IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jmathe/v8y2020i11p2024-d444690.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

The Use of the Foresight Methods in Developing an Algorithm for Conducting Qualitative Examination of the Research Activities Results on the Example of the Republic of Kazakhstan

Author

Listed:
  • Rinat Zhanbayev

    (Rectorate, Almaty University of Power Engineering and Telecommunications Named after Gumarbek Daukeev, Almaty 050013, Kazakhstan
    Department of Scientific and Innovative Development, Republican Public Association «National Engineering Academy of the Republic of Kazakhstan», Almaty 050040, Kazakhstan)

  • Saule Sagintayeva

    (Rectorate, Almaty University of Power Engineering and Telecommunications Named after Gumarbek Daukeev, Almaty 050013, Kazakhstan)

  • Abildina Ainur

    (Management Department, Almaty University of Power Engineering and Telecommunications Named after Gumarbek Daukeev, Almaty 050013, Kazakhstan)

  • Anton Nazarov

    (Department of Business Informatics, Ural State University of Economics, 620144 Yekaterinburg, Russia)

Abstract

In modern conditions, it is interesting to study foresight as an effective tool for identifying new strategic scientific directions. Its purpose is to develop an algorithm for conducting qualitative expertise in the application of the foresight methods with the ability to integrate forecast estimates. Currently, the vast majority of research activities results do not contribute to the innovative development of the state. To solve this problem, it is necessary to ensure a stable systemic relationship between specific sectors of the economy and higher education. The algorithm is developed on the basis of a systematic approach to the foresight methods and the use of the methods of bibliometrics, scientometrics, patent analysis and forecasting. The results and conclusions of this study are: an algorithm has been developed for conducting qualitative examination of the results of scientific activities in order to increase its practical significance, in which the authors propose the foresight methods as the most optimal tool for choosing priority areas of science and technology. Putting this approach into practice will make it possible to increase the efficiency of the foresight methods by both reducing time costs, and rationally using monetary and human resources.

Suggested Citation

  • Rinat Zhanbayev & Saule Sagintayeva & Abildina Ainur & Anton Nazarov, 2020. "The Use of the Foresight Methods in Developing an Algorithm for Conducting Qualitative Examination of the Research Activities Results on the Example of the Republic of Kazakhstan," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-19, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:8:y:2020:i:11:p:2024-:d:444690
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/11/2024/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7390/8/11/2024/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Ville Brummer & Totti Konnola & Ahti Salo, 2010. "Diversity in Foresight: A Practice of Selection of Innovation Ideas," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 4(4), pages 56-68.
    2. Lybbert, Travis J. & Zolas, Nikolas J., 2014. "Getting patents and economic data to speak to each other: An ‘Algorithmic Links with Probabilities’ approach for joint analyses of patenting and economic activity," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 43(3), pages 530-542.
    3. Claudio Gomez Portaleoni & Svetla Marinova & Rehan ul-Haq & Marin Marinov, 2013. "Corporate Foresight and Strategic Decisions," Palgrave Macmillan Books, Palgrave Macmillan, number 978-1-137-32697-3, October.
    4. Bootz, Jean-Philippe & Durance, Philippe & Monti, Régine, 2019. "Foresight and knowledge management. New developments in theory and practice," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 80-83.
    5. Djuricic, Ksenija & Bootz, Jean-Philippe, 2019. "Effectuation and foresight – An exploratory study of the implicit links between the two concepts," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 115-128.
    6. Aguirre-Bastos, Carlos & Weber, Matthias K., 2018. "Foresight for shaping national innovation systems in developing economies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 128(C), pages 186-196.
    7. Tapinos, E. & Pyper, N., 2018. "Forward looking analysis: Investigating how individuals ‘do’ foresight and make sense of the future," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 292-302.
    8. Mikhail Bokov & Anastasia Edelkina & Marina Klubova & Thomas Thurner & Natalia Velikanova & Konstantin Vishnevskiy, 2013. "Development of navigation services and Devices – evidence from a case study in Russia," HSE Working papers WP BRP 22/STI/2013, National Research University Higher School of Economics.
    9. Sarpong, David & Maclean, Mairi, 2016. "Cultivating strategic foresight in practise: A relational perspective," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 69(8), pages 2812-2820.
    10. Sarpong, David & Eyres, Eve & Batsakis, Georgios, 2019. "Narrating the future: A distentive capability approach to strategic foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 105-114.
    11. de Rassenfosse, Gaétan, 2013. "Do firms face a trade-off between the quantity and the quality of their inventions?," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 42(5), pages 1072-1079.
    12. Iden, Jon & Methlie, Leif B. & Christensen, Gunnar E., 2017. "The nature of strategic foresight research: A systematic literature review," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 116(C), pages 87-97.
    13. Nadezhda Mikova & Anna Sokolova, 2014. "Global technology trends monitoring: theoretical Frameworks and best practices," Foresight-Russia Форсайт, CyberLeninka;Федеральное государственное автономное образовательное учреждение высшего образования «Национальный исследовательский университет «Высшая школа экономики», vol. 8(4 (eng)), pages 64-83.
    14. Bootz, Jean-Philippe & Monti, Régine & Durance, Philippe & Pacini, Vincent & Chapuy, Pierre, 2019. "The links between French school of foresight and organizational learning: An assessment of developments in the last ten years," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 140(C), pages 92-104.
    15. Hanney, Steve & Henkel, Mary & Walden Laing, Dagmar von, 2001. "Making and implementing foresight policy to engage the academic community: health and life scientists' involvement in, and response to, development of the UK's technology foresight programme," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 1203-1219, October.
    16. Jean-Philippe Bootz & Régine Monti & Philippe Durance & Vincent Pacini & Pierre Chapuy, 2019. "The links between French school of foresight and organizational learning: An assessment of developments in the last ten years," Post-Print hal-02772738, HAL.
    17. Claudio Gomez Portaleoni & Svetla Marinova & Rehan ul-Haq & Marin Marinov, 2013. "Data Analysis and Findings," Palgrave Macmillan Books, in: Corporate Foresight and Strategic Decisions, chapter 6, pages 130-246, Palgrave Macmillan.
    18. Markard, Jochen & Stadelmann, Martin & Truffer, Bernhard, 2009. "Prospective analysis of technological innovation systems: Identifying technological and organizational development options for biogas in Switzerland," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(4), pages 655-667, May.
    19. Seong Soo Kim & Yo Sop Choi, 2019. "The Innovative Platform Programme in South Korea: Economic Policies in Innovation-Driven Growth," Foresight and STI Governance (Foresight-Russia till No. 3/2015), National Research University Higher School of Economics, vol. 13(3), pages 13-22.
    20. Bryan, Kevin A. & Lemus, Jorge, 2017. "The direction of innovation," Journal of Economic Theory, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 247-272.
    21. Jean-Philippe Bootz & Philippe Durance & Régine Monti, 2019. "Foresight and knowledge management. New developments in theory and practice," Post-Print hal-02864597, HAL.
    22. Fischer, Timo & Henkel, Joachim, 2012. "Patent trolls on markets for technology – An empirical analysis of NPEs’ patent acquisitions," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 41(9), pages 1519-1533.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Anna Shutaleva & Ekaterina Kuzminykh & Anastasia Novgorodtseva, 2023. "Youth Practices of Reading as a Form of Life and the Digital World," Societies, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-21, July.
    2. Dmitry Nazarov & Yerkebulan Baimukhambetov, 2022. "Clustering of Dark Patterns in the User Interfaces of Websites and Online Trading Portals (E-Commerce)," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(18), pages 1-12, September.
    3. Diana Amirbekova & Timur Narbaev & Meruyert Kussaiyn, 2022. "The Research Environment in a Developing Economy: Reforms, Patterns, and Challenges in Kazakhstan," Publications, MDPI, vol. 10(4), pages 1-19, October.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Marinković, Milan & Al-Tabbaa, Omar & Khan, Zaheer & Wu, Jie, 2022. "Corporate foresight: A systematic literature review and future research trajectories," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 289-311.
    2. Areej Hijazin & Javier Tamayo-Torres & Nawras Nusairat, 2023. "Moderating the Synergies between Business Intelligence and Strategic Foresight: Navigating Uncertainty for Future Success through Knowledge Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-17, September.
    3. Sakellariou, Evy & Vecchiato, Riccardo, 2022. "Foresight, sensemaking, and new product development: Constructing meanings for the future," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    4. Moqaddamerad, Sara & Ali, Murad, 2024. "Strategic foresight and business model innovation: The sequential mediating role of sensemaking and learning," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    5. Burt, George & Nair, Anup Karath, 2020. "Rigidities of imagination in scenario planning: Strategic foresight through ‘Unlearning’," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    6. Gattringer, Regina & Wiener, Melanie, 2020. "Key factors in the start-up phase of collaborative foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 153(C).
    7. Claire Brunel & Thomas Zylkin, 2022. "Do cross‐border patents promote trade?," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 55(1), pages 379-418, February.
    8. Flick, Catherine & Zamani, Efpraxia D. & Stahl, Bernd Carsten & Brem, Alexander, 2020. "The future of ICT for health and ageing: Unveiling ethical and social issues through horizon scanning foresight," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    9. Dana, Léo-Paul & Salamzadeh, Aidin & Mortazavi, Samira & Hadizadeh, Morteza & Zolfaghari, Mahnaz, 2022. "Strategic Futures Studies and Entrepreneurial Resiliency: A Focus on Digital Technology Trends and Emerging Markets," TEC Empresarial, School of Business, Costa Rica Institute of Technology (ITCR), vol. 16(1), pages 87-100.
    10. Zhao, Yang & Canales, J. Ignacio, 2021. "Never the twain shall meet? Knowledge strategies for digitalization in healthcare," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
    11. Stucki, Tobias & Woerter, Martin, 2019. "The private returns to knowledge: A comparison of ICT, biotechnologies, nanotechnologies, and green technologies," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 62-81.
    12. Merit Tatar & Tarmo Kalvet & Marek Tiits, 2020. "Cities4ZERO Approach to Foresight for Fostering Smart Energy Transition on Municipal Level," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(14), pages 1-30, July.
    13. Bing Wu & Chunyu Gong, 2019. "Impact of Open Innovation Communities on Enterprise Innovation Performance: A System Dynamics Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(17), pages 1-27, September.
    14. Bowman, Gary & Parks, Ryan W., 2024. "Between episodes of strategy: Sociomateriality, sensemaking, and dysfunction in a scenario planning process," Journal of Business Research, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    15. Tasya Nabila Salman & Aos Aos & Agus Dana Permana, 2023. "Strategic foresight: Scenario planning for business development of the Indonesian Orchid Association (IOA), West Java, Indonesia," Economia agro-alimentare, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2023(3), pages 11-33.
    16. Christopher Münch & Heiko A. von der Gracht, 2021. "A bibliometric review of scientific theory in futures and foresight: A commentary on Fergnani and Chermack 2021," Futures & Foresight Science, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 3(3-4), September.
    17. Bouhalleb, Arafet & Tapinos, Efstathios, 2023. "The impact of scenario planning on entrepreneurial orientation," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    18. Bootz, Jean-Philippe & Michel, Sophie & Pallud, Jessie & Monti, Régine, 2022. "Possible changes of Industry 4.0 in 2030 in the face of uberization: Results of a participatory and systemic foresight study," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 184(C).
    19. Taferner, Stefan Gerhard, 2023. "Strategic Foresight Capability and its Impact on Firm Performance: A systematic, AI-based Literature Review," Junior Management Science (JUMS), Junior Management Science e. V., vol. 8(3), pages 658-681.
    20. Prommer, Lisa & Tiberius, Victor & Kraus, Sascha, 2020. "Exploring the future of startup leadership development," Journal of Business Venturing Insights, Elsevier, vol. 14(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:8:y:2020:i:11:p:2024-:d:444690. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.