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The Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Sperm Whale Algorithm and Wavelet Least Square Support Vector Machine with DWT-IR for Feature Selection

Author

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  • Jin-peng Liu

    (Department of Economic and Management, North China Electric Power University, Beijing 102206, China)

  • Chang-ling Li

    (Economy and Technology Research Institute, State Grid Xin Jiang Electric Power Corporation, Wulumuqi 830011, China)

Abstract

Short-term power load forecasting is an important basis for the operation of integrated energy system, and the accuracy of load forecasting directly affects the economy of system operation. To improve the forecasting accuracy, this paper proposes a load forecasting system based on wavelet least square support vector machine and sperm whale algorithm. Firstly, the methods of discrete wavelet transform and inconsistency rate model (DWT-IR) are used to select the optimal features, which aims to reduce the redundancy of input vectors. Secondly, the kernel function of least square support vector machine LSSVM is replaced by wavelet kernel function for improving the nonlinear mapping ability of LSSVM. Lastly, the parameters of W-LSSVM are optimized by sperm whale algorithm, and the short-term load forecasting method of W-LSSVM-SWA is established. Additionally, the example verification results show that the proposed model outperforms other alternative methods and has a strong effectiveness and feasibility in short-term power load forecasting.

Suggested Citation

  • Jin-peng Liu & Chang-ling Li, 2017. "The Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Sperm Whale Algorithm and Wavelet Least Square Support Vector Machine with DWT-IR for Feature Selection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(7), pages 1-20, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:9:y:2017:i:7:p:1188-:d:103877
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    5. Da Liu & Kun Sun & Han Huang & Pingzhou Tang, 2018. "Monthly Load Forecasting Based on Economic Data by Decomposition Integration Theory," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-22, September.
    6. Dongxiao Niu & Weibo Zhao & Si Li & Rongjun Chen, 2018. "Cost Forecasting of Substation Projects Based on Cuckoo Search Algorithm and Support Vector Machines," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(1), pages 1-11, January.
    7. Sana Mujeeb & Nadeem Javaid & Manzoor Ilahi & Zahid Wadud & Farruh Ishmanov & Muhammad Khalil Afzal, 2019. "Deep Long Short-Term Memory: A New Price and Load Forecasting Scheme for Big Data in Smart Cities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-29, February.
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