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Optimal Social and Vaccination Control in the SVIR Epidemic Model

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  • Alessandro Ramponi

    (Department of Economics and Finance, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Via Columbia 2, 00133 Rome, Italy)

  • Maria Elisabetta Tessitore

    (Department of Economics and Finance, University of Rome Tor Vergata, Via Columbia 2, 00133 Rome, Italy)

Abstract

In this paper, we introduce an approach to the management of infectious disease diffusion through the formulation of a controlled compartmental SVIR (susceptible–vaccinated–infected–recovered) model. We consider a cost functional encompassing three distinct yet interconnected dimensions: the social cost, the disease cost, and the vaccination cost. The proposed model addresses the pressing need for optimized strategies in disease containment, incorporating both social control measures and vaccination campaigns. Through the utilization of advanced control theory, we identify optimal control strategies that mitigate disease proliferation while considering the inherent trade-offs among social interventions and vaccination efforts. Finally, we present the results from a simulation-based study employing a numerical implementation of the optimally controlled system through the forward–backward sweep algorithm. The baseline model considered incorporates parameters representative of typical values observed during the recent pandemic outbreak.

Suggested Citation

  • Alessandro Ramponi & Maria Elisabetta Tessitore, 2024. "Optimal Social and Vaccination Control in the SVIR Epidemic Model," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 12(7), pages 1-17, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jmathe:v:12:y:2024:i:7:p:933-:d:1361844
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Michael McAsey & Libin Mou & Weimin Han, 2012. "Convergence of the forward-backward sweep method in optimal control," Computational Optimization and Applications, Springer, vol. 53(1), pages 207-226, September.
    2. Garriga, Carlos & Manuelli, Rody & Sanghi, Siddhartha, 2022. "Optimal management of an epidemic: Lockdown, vaccine and value of life," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 140(C).
    3. Krishna Dasaratha, 2020. "Virus Dynamics with Behavioral Responses," Papers 2004.14533, arXiv.org, revised Sep 2023.
    4. La Torre, Davide & Liuzzi, Danilo & Marsiglio, Simone, 2021. "Epidemics and macroeconomic outcomes: Social distancing intensity and duration," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    5. Federico, Salvatore & Ferrari, Giorgio, 2021. "Taming the spread of an epidemic by lockdown policies," Journal of Mathematical Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    6. Thomas Kruse & Philipp Strack, 2020. "Optimal Control of an Epidemic through Social Distancing," Cowles Foundation Discussion Papers 2229, Cowles Foundation for Research in Economics, Yale University.
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