022. "Disease-economy trade-offs under alternative epidemic control strategies," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-14, December.
    4. Stefano Guarino & Enrico Mastrostefano & Massimo Bernaschi & Alessandro Celestini & Marco Cianfriglia & Davide Torre & Lena Rebecca Zastrow, 2021. "Inferring Urban Social Networks from Publicly Available Data," Future Internet, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-45, April.
    5. Nan Li & Muzi Chen & Difang Huang, 2022. "How Do Logistics Disruptions Affect Rural Households? Evidence from COVID-19 in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-17, December.
    6. Kozhaya, Mireille, 2022. "The double burden: The impact of school closures on labor force participation of mothers," Ruhr Economic Papers 956, RWI - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung, Ruhr-University Bochum, TU Dortmund University, University of Duisburg-Essen.
    7. repec:jdm:journl:v:17:y:2022:i:6:p:1313-1333 is not listed on IDEAS
    8. Juan Yang & Valentina Marziano & Xiaowei Deng & Giorgio Guzzetta & Juanjuan Zhang & Filippo Trentini & Jun Cai & Piero Poletti & Wen Zheng & Wei Wang & Qianhui Wu & Zeyao Zhao & Kaige Dong & Guangjie , 2021. "Despite vaccination, China needs non-pharmaceutical interventions to prevent widespread outbreaks of COVID-19 in 2021," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 1009-1020, August.
    9. Mattia Mazzoli & Riccardo Gallotti & Filippo Privitera & Pere Colet & José J. Ramasco, 2023. "Spatial immunization to abate disease spreading in transportation hubs," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-10, December.
    10. Bekolo Ngoa Celestin & Tchouchu Emmanuel & Ekoto Eugene Christian & Surapong Ngamsom & Kouame Dangui Dorcas & Agyemang Rama, 2022. "Psychometric Properties (Measurement Invariance and Latent Mean Difference across Gender) of the Learning Transfer Inventory System (LTIS) to Assess Thai Teachers’ Learning Transfer of COVID-19 Preven," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-16, August.
    11. Benjamin Faucher & Chiara E. Sabbatini & Peter Czuppon & Moritz U. G. Kraemer & Philippe Lemey & Vittoria Colizza & François Blanquart & Pierre-Yves Boëlle & Chiara Poletto, 2024. "Drivers and impact of the early silent invasion of SARS-CoV-2 Alpha," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-13, December.
    12. Zhou, Xin & Liao, Wenzhu, 2023. "Research on demand forecasting and distribution of emergency medical supplies using an agent-based model," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 177(C).
    13. Li, Wenjie & Li, Jiachen & Nie, Yanyi & Lin, Tao & Chen, Yu & Liu, Xiaoyang & Su, Sheng & Wang, Wei, 2024. "Infectious disease spreading modeling and containing strategy in heterogeneous population," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 181(C).
    14. Saverio Caini & Chiara Martinoli & Carlo La Vecchia & Sara Raimondi & Federica Bellerba & Oriana D’Ecclesiis & Clementina Sasso & Alessandra Basso & Giulio Cammarata & Sara Gandini, 2022. "SARS-CoV-2 Circulation in the School Setting: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(9), pages 1-13, April.
    15. repec:cup:judgdm:v:17:y:2022:i:6:p:1313-1333 is not listed on IDEAS
    16. Mark P. Khurana & Jacob Curran-Sebastian & Neil Scheidwasser & Christian Morgenstern & Morten Rasmussen & Jannik Fonager & Marc Stegger & Man-Hung Eric Tang & Jonas L. Juul & Leandro Andrés Escobar-He, 2024. "High-resolution epidemiological landscape from ~290,000 SARS-CoV-2 genomes from Denmark," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-16, December.
    17. Díaz, Fernando & Henríquez, Pablo A. & Winkelried, Diego, 2022. "Stock market volatility and the COVID-19 reproductive number," Research in International Business and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 59(C).
    18. Bo Huang & Zhihui Huang & Chen Chen & Jian Lin & Tony Tam & Yingyi Hong & Sen Pei, 2022. "Social vulnerability amplifies the disparate impact of mobility on COVID-19 transmissibility across the United States," Palgrave Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 9(1), pages 1-13, December.
    19. Kim, Kijin & Kim, Soyoung & Lee, Donghyun & Park, Cyn-Young, 2023. "Impacts of social distancing policy and vaccination during the COVID-19 pandemic in the Republic of Korea," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 150(C).
    20. Gabriela Lobinska & Ady Pauzner & Arne Traulsen & Yitzhak Pilpel & Martin A. Nowak, 2022. "Evolution of resistance to COVID-19 vaccination with dynamic social distancing," Nature Human Behaviour, Nature, vol. 6(2), pages 193-206, February.
    21. Yong Ge & Wen-Bin Zhang & Xilin Wu & Corrine W. Ruktanonchai & Haiyan Liu & Jianghao Wang & Yongze Song & Mengxiao Liu & Wei Yan & Juan Yang & Eimear Cleary & Sarchil H. Qader & Fatumah Atuhaire & Nic, 2022. "Untangling the changing impact of non-pharmaceutical interventions and vaccination on European COVID-19 trajectories," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-9, December.
    22. Matthew Spiegel & Heather Tookes, 2022. "All or nothing? Partial business shutdowns and COVID-19 fatality growth," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 17(2), pages 1-15, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:nat:natcom:v:13:y:2022:i:1:d:10.1038_s41467-022-29015-y. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Sonal Shukla or Springer Nature Abstracting and Indexing (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.nature.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.