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Economic Analysis of the Refugee Influx to Austria

Author

Listed:
  • Johannes Berger

    (EcoAustria – Institute for Economic Research, Austria)

  • Ludwig Strohner

    (EcoAustria – Institute for Economic Research, Austria)

Abstract

This paper presents an economic assessment of the current refugee influx to Austria. Conclusions that can be drawn from Swedish experience suggest below average labour force integration of refugees, particularly in the first years after arrival. The skill composition of refugees is taken from surveys. The simulation model PuMA suggests a considerable employment increase, particularly of the unskilled workforce. This rise in employment remains, however, significantly below the number of additional refugees. The unemployment rate rises and is concentrated upon the refugees, but to a smaller extent unskilled residents are affected as well. Furthermore, wage developments of unskilled residents are below average. GDP per capita is negatively affected as a result of below average productivity and employment opportunities of refugees.

Suggested Citation

  • Johannes Berger & Ludwig Strohner, 2017. "Economic Analysis of the Refugee Influx to Austria," Border Crossing, Transnational Press London, UK, vol. 7(1), pages 1-12, January-J.
    • Handle: RePEc:mig:bcwpap:v:7:y:2017:i:1:p:1-12
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Michele Battisti & Gabriel Felbermayr, 2015. "Migranten im deutschen Arbeitsmarkt: Löhne, Arbeitslosigkeit, Erwerbsquoten," ifo Schnelldienst, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 68(20), pages 39-47, October.
    2. Ruist, Joakim, 2013. "The labor market impact of refugee immigration in Sweden 1999–2007," SULCIS Working Papers 2013:1, Stockholm University, Linnaeus Center for Integration Studies - SULCIS.
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