IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v12y2023i9p1810-d1244115.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Spatiotemporal Variation and Influencing Factors of Grain Yield in Major Grain-Producing Counties: A Comparative Study of Two Provinces from China

Author

Listed:
  • Zhipeng Wang

    (School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China
    College of Geography and Environmental Science, Henan University, Kaifeng 475004, China)

  • Ershen Zhang

    (School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

  • Guojun Chen

    (School of Urban Design, Wuhan University, Wuhan 430072, China)

Abstract

The exploration of the spatiotemporal variations and influencing factors of grain yield in major grain-producing regions is greatly important to maintain stable and sustainable agriculture. Taking Henan Province and Heilongjiang Province as examples, this study reveals the spatiotemporal characteristics of grain yield at the county level by using multisource data on the economy, society, and natural geography from 2000 to 2021 and employing methods such as coefficients of variation, standard deviational ellipses, and spatial autocorrelation analysis. Moreover, geographical detector and geographically weighted regression models are combined to explore the differences in significant influencing factors between these provinces and the spatial heterogeneity of regression coefficients, respectively. The following findings are drawn: (1) Grain yield in both provinces gradually increased, with notable differences in the annual growth rate, the proportion, and at the county level. (2) The number of high-yield counties significantly increased and their spatial distribution became more concentrated, indicating a notable shift in the main regions. (3) The overall spatial correlation of grain yield steadily increased, and the local spatial correlation transitioned from random distribution to gradual aggregation. (4) There were significant differences in the influencing factors, where geographical environment, socio-economic factors, and input factors all affected both provinces. In summary, this study provides a scientific reference for governments worldwide to formulate rational and effective food production policies, thereby contributing to global food security and sustainable social development.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhipeng Wang & Ershen Zhang & Guojun Chen, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Variation and Influencing Factors of Grain Yield in Major Grain-Producing Counties: A Comparative Study of Two Provinces from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-30, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:9:p:1810-:d:1244115
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/9/1810/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/12/9/1810/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Xia, Wenjun & Chen, Xiaohong & Song, Chao & Pérez-Carrera, Alejo, 2022. "Driving factors of virtual water in international grain trade: A study for belt and road countries," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 262(C).
    2. Vasilii Erokhin & Gao Tianming & Luminita Chivu & Jean Vasile Andrei, 2022. "Food security in a food self-sufficient economy: A review of China's ongoing transition to a zero hunger state," Agricultural Economics, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 68(12), pages 476-487.
    3. Liu, Yansui & Zhou, Yang, 2021. "Reflections on China's food security and land use policy under rapid urbanization," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 109(C).
    4. Xilong Jiang & Guanyi Yin & Yi Lou & Shuai Xie & Wei Wei, 2021. "The Impact of Transformation of Farmers’ Livelihood on the Increasing Labor Costs of Grain Plantation in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(21), pages 1-18, October.
    5. Katrine Soma & Wil Hennen & Siemen van Berkum, 2023. "Can Domestic Food Production Provide Future Urban Populations with Food and Nutrition Security?—Insights from Bangladesh, Kenya and Uganda," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(11), pages 1-23, June.
    6. Xin Li & Jie Shang, 2021. "Decision-Making Behavior of Fertilizer Application of Grain Growers in Heilongjiang Province from the Perspective of Risk Preference and Risk Perception," Mathematical Problems in Engineering, Hindawi, vol. 2021, pages 1-8, February.
    7. Francis Andrianarison, 2022. "Unravelling the Linkage between Food Security, Poverty Reduction, and Education for Sustainable Development," Journal of Development Studies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 58(11), pages 2198-2221, November.
    8. Chandio, Abbas Ali & Dash, Devi Prasad & Nathaniel, Solomon Prince & Sargani, Ghulam Raza & Jiang, Yuansheng, 2023. "Mitigation pathways towards climate change: Modelling the impact of climatological factors on wheat production in top six regions of China," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 481(C).
    9. Fan, Jiangchuan & Lu, Xianju & Gu, Shenghao & Guo, Xinyu, 2020. "Improving nutrient and water use efficiencies using water-drip irrigation and fertilization technology in Northeast China," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    10. Wang, Can & Deng, Mengzhi & Deng, Junfeng, 2020. "Factor reallocation and structural transformation implications of grain subsidies in China," Journal of Asian Economics, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    11. Ershen Zhang & Zhipeng Wang & Guojun Chen & Guoen Wang & Yajuan Zhou & Pengliang Hu & Haijuan Zhao, 2023. "Spatial-Temporal Evolution Patterns and Influencing Factors of Hotels in Yellow River Basin from 2012 to 2022," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-27, March.
    12. Pei-Fang Ma & Da-Fang Wu & Tong Lin & Zhao-Jun Wu & Zhao-Cheng Li & Yi-Xuan Liang & Yu-Cheng Zhang & Huan-Ming Lai, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Coupling Relationship between Rural Population and Cultivated Land Changes at the County Level in Guangdong Province," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-17, November.
    13. Hua Huang & Mengyang Hou & Shunbo Yao, 2022. "Urbanization and Grain Production Pattern of China: Dynamic Effect and Mediating Mechanism," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-21, April.
    14. Anghinoni, Guilherme & Anghinoni, Fernanda Brunetta Godinho & Tormena, Cássio Antonio & Braccini, Alessandro Lucca & de Carvalho Mendes, Ieda & Zancanaro, Leandro & Lal, Rattan, 2021. "Conservation agriculture strengthen sustainability of Brazilian grain production and food security," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C).
    15. Amiri, Seyedreza & Eyni-Nargeseh, Hamed & Rahimi-Moghaddam, Sajjad & Azizi, Khosro, 2021. "Water use efficiency of chickpea agro-ecosystems will be boosted by positive effects of CO2 and using suitable genotype × environment × management under climate change conditions," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 252(C).
    16. Kifayatullah Kakar & Tran Dang Xuan & Zubair Noori & Shafiqullah Aryan & Gulbuddin Gulab, 2020. "Effects of Organic and Inorganic Fertilizer Application on Growth, Yield, and Grain Quality of Rice," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 10(11), pages 1-11, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Linghui Guo & Yuanyuan Luo & Yao Li & Tianping Wang & Jiangbo Gao & Hebing Zhang & Youfeng Zou & Shaohong Wu, 2023. "Spatiotemporal Changes and the Prediction of Drought Characteristics in a Major Grain-Producing Area of China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-19, November.
    2. Chaofan Ma & Lingzhi Wang & Yangfan Chen & Junjie Wu & Anqi Liang & Xinyao Li & Chengge Jiang & Hichem Omrani, 2024. "Evolution and Drivers of Production Patterns of Major Crops in Jilin Province, China," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(7), pages 1-19, July.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dalal Aassouli & Ayodele Akande & Ray Jureidini, 2023. "Comparative Analysis of Sustainable Food Governance and the Alignment of Food Security Policies to Sustainable Development: A Case Study of OIC Countries," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-27, November.
    2. Xuelan Li & Rui Guan, 2023. "How Does Agricultural Mechanization Service Affect Agricultural Green Transformation in China?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(2), pages 1-23, January.
    3. Jianxu Liu & Xiaoqing Li & Shutong Liu & Sanzidur Rahman & Songsak Sriboonchitta, 2022. "Addressing Rural–Urban Income Gap in China through Farmers’ Education and Agricultural Productivity Growth via Mediation and Interaction Effects," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-23, November.
    4. Jiayu Kang & Xuejun Duan & Ruxian Yun, 2023. "The Impact of Urbanization on Food Security: A Case Study of Jiangsu Province," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(9), pages 1-16, August.
    5. Wenyuan Hua & Zhihan Chen & Liangguo Luo, 2022. "The Effect of the Major-Grain-Producing-Areas Oriented Policy on Crop Production: Evidence from China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(9), pages 1-28, August.
    6. Sun, Xueqing & Xiang, Pengcheng & Cong, Kexin, 2023. "Research on early warning and control measures for arable land resource security," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 128(C).
    7. Michele Andrea De Santis & Antonio Satriani & Fortunato De Santis & Zina Flagella, 2022. "Water Use Efficiency, Spectral Phenotyping and Protein Composition of Two Chickpea Genotypes Grown in Mediterranean Environments under Different Water and Nitrogen Supply," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-14, November.
    8. Guo, Yaoqi & Zhao, Boya & Zhang, Hongwei, 2023. "The impact of the Belt and Road Initiative on the natural gas trade: A network structure dependence perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(PD).
    9. Xinwen Lin & Angathevar Baskaran & Yajie Zhang, 2023. "Watershed Horizontal Ecological Compensation Policy and Green Ecological City Development: Spatial and Mechanism Assessment," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-21, February.
    10. Lee, Chien-Chiang & Yan, Jingyang & Wang, Fuhao, 2024. "Impact of population aging on food security in the context of artificial intelligence: Evidence from China," Technological Forecasting and Social Change, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    11. Chen Li & Xiangmu Jin & Junjun Zhi & Yao Luo & Mengni Li & Wangbing Liu, 2022. "Evaluating Whether Farmland Consolidation Is a Feasible Way to Achieve a Balance of Potential Crop Production in Southeastern Coastal China," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-17, October.
    12. Zhou, Yanju & Che, Yuan, 2021. "Research on Government Logistics Subsidies for Poverty Alleviation with Non-uniform Distribution of Consumers," Omega, Elsevier, vol. 104(C).
    13. Zhao, Guimei & Li, Wenxiu & Geng, Yong & Bleischwitz, Raimund, 2023. "Uncovering the features of global antimony resource trade network," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 85(PA).
    14. Abda Emam, 2023. "Saudi Fertilizers and Their Impact on Global Food Security: Present and Future," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-21, May.
    15. Francis Andrianarison, 2023. "Human capital, infrastructure, and institutional quality: leapfrogging the spatial poverty gap," SN Business & Economics, Springer, vol. 3(9), pages 1-26, September.
    16. Dang, Yuxuan & Zhao, Zhenting & Kong, Xiangbin & Lei, Ming & Liao, Yubo & Xie, Zhen & Song, Wei, 2023. "Discerning the process of cultivated land governance transition in China since the reform and opening-up-- Based on the multiple streams framework," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    17. Yane Freitas Silva & Rafael Vasconcelos Valadares & Henrique Boriolo Dias & Santiago Vianna Cuadra & Eleanor E. Campbell & Rubens A. C. Lamparelli & Edemar Moro & Rafael Battisti & Marcelo R. Alves & , 2022. "Intense Pasture Management in Brazil in an Integrated Crop-Livestock System Simulated by the DayCent Model," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-24, March.
    18. Fu, Xiaoke & Wu, Xiao & Wang, Haoyu & Chen, Yiwen & Wang, Rui & Wang, Yaqi, 2023. "Effects of fertigation with carboxymethyl cellulose potassium on water conservation, salt suppression, and maize growth in salt-affected soil," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    19. Jin, Xuanyi & Jiang, Wenrui & Fang, Delin & Wang, Saige & Chen, Bin, 2024. "Evaluation and driving force analysis of the water-energy‑carbon nexus in agricultural trade for RCEP countries," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 353(PB).
    20. Yiqing Su & Qiaoyuan Huang & Qi Meng & Liangzhen Zang & Hua Xiao, 2023. "Socialized Farmland Operation—An Institutional Interpretation of Farmland Scale Management," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(4), pages 1-21, February.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:9:p:1810-:d:1244115. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.