IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jsusta/v15y2023i14p11128-d1195915.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Modeling Climate Regulation of Arable Soils in Northern Saxony under the Influence of Climate Change and Management Practices

Author

Listed:
  • Lea Schwengbeck

    (Chair of Computational Landscape Ecology, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, TU Dresden, Helmholtzstr. 10, 01069 Dresden, Germany)

  • Lisanne Hölting

    (Chair of Computational Landscape Ecology, Faculty of Environmental Sciences, TU Dresden, Helmholtzstr. 10, 01069 Dresden, Germany)

  • Felix Witing

    (Helmholtz Centre for Environmental Research GmbH—UFZ, Department of Computational Landscape Ecology, Permoserstraße 15, 04318 Leipzig, Germany)

Abstract

One approach to increasing the climate-regulating potential of the agricultural sector is carbon sequestration in agricultural soils. This involves storing atmospheric carbon dioxide in the soil in the form of soil organic carbon (SOC) through agricultural management practices (AMPs). Model simulations of area-specific current and future SOC stocks can be used to test appropriate AMPs. In this study, the CANDY Carbon Balance (CCB) model was used to determine how different AMPs could affect SOC stocks in a study area in northern Saxony, Germany. Specifically, we used scenarios with different intensities of sustainable AMPs to assess the potential effects of reduced tillage, crop cultivation, and fertilizer management, as well as the management of crop residues and by-products. The analysis was carried out for the simulation period 2020–2070, with and without consideration of climate change effects. The results showed an average carbon sequestration potential of 5.13–7.18 t C ha −1 for the whole study area, depending on the intensity of AMP implemented. While higher intensities of sustainable AMP implementation generally had a positive impact on carbon sequestration, the scenario with the highest implementation intensity only led to the second highest gains in SOC stocks. The most important factor in increasing SOC stocks was reduced tillage, which resulted in a carbon sequestration potential of 0.84 t C ha −1 by 2070. However, reduced application rates of fertilizers also proved to be critical, resulting in a reduction in carbon stocks of up to 2.2 t C ha −1 by 2070. Finally, the application of high-intensity sustainable AMPs was shown to be able to offset the negative impacts of an intermediate climate change scenario for most of the simulation period. Overall, the results not only confirmed existing knowledge on the effects of AMPs on carbon sequestration for a specific case study area, but also identified future management scenarios that stress the need for widespread adoption of sustainable management practices under changing climate conditions.

Suggested Citation

  • Lea Schwengbeck & Lisanne Hölting & Felix Witing, 2023. "Modeling Climate Regulation of Arable Soils in Northern Saxony under the Influence of Climate Change and Management Practices," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-17, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:14:p:11128-:d:1195915
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/14/11128/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2071-1050/15/14/11128/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Amandine Valérie Pastor & Joao Pedro Nunes & Rossano Ciampalini & Haithem Bahri & Mohamed Annabi & Mohamed Chikhaoui & Armand Crabit & Stéphane Follain & Jan Jacob Keizer & Jérôme Latron & Feliciana L, 2022. "ScenaLand: a simple methodology for developing land use and management scenarios," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(8), pages 1-29, December.
    2. Paulus, Anne & Hagemann, Nina & Baaken, Marieke C. & Roilo, Stephanie & Alarcón-Segura, Viviana & Cord, Anna F. & Beckmann, Michael, 2022. "Landscape context and farm characteristics are key to farmers' adoption of agri-environmental schemes," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    3. T. W. Crowther & K. E. O. Todd-Brown & C. W. Rowe & W. R. Wieder & J. C. Carey & M. B. Machmuller & B. L. Snoek & S. Fang & G. Zhou & S. D. Allison & J. M. Blair & S. D. Bridgham & A. J. Burton & Y. C, 2016. "Quantifying global soil carbon losses in response to warming," Nature, Nature, vol. 540(7631), pages 104-108, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Iain P. Hartley & Tim C. Hill & Sarah E. Chadburn & Gustaf Hugelius, 2021. "Temperature effects on carbon storage are controlled by soil stabilisation capacities," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 12(1), pages 1-7, December.
    2. Lijiang Hu & Ruikun Zeng & Jianwu Yao & Ziwei Liang & Zhaobing Zeng & Wenying Li & Ronghui Wang & Xianjiang Shu & Yong Chen & Jianfeng Ning, 2024. "Characteristics of the Soil Organic Carbon Pool in Paddy Fields in Guangdong Province, South China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-13, August.
    3. Quanxu Hu & Jinhe Zhang & Huaju Xue & Jingwei Wang & Aiqing Li, 2024. "Spatiotemporal Variations in Carbon Sources and Sinks in National Park Ecosystem and the Impact of Tourism," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-23, September.
    4. Qiang Li & Maofang Gao & Zhao-Liang Li, 2022. "Soil Organic Carbon Storage in Australian Wheat Cropping Systems in Response to Climate Change from 1990 to 2060," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-15, September.
    5. Marek Zieliński & Wioletta Wrzaszcz & Jolanta Sobierajewska & Marcin Adamski, 2024. "Development and Effects of Organic Farms in Poland, Taking into Account Their Location in Areas Facing Natural or Other Specific Constraints," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(2), pages 1-18, February.
    6. Wang, Chunyu & Li, Sien & Wu, Mousong & Zhang, Wenxin & Guo, Zhenyu & Huang, Siyu & Yang, Danni, 2023. "Co-regulation of temperature and moisture in the irrigated agricultural ecosystem productivity," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    7. Shuai Ren & Tao Wang & Bertrand Guenet & Dan Liu & Yingfang Cao & Jinzhi Ding & Pete Smith & Shilong Piao, 2024. "Projected soil carbon loss with warming in constrained Earth system models," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    8. Meyer, Rachelle S. & Cullen, Brendan R. & Whetton, Penny H. & Robertson, Fiona A. & Eckard, Richard J., 2018. "Potential impacts of climate change on soil organic carbon and productivity in pastures of south eastern Australia," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 167(C), pages 34-46.
    9. Elena A. Mikhailova & Garth R. Groshans & Christopher J. Post & Mark A. Schlautman & Gregory C. Post, 2019. "Valuation of Total Soil Carbon Stocks in the Contiguous United States Based on the Avoided Social Cost of Carbon Emissions," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(4), pages 1-16, September.
    10. Dongwei Liu & Shanlong Li & Weixing Zhu & Yongyang Wang & Shasha Zhang & Yunting Fang, 2023. "Storage and Stability of Soil Organic Carbon in Two Temperate Forests in Northeastern China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(5), pages 1-14, May.
    11. Wittstock, Felix & Paulus, Anne & Beckmann, Michael & Hagemann, Nina & Baaken, Marieke Cornelia, 2022. "Understanding farmers’ decision-making on agri-environmental schemes: A case study from Saxony, Germany," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 122(C).
    12. Xuanyu Tao & Zhifeng Yang & Jiajie Feng & Siyang Jian & Yunfeng Yang & Colin T. Bates & Gangsheng Wang & Xue Guo & Daliang Ning & Megan L. Kempher & Xiao Jun A. Liu & Yang Ouyang & Shun Han & Linwei W, 2024. "Experimental warming accelerates positive soil priming in a temperate grassland ecosystem," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-18, December.
    13. Andrew R. Pearson & Bethany R. S. Fox & John C. Hellstrom & Marcus J. Vandergoes & Sebastian F. M. Breitenbach & Russell N Drysdale & Sebastian N. Höpker & Christopher T. Wood & Martin Schiller & Adam, 2024. "Warming drives dissolved organic carbon export from pristine alpine soils," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    14. Rui Yin & Wenkuan Qin & Xudong Wang & Dong Xie & Hao Wang & Hongyang Zhao & Zhenhua Zhang & Jin-Sheng He & Martin Schädler & Paul Kardol & Nico Eisenhauer & Biao Zhu, 2023. "Experimental warming causes mismatches in alpine plant-microbe-fauna phenology," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-9, December.
    15. Karis J. McFarlane & Daniela F. Cusack & Lee H. Dietterich & Alexandra L. Hedgpeth & Kari M. Finstad & Andrew T. Nottingham, 2024. "Experimental warming and drying increase older carbon contributions to soil respiration in lowland tropical forests," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-10, December.
    16. Piao Zhou & Lin Zhang & Shi Qi, 2022. "Plant Diversity and Aboveground Biomass Interact with Abiotic Factors to Drive Soil Organic Carbon in Beijing Mountainous Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(17), pages 1-12, August.
    17. Xiaoxiao Li & Qi Zhang & Jing Ma & Yongjun Yang & Yifei Wang & Chen Fu, 2020. "Flooding Irrigation Weakens the Molecular Ecological Network Complexity of Soil Microbes during the Process of Dryland-to-Paddy Conversion," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(2), pages 1-19, January.
    18. Ang Hu & Kyoung-Soon Jang & Andrew J. Tanentzap & Wenqian Zhao & Jay T. Lennon & Jinfu Liu & Mingjia Li & James Stegen & Mira Choi & Yahai Lu & Xiaojuan Feng & Jianjun Wang, 2024. "Thermal responses of dissolved organic matter under global change," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-15, December.
    19. Mingming Wang & Xiaowei Guo & Shuai Zhang & Liujun Xiao & Umakant Mishra & Yuanhe Yang & Biao Zhu & Guocheng Wang & Xiali Mao & Tian Qian & Tong Jiang & Zhou Shi & Zhongkui Luo, 2022. "Global soil profiles indicate depth-dependent soil carbon losses under a warmer climate," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 13(1), pages 1-11, December.
    20. Shuqi Qin & Dianye Zhang & Bin Wei & Yuanhe Yang, 2024. "Dual roles of microbes in mediating soil carbon dynamics in response to warming," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 15(1), pages 1-11, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jsusta:v:15:y:2023:i:14:p:11128-:d:1195915. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.