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Evidence of Adaptation to Increasing Temperatures

Author

Listed:
  • Lisbeth Weitensfelder

    (Department of Environmental Health, Center for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, Kinderspitalgasse 15, 1090 Vienna, Austria)

  • Hanns Moshammer

    (Department of Environmental Health, Center for Public Health, Medical University of Vienna, Kinderspitalgasse 15, 1090 Vienna, Austria)

Abstract

In times of rising temperatures, the question arises on how the human body adapts. When assumed that changing climate leads to adaptation, time series analysis should reveal a shift in optimal temperatures. The city of Vienna is especially affected by climate change due to its location in the Alpine Range in Middle Europe. Based on mortality data, we calculated shifts in optimal temperature for a time period of 49 years in Vienna with Poisson regression models. Results show a shift in optimal temperature, with optimal temperature increasing more than average temperature. Hence, results clearly show an adaptation process, with more adaptation to warmer than colder temperatures. Nevertheless, some age groups remain more vulnerable than others and less able to adapt. Further research focusing on vulnerable groups should be encouraged.

Suggested Citation

  • Lisbeth Weitensfelder & Hanns Moshammer, 2019. "Evidence of Adaptation to Increasing Temperatures," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(1), pages 1-9, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:17:y:2019:i:1:p:97-:d:300697
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    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Elisaveta P. Petkova & Daniel A. Bader & G. Brooke Anderson & Radley M. Horton & Kim Knowlton & Patrick L. Kinney, 2014. "Heat-Related Mortality in a Warming Climate: Projections for 12 U.S. Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 11(11), pages 1-13, October.
    2. Matteo Scortichini & Manuela De Sario & Francesca K. De’Donato & Marina Davoli & Paola Michelozzi & Massimo Stafoggia, 2018. "Short-Term Effects of Heat on Mortality and Effect Modification by Air Pollution in 25 Italian Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-12, August.
    3. Kristie L. Ebi & Christopher Boyer & Kathryn J. Bowen & Howard Frumkin & Jeremy Hess, 2018. "Monitoring and Evaluation Indicators for Climate Change-Related Health Impacts, Risks, Adaptation, and Resilience," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(9), pages 1-11, September.
    4. Scott C. Sheridan & Cameron C. Lee & Michael J. Allen, 2019. "The Mortality Response to Absolute and Relative Temperature Extremes," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-14, April.
    5. Manfred Neuberger & Hanns Moshammer & Daniel Rabczenko, 2013. "Acute and Subacute Effects of Urban Air Pollution on Cardiopulmonary Emergencies and Mortality: Time Series Studies in Austrian Cities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 10(10), pages 1-24, October.
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    Cited by:

    1. Michael Poteser & Hanns Moshammer, 2020. "Daylight Saving Time Transitions: Impact on Total Mortality," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(5), pages 1-5, March.
    2. Hanns Moshammer & Michael Poteser & Michael Kundi & Kathrin Lemmerer & Lisbeth Weitensfelder & Peter Wallner & Hans-Peter Hutter, 2020. "Nitrogen-Dioxide Remains a Valid Air Quality Indicator," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(10), pages 1-11, May.

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